Saudi Revenues Jump 50% in 1st Half of 2022, with $36 Bn Surplus

The actual Saudi budget recorded a 49 percent growth in its performance for the half of 2022. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The actual Saudi budget recorded a 49 percent growth in its performance for the half of 2022. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Revenues Jump 50% in 1st Half of 2022, with $36 Bn Surplus

The actual Saudi budget recorded a 49 percent growth in its performance for the half of 2022. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The actual Saudi budget recorded a 49 percent growth in its performance for the half of 2022. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

In a performance that exceeded the targeted budget surplus for 2022, the Saudi Ministry of Finance disclosed on Thursday a record increase in revenues during the first half of this year, driven by a surge in oil prices and the fast growth of the non-oil sector.

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that energy prices and the non-oil sector were able to support Saudi Arabia’s general budget, thanks to the Kingdom’s diversification of revenue sources and the financial reforms it has been leading for years.

The recent figures confirm the strength of the Saudi economy, which has seen a remarkable growth, despite the recent successive crises, including the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian war, according to the experts.

The budget performance during the second quarter of 2022 witnessed revenues exceeding 370.3 billion riyals (USD98.7 billion) and expenditures amounting to 292.4 billion riyals (USD77.9 billion), with the budget recoding a surplus of more than 77.9 billion riyals (USD20.7 billion).

As for the actual performance of the Saudi budget for the half-year, the revenues recorded a surplus of 135.3 billion riyals (USD36 billion), with the volume of realized revenues reaching 648.3 billion riyals (USD172.8 billion), compared to expenses that exceeded 512.9 billion riyals (USD136.7 billion).

Oil revenues during the first half of 2022 amounted to 434 billion riyals (USD115 billion), registering an increase of 75 percent compared to the same period last year.

Non-oil revenues in the first half of this year amounted to 214.2 billion riyals (USD57.1 billion), compared to 204 billion riyals (USD54.4 billion) in the same period last year, recording an increase of 5 percent.

The mid-term budget, which was announced on Thursday, bore a very positive indicator about the performance of public finances in Saudi Arabia. The surpluses achieved during the first six months of 2022, which amounted to USD36 billion, exceeded all previous government estimates.

In this regard, Dr. Abdullah bin Rabeean, academic and economic advisor to Asharq Al-Awsat, said that the excellent performance of the Saudi general budget during the second quarter and the first half of 2022 was the result of the measures taken to reduce financial squandering.

He added that these figures came at a time when the global economy was undergoing multiple crises that impede growth.

The economic advisor further stressed that non-oil revenues saw a good increase of 5%, which confirms the Kingdom’s success in achieving economic reforms and diversifying the sources of income, in line with Vision 2030.

For his part, Economic Expert Ahmed Al-Shehri told Asharq Al-Awsat that the high budget surplus has emphasized the success of the financial reforms undertaken by the Saudi government, at a time when most countries were suffering from economic stagnation.

The government was able to achieve growth in its revenues, while it increased its actual expenditures by 10 percent during the first half of 2022, in order to implement its mega projects within the plans and programs of its Vision 2030, he added.



Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
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Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)

Iraq produces more than 5 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), Oil Minister Basim Mohammed told state news agency INA on Saturday.

According to Reuters, Iraq is pushing for a higher OPEC production quota as the economic fallout from the Iran war and new investment by oil majors increase pressure on Baghdad to boost output, potentially putting it at odds with the producer group.

The conflict has hit Iraq particularly hard, forcing major export cuts and depriving the state of oil revenue, which accounted for 88% of government income last year.


IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.