China-Gulf Relations: 'More Than Just Oil'

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly chair the “Riyadh Gulf-Chinese Summit for Cooperation and Development” in December (SPA)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly chair the “Riyadh Gulf-Chinese Summit for Cooperation and Development” in December (SPA)
TT

China-Gulf Relations: 'More Than Just Oil'

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly chair the “Riyadh Gulf-Chinese Summit for Cooperation and Development” in December (SPA)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly chair the “Riyadh Gulf-Chinese Summit for Cooperation and Development” in December (SPA)

A recent report by the World Economic Forum (WEF) noted that the economic relations between the GCC countries and China go beyond oil and trade, but constitute a large proportion of the global GDP, which opens up great prospects for promising aspirations and opportunities.

According to the report, China and the Gulf countries together generate about 22 percent of the world’s GDP. This makes them two major drivers of global growth, especially in light of the deepening economic relations between them amid major geopolitical shifts.

The report stressed that technology, industries and electronic games represent great opportunities for future cooperation.

According to the report, major relations began with the rapid economic growth of China, which led to a significant increase in the demand for energy. Meanwhile, the Gulf’s imports of consumer goods from China have surged.

Total trade between China and the whole of the Middle East and North Africa reached $505 billion in 2022 – increasing 76% over 10 years. Total trade between China and the Gulf countries alone increased three times in the same period, the report underlined.

However, the report, which was prepared in cooperation with Oliver Wyman, confirmed at the same time that the economic ties between the two regions are “much more than just trade”.

Business leaders from Greater China and the GCC convened at the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting of the New Champions in Tianjin in June 2023 to explore how to enhance understanding of each other’s markets and build partnerships, the report said, pointing to three major takeaways from their discussions:

In addition to energy, technology, manufacturing and electronic games are priority sectors for both regions, providing great cooperation opportunities.

Following Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Saudi Arabia in December 2022, the Kingdom signed 35 memorandums of understanding with Chinese firms, the majority of which with private companies. The report pointed to an agreement with Chinese technology giant Huawei, covering cloud computing and building high-tech complexes in Saudi cities.

In manufacturing, the WEF report stated that ongoing global shifts in manufacturing hubs and “friend shoring” initiatives offer opportunities to reshape supply chains. Enovate, a Chinese electric vehicle (EV) start-up, is illustrative of the shift towards new economy sectors with a planned $500 million investment in EV production in Saudi Arabia alongside a local partner.

On the third axis, the gaming sector is a great cross-border opportunity that reflects common preferences and consumer habits in both regions. This can be evidenced by the acquisition of a $265 million stake in Chinese e-gaming company VSPO earlier this year by Saudi Arabia’s public investment fund.

Finally, the report confirms that energy partnerships are about more than just oil and gas. Both regions are highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, and their shared challenges provide opportunities for transformative collaboration.

In this regard, the report pointed to a partnership between Dubai-based Mensha Ventures and Chinese partners to invest up to a $1 billion in clean technologies.

All these factors come at a time of increasing mutual trust between the two sides.

“Institutions for dialogue and trust-building are essential to build sustained commercial ties,” said Alexandre Raffoul, the World Economic Forum’s Head of Business Engagement for the Middle East and Africa and moderator of the Tianjin discussion.

In the end, the close ties between China and the Middle East - sometimes referred to as the “New Silk Road” - are about more than just oil and consumer goods... Maybe even more important are the flow of technologies, people, ideas and capital.

There are good signs of moving forward in this context, the report said, noting that an increasing number of Middle Eastern students are learning Mandarin, as are their peers in China who are studying Arabic.



IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
TT

IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
TT

World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.


Copper Falls, Set for Worst Week Since March on AI Rout

Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
TT

Copper Falls, Set for Worst Week Since March on AI Rout

Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)
Copper at the Aurubis copper smelting and refining plant in Hamburg, Germany. (Reuters)

Copper dropped on Friday and was set for its biggest weekly drop in London since March, as a rout in technology stocks battered markets.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 1.3% at $13,663 a metric ton by 0700 GMT. That placed it on track to fall 3.44% in the week, Reuters said.

The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 1.08% to 106,830 yuan ($16,018.17) a ton.

The weakness reflects worries over AI investment, ‌with copper increasingly ‌influenced by "sentiment towards data center expansion," said ‌Craig ⁠Lang, principal analyst ⁠at CRU.

Technology shares were battered after Democratic wins in the US midterms fueled concerns that new regulatory oversight could cap the AI buildout.

On the other hand, supply constraints cushioned copper's decline.

"I would be cautious about calling this a sustained correction, given ongoing mine supply challenges and exceptionally tight ⁠metal availability outside the US," Lang said.

Copper stocks ‌in SHFE-monitored warehouses <CU-STX-SGH> fell by ‌over 24% this week to just 33,848 tons — the lowest ‌in almost three years. The closely watched Yangshan copper ‌premium <SMM-CUYP-CN>, a gauge of appetite for imports into key consumer China, increased to $210 a ton on Thursday, matching its record high.

Smelters in the country are facing a double squeeze of negative treatment ‌charges and lower sulfuric acid prices.

Meanwhile, warehouse inventories outside the US have been drawn ⁠down as ⁠material was pulled into the country ahead of a potential tariff on imports of refined copper.

"These physical constraints should provide some support against weaker investor sentiment," Lang said.

Among LME metals, aluminium lost 0.54%, zinc lost 1.42%, lead lost 0.45%, nickel dipped 0.23% and tin gained 0.83%.

On the SHFE, aluminium nudged down only 0.04%, zinc lost 1.35%, lead was little changed, down only 0.03%, nickel rose 2.14% and tin dropped 3.45%.

SHFE inventories were down across the board this week, led by sharp drops in aluminium <AL-STX-SGH> and lead <PB-STX-SGH>.