Egypt's Private Sector Activity Edges Close to Growth

A general view of buildings by the Nile River in Cairo, Egypt July 2, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
A general view of buildings by the Nile River in Cairo, Egypt July 2, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
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Egypt's Private Sector Activity Edges Close to Growth

A general view of buildings by the Nile River in Cairo, Egypt July 2, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
A general view of buildings by the Nile River in Cairo, Egypt July 2, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

Egypt’s non-oil private sector activity neared growth territory in June as new business expanded for the first time in seven months amid easing COVID-19 measures, a survey showed on Tuesday.

IHS Markit’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) climbed to 49.9, up from 48.6 in May and just below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction.

“Firms often noted a rise in tourist numbers as foreign travel opened up, as well as an improvement in export orders,” IHS Markit said, Reuters reported.

Output and new orders increased for the first time since November 2020, with both subindexes registering 50.2, up from 47.9 and 47.7 in May, respectively.

The non-oil private sector as a whole began contracting in December, ending a three-month expansion, as a resurgence in coronavirus cases dampened demand.

Inflation in input costs continued to accelerate in June, with the input prices subindex rising to a nearly two-year high of 55.9, compared to 55.2 in May.

“Commodity prices, particularly metals and plastics, drove a steep increase in purchasing costs,” said IHS Markit economist David Owen.

Firms again chose to absorb increasing cost burdens rather than passing them on to customers, as the increase in output prices slowed to a three-month low of 51.0.

Employment continued to fall, but at the softest rate since March, up to 48.7 from 48.3 in May. Many firms chose not to replace voluntary leavers, though this was partly offset by an uptick in hires due to rising demand.

“It was the Employment Index that held back the headline figure as job numbers continued to fall overall,” Owen said.

Expectations for future output remained strong, easing to 74.1 after soaring to 79.1 in May.



Russian Central Bank Cuts Key Interest Rate as Growth Slows

People walk in front of the Bank of Russia (Central Bank of the Russian Federation) headquarters in Moscow, Russia, 20 March 2026. EPA/MAXIM SHIPENKOV
People walk in front of the Bank of Russia (Central Bank of the Russian Federation) headquarters in Moscow, Russia, 20 March 2026. EPA/MAXIM SHIPENKOV
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Russian Central Bank Cuts Key Interest Rate as Growth Slows

People walk in front of the Bank of Russia (Central Bank of the Russian Federation) headquarters in Moscow, Russia, 20 March 2026. EPA/MAXIM SHIPENKOV
People walk in front of the Bank of Russia (Central Bank of the Russian Federation) headquarters in Moscow, Russia, 20 March 2026. EPA/MAXIM SHIPENKOV

Russia's central bank on Friday cut its key interest rate to 15 percent from 15.5 percent as the economy slows under pressure from Moscow's protracted and expensive war in Ukraine and Western sanctions.

Huge spending on its forces in Ukraine had initially spurred growth and helped Moscow buck predictions of economic collapse after it launched its offensive in 2022.

But last year, Russia's economy expanded by just one percent -- a steep drop from growth of around four percent recorded in 2023 and 2024.

"High-frequency data and business surveys indicate slower growth in economic activity in early 2026. Consumer demand cooled after its sharp rise in late 2025," the state lender said in a statement announcing the rate cut.

Inflation was running at 5.9 percent on an annual basis, it added -- above its target of four percent.

Massive military spending had pushed up inflation, triggering the central bank to raise borrowing costs to more than 20 percent at their peak.

That hit businesses, with some smaller firms forced to close and several large companies announcing layoffs, or seeking state aid.

The war has also thinned Russia's government finances, having posted a deficit in every year since it ordered troops into Ukraine.

But Russia's economic fortunes have been buoyed by surging oil prices triggered by the war in the Middle East.

Benchmark Brent crude has been trading above $100 a barrel -- 40 percent higher than before the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran at the end of February.

For Russia, every extra $10 per barrel gives the government a $1.6 billion a month windfall in tax revenues, Sergey Vakulenko from Carnegie Endowment estimated.

Oil and gas revenues provide roughly a fifth of Russia's state income and had been running at a five-year low, dragged down by sanctions, production issues and Ukrainian attacks on energy facilities, before the outbreak of the war in the Middle East.


Oil Up despite Efforts by US, Allies to Boost Supply and Open Strait of Hormuz

FILE PHOTO: Pumpjacks are seen against the setting sun at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China December 7, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
FILE PHOTO: Pumpjacks are seen against the setting sun at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China December 7, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
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Oil Up despite Efforts by US, Allies to Boost Supply and Open Strait of Hormuz

FILE PHOTO: Pumpjacks are seen against the setting sun at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China December 7, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
FILE PHOTO: Pumpjacks are seen against the setting sun at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China December 7, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer

Oil prices gained on Friday despite leading European nations, Japan and Canada offering to join efforts to secure safe passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz and the US outlining moves to boost oil supply.

"The potential for a quick reversal in energy prices is unlikely because damage has been done to production," said Ole Hansen, the head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "The fact on the ground remains that we have a tight market." Brent futures rose $1.67, or 1.5%, to $110.32 a barrel at 1030 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude added 33 cents, or 0.3%, to $96.47.

For the week, benchmark Brent was on ‌track to rise ‌nearly 7%, while WTI was set to fall about 2% ‌in ⁠its first weekly decline ⁠in five weeks.

Israel and Iran traded fresh attacks on Friday, following a hit on an oil refinery in Kuwait, Reuters said.

In a joint statement on Thursday, after earlier hesitating, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Japan expressed "our readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait", through which 20% of the world's oil and LNG transit.

Looking to curb soaring oil prices, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US may soon remove ⁠sanctions from Iranian oil stranded on tankers, and said a further ‌release of crude from the US Strategic Petroleum ‌Reserve was possible.

Brent jumped higher than $119 a barrel on Thursday, coming close to a March 9 ‌peak, after Iran responded to an Israeli attack on a major gas field ‌by knocking out 17% of Qatar's LNG capacity, causing damage that will take up to five years to repair.

US President Donald Trump said he told Israel not to repeat attacks on Iranian gas infrastructure. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his country had acted alone in the attack ‌and Iran no longer has the capacity to enrich uranium or make ballistic missiles.

Earlier in the Friday session, both benchmarks had ⁠shed some of their "war ⁠premiums" as world leaders started to acknowledge a need for restraint and de-escalation, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova. She added that markets will remain sensitive to the critical Hormuz chokepoint.

"The damage has been inflicted, and even if safe passage for tankers is somehow negotiated through Hormuz, reviving logistics fully fledged can take an awfully long time," Sachdeva said.

In a boost to US supply, North Dakota's crude output is expected to rise this month and in the following months as operators in the third-largest oil-producing state restart inactive wells and winter restrictions are eased, the state's regulator said on Thursday.

The North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources said, however, the pace of activity would depend on how long oil prices stay high and that oil majors' budgets have already been set.


Syria Sets 2026 Budget at Around $10.5 Billion

10 March 2026, Syria, Damascus: Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with representatives of youth from various initiatives and sectors at the People's Palace in Damascus. Photo: -/APA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
10 March 2026, Syria, Damascus: Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with representatives of youth from various initiatives and sectors at the People's Palace in Damascus. Photo: -/APA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
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Syria Sets 2026 Budget at Around $10.5 Billion

10 March 2026, Syria, Damascus: Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with representatives of youth from various initiatives and sectors at the People's Palace in Damascus. Photo: -/APA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
10 March 2026, Syria, Damascus: Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with representatives of youth from various initiatives and sectors at the People's Palace in Damascus. Photo: -/APA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa

Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa said on Friday the 2026 budget was set at around $10.5 billion, nearly triple last year's level, state TV reported.

He said GDP is estimated to reach $60 billion-$65 billion this year, adding the economy could return to 2010 levels and improve services.

Speaking after Eid al-Fitr prayers in Damascus, Sharaa said the government will prioritize ending displacement camps and enabling returns, with funds ⁠allocated to rebuilding infrastructure ⁠in hard-hit areas including Idlib and Aleppo, where rival armed factions have clashed in recent months.

He said government spending rose to about $3.5 billion in 2025, while GDP reached around $32 billion after growth of 30% to 35%, with the ⁠budget recording a surplus for the first time.

He added that a dedicated infrastructure fund of at least $3 billion would be financed from government spending.

According to Reuters, Sharaa said additional funds would go to eastern regions such as Deir Ezzor, Hasaka and Raqqa - areas heavily damaged during the war against ISIS - focusing on services, while about 40% of the 2026 budget will be spent on health ⁠and education.

He ⁠said territory retaken by the government had returned key resources to state control, supporting the economy, but acknowledged rebuilding will take time.

He also said Syria is seeking stability and balanced ties abroad after years of conflict.

The country has attracted growing foreign investment as it rebuilds, with Gulf states among key backers, including Saudi Arabia's involvement in major infrastructure projects worth billions of dollars, and the UAE's DP World signing an $800 million ports deal.