Syria in 2023: Return to Arab League, Open Ground for US-Iran Conflict

Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
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Syria in 2023: Return to Arab League, Open Ground for US-Iran Conflict

Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)
Anti-regime protests are held in Sweida in August. (Reuters)

Syria’s reistatement to the Arab League in 2023 after a 12-year suspension did little to improve the economic and security situation in the war-torn country that has effectively become an arena for an American-Iranian conflict.

Syria’s return to the organization did little to lifting sanctions against Damascus, which is still languishing under an economic and financial crisis that has led to a 100% collapse of the pound from 2022. The crushing crisis sparked protests in the southern Sweida city in August.

In February, another disaster struck the country: a devastating earthquake that left 23,000 people dead in Syria and neighboring Türkiye. The tragedy hit regime- and opposition-held regions in Syria’s west and north.

In what was seen as the first step in Damascus’ rapprochement with its Arab fold, countries in the region dispatched urgent aid to the people affected.

Months later in May, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad attended the Arab summit in Jeddah, with Syria’s membership being restored.

At the event, he hoped the summit would “mark the beginning of a new phase of Arab work towards peace in our region, as well as prosperity instead of war and destruction.”

“This is a historic opportunity to rearrange our affairs with minimal foreign meddling,” he added.

Arab leaders at the summit agreed to “bolster joint Arab cooperation to tackle the fallout and repercussions of displacement, terrorism and drug smuggling.” They stressed the need for “effective and tangible steps that would lead to a solution to the crisis in Syria.”

In reality, however, no progress has since been made in the refugee file and the drug smuggling from Syria through Jordan to Arab countries did not stop. Jordanian and Syrian officials even met in July to tackle the phenomenon.

Jordan has reported dozens of smuggling operations throughout the year, most recently four attempts over a four-day period in December.

Jordanian officials said the operations have become “regulated”. Drones are employed in the process that is protected by armed groups. Amman has resorted to air raids on a number of occasions to thwart the smugglers.

On the security level, no radical change took place in 2023. ISIS is still active and continues to launch attacks against government forces and civilians. Notable attacks took place against truffle hunters in February and April. In October, ISIS launched a drone attack against a military academy graduation ceremony in Homs city, leaving at least 100 people dead.

Moreover, little progress has been achieved in unifying authorities in Syria and pushing for the withdrawal of foreign forces.

Hezbollah and allied Iran-aligned militias continue to be deployed in the country. Israel, in turn, has continued to carry out air raids against these groups. These attacks intensified with the eruption of its war on Gaza in October. The raids took Damascus and Aleppo airports out of service for two whole months.

The war on Gaza effectively turned Syria into an open arena for conflict between Iran – through its proxies – and the United States. Pro-Iran militias continued to attack American forces in eastern and northeastern Syria, while they retaliated by striking the militants. The Pentagon had also announced its targeting of Iranian Revolutionary Guards forces in Syria.

Amid the stalemate, the economy continued to crumble, pushing people to the streets in Sweida city in August and they continued through December.

The rallies spread to Daraa, where protesters demanded the ouster of the regime, release of prisoners and implementation of UN Security Council resolution 2254.

The demonstrations also spread to Deir Ezzor, the Aleppo and Idlib countrysides, and some regime-held regions in Damascus and Tartus.

Assad had a busy year, first visiting Jeddah for the Arab summit. He then made official visits to the United Arab Emirates, Russia, where he met President Vladimir Putin, and China, where he met President Xi Jinping.



What to Know about the Tensions between Iran and the US before Their Third Round of Talks

The flags of US and Iran are displayed in Muscat, Oman, 25 April 2025. Iran and US will hold third round of nuclear talks on 26 April 2025, in Muscat. (EPA)
The flags of US and Iran are displayed in Muscat, Oman, 25 April 2025. Iran and US will hold third round of nuclear talks on 26 April 2025, in Muscat. (EPA)
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What to Know about the Tensions between Iran and the US before Their Third Round of Talks

The flags of US and Iran are displayed in Muscat, Oman, 25 April 2025. Iran and US will hold third round of nuclear talks on 26 April 2025, in Muscat. (EPA)
The flags of US and Iran are displayed in Muscat, Oman, 25 April 2025. Iran and US will hold third round of nuclear talks on 26 April 2025, in Muscat. (EPA)

Iran and the United States will hold talks Saturday in Oman, their third round of negotiations over Tehran’s rapidly advancing nuclear program.

The talks follow a first round held in Muscat, Oman, where the two sides spoke face to face. They then met again in Rome last weekend before this scheduled meeting again in Muscat.

Trump has imposed new sanctions on Iran as part of his “maximum pressure” campaign targeting the country. He has repeatedly suggested military action against Iran remained a possibility, while emphasizing he still believed a new deal could be reached by writing a letter to Iran’s 85-year-old Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to jumpstart these talks.

Khamenei has warned Iran would respond to any attack with an attack of its own.

Here’s what to know about the letter, Iran’s nuclear program and the tensions that have stalked relations between Tehran and Washington since the 1979 revolution.

Why did Trump write the letter? Trump dispatched the letter to Khamenei on March 5, then gave a television interview the next day in which he acknowledged sending it. He said: “I’ve written them a letter saying, ‘I hope you’re going to negotiate because if we have to go in militarily, it’s going to be a terrible thing.’”

Since returning to the White House, the president has been pushing for talks while ratcheting up sanctions and suggesting a military strike by Israel or the US could target Iranian nuclear sites.

A previous letter from Trump during his first term drew an angry retort from the supreme leader.

But Trump’s letters to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in his first term led to face-to-face meetings, though no deals to limit Pyongyang’s atomic bombs and a missile program capable of reaching the continental US.

How did the first round go? Oman, a sultanate on the eastern edge of the Arabian Peninsula, hosted the first round of talks between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff. The two men met face to face after indirect talks and immediately agreed to this second round in Rome.

Witkoff later made a television appearance in which he suggested 3.67% enrichment for Iran could be something the countries could agree on. But that’s exactly the terms set by the 2015 nuclear deal struck under US President Barack Obama, from which Trump unilaterally withdrew America.

Witkoff hours later issued a statement underlining something: “A deal with Iran will only be completed if it is a Trump deal.” Araghchi and Iranian officials have latched onto Witkoff’s comments in recent days as a sign that America was sending it mixed signals about the negotiations.

Yet the Rome talks ended up with the two sides agreeing to starting expert-level talks this Saturday. Analysts described that as a positive sign, though much likely remains to be agreed before reaching a tentative deal.

Why does Iran’s nuclear program worry the West? Iran has insisted for decades that its nuclear program is peaceful. However, its officials increasingly threaten to pursue a nuclear weapon. Iran now enriches uranium to near weapons-grade levels of 60%, the only country in the world without a nuclear weapons program to do so.

Under the original 2015 nuclear deal, Iran was allowed to enrich uranium up to 3.67% purity and to maintain a uranium stockpile of 300 kilograms (661 pounds). The last report by the International Atomic Energy Agency on Iran’s program put its stockpile at 8,294.4 kilograms (18,286 pounds) as it enriches a fraction of it to 60% purity.

US intelligence agencies assess that Iran has yet to begin a weapons program, but has “undertaken activities that better position it to produce a nuclear device, if it chooses to do so.”

Ali Larijani, an adviser to Iran’s supreme leader, has warned in a televised interview that his country has the capability to build nuclear weapons, but it is not pursuing it and has no problem with the International Atomic Energy Agency’s inspections. However, he said if the US or Israel were to attack Iran over the issue, the country would have no choice but to move toward nuclear weapon development.

“If you make a mistake regarding Iran’s nuclear issue, you will force Iran to take that path, because it must defend itself,” he said.

Why are relations so bad between Iran and the US? Iran was once one of the US’s top allies in the Middle East under Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, who purchased American military weapons and allowed CIA technicians to run secret listening posts monitoring the neighboring Soviet Union. The CIA had fomented a 1953 coup that cemented the shah’s rule.

But in January 1979, the shah, fatally ill with cancer, fled Iran as mass demonstrations swelled against his rule. The revolution followed, led by Khomeini, and created Iran’s theocratic government.

Later that year, university students overran the US Embassy in Tehran, seeking the shah’s extradition and sparking the 444-day hostage crisis that saw diplomatic relations between Iran and the US severed. The Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s saw the US back Saddam Hussein. The “Tanker War” during that conflict saw the US launch a one-day assault that crippled Iran at sea, while the US later shot down an Iranian commercial airliner that the American military said it mistook for a warplane.

Iran and the US have see-sawed between enmity and grudging diplomacy in the years since, with relations peaking when Tehran made the 2015 nuclear deal with world powers. But Trump unilaterally withdrew America from the accord in 2018, sparking tensions in the Middle East that persist today.