Oil Dispute Sharpens Baghdad-Kurd Tensions amid Deadlock

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
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Oil Dispute Sharpens Baghdad-Kurd Tensions amid Deadlock

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File

Iraq's oil wealth is rekindling tensions between federal authorities and the autonomous Kurdish region, in a row that could compromise the lifeline industry and keep investors away, analysts say.

The long-simmering dispute came to a head in February -- at a time of political deadlock in Baghdad -- when the federal supreme court ordered Kurdistan to hand over oil extracted from its territories to the federal authorities.

Then earlier this month, a commercial court in the Iraqi capital annulled contracts between the Kurds and foreign firms, after the oil ministry in Baghdad filed a judicial complaint, AFP said.

Authorities in the Kurdistan capital Arbil have cried foul, accusing Baghdad of heaping "unjust pressure" on them and announcing their own legal action.

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget.

It exports an average of 3.3 million barrels of crude oil per day (bpd), while production in Kurdistan amounts to just over 450,000 bpd.

The February ruling stated that a 2007 law adopted by Arbil to regulate oil and gas was unconstitutional.

But analysts say politics play a major role in the dispute in Iraq, whose political barons have failed to reach agreement on choosing a president and a prime minister since October legislative elections.

"When it comes to oil, each side uses their respective powers as carrots and sticks depending on the political atmosphere of the day," said Bilal Wahab of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

"At times when there was political accord, the courts were rather quiet. When there was political discord, however, the reverse was true," he told AFP.

- 'Reputation being damaged' -
The nullification of oil contracts between the Kurds and four international oil companies (IOCs) from Canada, Britain, Norway and the United States at the start of July has inflamed the row.

"For Baghdad to be chasing IOCs out of Iraqi Kurdistan does not serve to show Iraq as a major producer welcoming of foreign investment," cautioned Yesar al-Maleki, an analyst at the Middle East Economic Survey.

In a fightback, the Kurdish regional authorities in June initiated judicial proceedings against the federal government.

One lawsuit targets Oil Minister Ihsan Ismail, accused by the Kurds of trying to "intimidate" foreign firms operating in the Kurdistan region of northern Iraq.

The Kurdish autonomous government has accused Baghdad of taking "illegal" and "politically motivated" actions.

For Wahab, Kurdish and federal government officials fail to appreciate "how much they are damaging the overall reputation of Iraq's energy industry".

"Questioning the sanctity of contracts ... adds legal risk to a slew of other regulatory and governance risks that ail the Iraqi energy industry," he added.

The dispute, he said, "repels much-needed foreign investment".

Oil revenues are critical for Iraq, a country faced with widespread corruption but also mired in a financial crisis and in need of funds to rebuild infrastructure after decades of conflict.

- 'Compromise'? -
Despite the legal actions, Kurdistan says it is open to a negotiated solution.

It is working on setting up two companies specialized in oil exploration and marketing that would coordinate with Baghdad, a spokesperson for the Arbil government said.

Baghdad's oil ministry, meanwhile, marked a small victory after oil giants Baker Hughes, Halliburton and Schlumberger committed not to initiate new projects in Kurdistan.

The ministry says the companies are also working to "liquidate and close" existing contracts.

Baghdad has fought to regain control of output from lucrative oil fields in Kurdistan since the autonomous region began marketing oil independently more than a decade ago.

But under a current deal, the Kurdish region delivers 250,000 barrels per day to Baghdad, in return for a share of federal funds to pay the salaries of Kurdish civil servants.

In recent weeks, tensions have risen further after a series of unclaimed rocket attacks targeting oil and gas installations in Kurdistan.

Experts say the assaults aim to put pressure on the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), the largest in Kurdistan.

The KDP is allied to Shiite leader Moqtada Sadr, whose bloc won 73 seats in the October polls, making it the largest faction in the 329-seat parliament.

The party is eyeing the Iraqi presidency for one of its members, although traditionally the job has been held by a member of the rival Patriotic Union of Kurdistan.

"The timeline of events evidently shows that this whole crisis started because the KDP took the side of the Sadrist movement... opposing the Iran-backed Shiite Coordination Framework," Maleki said.

He expects a "compromise" will be reached to resolve the oil dispute because "Iraq is a country of compromise".

"Until then, the supreme court ruling will hang like the sword of Damocles over the Kurdish regional government," he said.



Iraq Says it Lost $60Bn Due to Mideast War

Commuters drive past Baghdad's Shorja market on October 13, 2026. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Commuters drive past Baghdad's Shorja market on October 13, 2026. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
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Iraq Says it Lost $60Bn Due to Mideast War

Commuters drive past Baghdad's Shorja market on October 13, 2026. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Commuters drive past Baghdad's Shorja market on October 13, 2026. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)

Iraq has lost around $60 billion during the Middle East war, Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein said on Thursday, with Iran blockading the Strait of Hormuz that is crucial to global energy flows, AFP reported.

Iraq was producing about four million barrels of oil per day before the conflict, exporting about 3.5 million bpd -- mostly shipped from the country's south via the strait.

But Iran's stranglehold on the waterway forced Iraq, lacking storage capacity, to halt most production and fall back on limited exports via Syria and Türkiye, by truck and pipeline respectively.

FILE PHOTO: Oil trucks from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. REUTERS/Mahmoud Hassano/File Photo

"Iraq has suffered losses estimated at around 60 billion dollars during the recent war between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran," Hussein told his Italian counterpart in Rome, according to a statement from the Iraqi foreign ministry.

After a heavy drop in production, Iraqi oil exports, which provide about 90 percent of the country's revenues, recovered modestly last month, reaching 2.6 million barrels per day between September 1 and 21, according to the oil ministry.

But at the same time, Iraq's foreign currency reserves have shrunk by 20 billion dollars and consumer prices have risen sharply, plunging it into economic crisis.

To try to contain the fallout, the Central Bank of Iraq last week devalued the dinar against the dollar for the first time in more than three years.

07 October 2026, Iraq, Duhok: Iraqi dinar and US dollar banknotes are displayed at a currency exchange shop in Duhok in Iraq's Kurdistan region. Photo: Ismael Adnan/dpa

Iraq relies heavily on foreign currency generated by oil sales to finance imports, stabilize the dinar, and pay the salaries of public sector employees and retirees.

According to the authorities, Iraq is seeking to diversify its economic resources and raise non-oil revenues from 10 percent to 45 percent by 2037.


Hezbollah’s Support Base Dismayed Over Limited Compensation

A Lebanese soldier inspects destruction in the city of Nabatieh caused by Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon on June 21, 2026 (Reuters)
A Lebanese soldier inspects destruction in the city of Nabatieh caused by Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon on June 21, 2026 (Reuters)
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Hezbollah’s Support Base Dismayed Over Limited Compensation

A Lebanese soldier inspects destruction in the city of Nabatieh caused by Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon on June 21, 2026 (Reuters)
A Lebanese soldier inspects destruction in the city of Nabatieh caused by Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon on June 21, 2026 (Reuters)

The financial assistance Hezbollah said it would provide to people displaced from southern Lebanon and Beirut’s southern suburbs because of the war with Israel has sparked dismay within its southern support base, with some describing the sums as “meager” and saying they “do not even cover six months’ rent.”

Others have criticized the payments as “unfair” and said they reinforce disparities between residents of the southern suburbs and those of southern Lebanon.

Ali Damoush, head of Hezbollah’s Executive Council, announced on Tuesday a housing assistance program for displaced people and for those whose homes have been destroyed or severely damaged by Israel and are no longer habitable. He set the maximum assistance at $14,000 for housing units in Beirut and its southern suburbs, and $12,000 for homes outside those areas.

Damoush said the money would be paid in four installments, with each payment amounting to $3,500 for displaced residents in Beirut and the southern suburbs and $3,000 for those in other areas.

A girl displaced from southern Lebanon at a school in the city of Tyre that was converted into a shelter for displaced people (File photo - AFP)

Rent Payments Fall Short

No sooner had Damoush announced the payments than discontent spread among residents of southern Lebanon, who described the amounts as “unfair.”

A local source in Nabatieh told Asharq Al-Awsat that the money would “barely cover six months of monthly rent.”

“At the very lowest estimate, rent for a house outside the city is $500 a month, while anyone wishing to rent in the city will have to pay $800,” the source said. “Is this amount enough to cover rent?”

“We waited six months. The state paid nothing and paid no attention to us, while Hezbollah has now announced meager payments that would not even be enough to buy a bed or a refrigerator,” the source added, describing the announced assistance as essentially pointless.

The United Nations Development Programme estimates that around 17,900 housing units have been completely destroyed in southern Lebanon, while approximately 5,200 buildings have been damaged by the war.

Heavy Losses

The same source in Nabatieh said war-related losses were “extremely heavy,” ranging from destroyed buildings and rental costs to businesses and livelihoods brought to a halt. This comes on top of six months during which residents have had to pay rent out of their own pockets without receiving assistance.

“The initiative undertaken by Hezbollah cannot be relied upon because the amount is extremely small and does not take into account people’s suffering and needs,” said the source, who requested anonymity.

The frustration extends to residents currently living in the city of Tyre after being displaced from occupied and destroyed border villages, particularly Naqoura, Aita al-Shaab, Marwahin, Umm al-Tout and Tayr Harfa.

One displaced resident living in Tyre told Asharq Al-Awsat that they have been paying rent for nearly three years, “and now we will receive a payment that does not even cover three months’ rent in the city,” where average residential rents stand at around $700.

“Hezbollah is applying double standards to displaced people,” he said. “We live in a city, and residents of the southern suburbs live in a city too. Why are they receiving $3,500 while people from the south are receiving $3,000?”

He described the proposed payments as “meager,” saying they appeared to represent “an attempt to shirk responsibility while promoting assistance that falls short of people’s growing needs.”

A woman walks through her apartment, which was damaged by Israeli airstrikes in the southern Lebanese city of Tyre on June 17, 2026 (AP)

No Compensation for Repairs

Hezbollah is facing financial difficulties as a result of restrictions imposed on the flow of funds from Iran. Its supporters, however, say the group “is doing what it can under the current circumstances,” noting that the money to be distributed now is only a first payment and that additional payments will follow.

That has done little to dispel the frustration repeatedly expressed by displaced southerners.

Their dissatisfaction is not limited to the modest sums involved or what they describe as “discrimination between the south and the southern suburbs.” It also extends to thousands of people whose homes were damaged in the war but who will receive no money from Hezbollah to repair them.

A resident of a village in the Tyre area told Asharq Al-Awsat: “For four months, I kept plastic sheeting over the windows, hoping Hezbollah would provide repair assistance so I could install glass windows, but that did not happen. With winter approaching, I will have to borrow $1,000 to install glass windows to replace those shattered during the war.”

“It seems Hezbollah has its priorities, and those of us whose homes were damaged by the war are at the bottom of its list,” the source added. “If money is being provided to people displaced from their homes, why is there no money for those whose homes have been damaged?”

Discontent in Beirut’s Southern Suburbs as Well

Despite the frustration in southern Lebanon, residents of Beirut’s southern suburbs also appear dissatisfied. A significant number of buildings surrounding those that were destroyed have themselves sustained heavy damage, yet Hezbollah will not provide any financial assistance to their residents, unlike what happened following the 2024 war.

Residents of the southern suburbs say Hezbollah has not provided any payments, preventing hundreds of families from returning to their damaged homes. Other families have been forced to pay for repairs out of their own pockets, while some have opted to cover shattered windows with plastic sheeting and carry out only “the bare minimum of repairs needed to allow us to return home.”

Buildings destroyed by Israeli bombardment in Beirut’s southern suburbs, where a Hezbollah flag flies, on May 6, 2026 (EPA)

A study conducted by the United Nations Development Programme in coordination with Lebanon’s National Council for Scientific Research, and in cooperation with the Lebanese Army and the United Nations Department of Safety and Security, found that 146 buildings were completely destroyed in the Beirut and Mount Lebanon governorates, while 264 buildings were partially damaged.

At the housing-unit level, the study recorded the complete destruction of 3,168 residential units, while another 4,437 units sustained partial damage.


Israeli Settlers Attack Palestinians During Olive Harvest

Firefighters douse a burnt car with water after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad
Firefighters douse a burnt car with water after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad
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Israeli Settlers Attack Palestinians During Olive Harvest

Firefighters douse a burnt car with water after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad
Firefighters douse a burnt car with water after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad

Israeli settlers attacked Palestinians in multiple villages across the occupied West Bank on Friday and trees and cars were set on fire, according to local officials and emergency responders with the Palestinian Red Crescent Society.

The Palestinian Red Crescent Society said six people were injured in two attacks it responded to in the town of Abu Falah outside Ramallah. A 63-year-old woman and a 40-year-old man were taken to a hospital after being beaten by settlers, The Associated Press quoted the Red Crescent as saying.

Palestinian medics and an Israeli soldier attend to a Palestinian man shot by Israeli soldiers following a settler attack on Palestinians harvesting olives in the West Bank village of Abu Falah, Friday, Oct. 16, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa)

"The settlers want to attack us and force us from our homes," said Moutaz Abdelhadi, ⁠42, a farmer ⁠who witnessed the attack in Abu Falah.

Partway through the attack, at least two Israeli military jeeps sped through the area, kicking up dust as villagers ran out of their way.

A burnt olive tree after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians while they were harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad

The attack continued after the military's arrival, with Israeli soldiers firing tear gas in the direction of the Palestinians who had dodged the jeeps. The sound of live gunfire could be heard in the area, and a Reuters photographer saw at least one armed settler fire ⁠a gun.
Among the injured was Heidi Levine, a photojournalist with the Washington Post. The newspaper did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Israel has imposed new rules on the olive harvest this year, prohibiting Palestinians from working in what’s known as Area C, which is under Israeli security control and encompasses the majority of the territory’s agricultural land.

At least four Palestinians have been killed and more than 100 injured since the harvest season began earlier this month, according to Palestinian officials.

They say thousands of trees have been damaged, costing farmers hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Palestinians stand near a burnt-out car after Israeli militant settlers attacked a group of Palestinians while they were harvesting olives near Turmus Ayya in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, October 16, 2026. REUTERS/Ammar Awad

Israel’s police and army did not immediately respond to questions about the attacks.

The Abu Falah attack followed a similar attack on Friday morning in the area of Turmus Ayya village, where settlers burned three cars after attacking a group of farmers harvesting olives.

Salah Abu Niswa, who witnessed the attack in Turmus Ayya, said the settlers "snuck up like thieves, they caught someone by himself and began to beat him."