India Increases Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia in December

An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
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India Increases Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia in December

An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)
An employee inside an oil refinery in India (Reuters)

India increased imports of Saudi oil in December as payment problems drove its Russian oil buys to an 11-month low, with at least five cargoes of the sweet Sokol variant heading to other locations, data from vessel tracking agencies showed.
Indian Oil Corp (IOC) which was set to get the Sokol oil, had to withdraw from its inventory and buy from the Middle East to make up the shortfall, sources told Reuters last month.
Top refiner IOC is the only state-run firm with an annual deal to buy a variety of Russian grades, including Sokol, from Russian oil major Rosneft.
India's oil imports from Russia in December declined between 16% and 22%, according to Reuters calculation based on data from flow tracking agencies Vortexa, Kpler, and the London Stock Exchange (LSEG).
However, data from Kpler and Vortexa showed that India's imports of Saudi oil rose by about 4%.
LSEG data shows India's monthly Russian oil imports declining by 22% to 1.21 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, while Kpler shows a drop of 16% to 1.39 million bpd.
Meanwhile, oil prices jumped by more than 2 percent on Tuesday, in the first session of the new year, amid fears of a possible disruption of supplies from the Middle East and hopes of an improving demand outlook in China.
Brent crude rose $1.58, or 2 percent, to $78.62 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude recorded $73.21 per barrel, an increase of $1.56, or 2.2 percent.

The risks of the conflict between Israel and the Gaza Strip becoming a broader regional conflict increased over the weekend after US helicopters returned fire against Houthi boats that targeted the Maersk Hanzghou in the Red Sea.
A spokesman for Maersk said the company would decide on Tuesday whether to resume operating through the Suez Canal from the Red Sea or redirect them around Africa after an attack on one of its ships over the weekend.
Leon Li, a Shanghai-based CMC Markets analyst, told Reuters that the oil price may be affected by the escalation in the Red Sea over the weekend and the peak demand season during China's Spring Festival.
The expansion of the conflict in Gaza could lead to the closure of vital waterways for transporting oil supplies.
Li added that forecasts for increased demand during China's Lunar New Year holiday in February also raised expectations for price increases this month.
At least four tankers transporting diesel and jet fuel from the Middle East and India to Europe are taking the longer route around Africa to avoid the Red Sea, ship tracking data show.
China's manufacturing activity shrank for a third straight month in December and weakened more than expected, clouding the outlook for the country's economic recovery and raising the case for fresh stimulus measures in the new year.



Japan, South Korea Say Ready to Act Against FX Volatility

FILE PHOTO: Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama speaks on the day Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, February 20, 2026. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama speaks on the day Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, February 20, 2026. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
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Japan, South Korea Say Ready to Act Against FX Volatility

FILE PHOTO: Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama speaks on the day Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, February 20, 2026. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama speaks on the day Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, February 20, 2026. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

Japan and South Korea expressed concern on Saturday about the rapid declines in their currencies, saying they were ready to act against excessive foreign-exchange volatility.

Finance Ministers Satsuki Katayama of Japan and Koo Yun-cheol of South Korea "expressed serious concern over the recent sharp depreciation of the Korean won and the Japanese yen," they said in a statement after their annual meeting in Tokyo.

The yen and won have slid as mounting tensions from the US-Israeli war on Iran have driven the dollar higher ⁠on safe-haven demand and ⁠battered the currencies of countries heavily reliant on imported oil.

"Furthermore, they reaffirmed that they will closely monitor foreign exchange markets and continue to take appropriate actions against excessive volatility and disorderly movements in exchange rates," the statement said.

The yen touched its lowest in 20 ⁠months on Friday and is near the line of 160.00 to the dollar that many in the market think might prompt Japan to intervene to support the currency. The won breached a psychological barrier of 1,500 per dollar this month for the first time since March 2009.

Tokyo and Seoul shared the view that significant volatility had emerged in financial markets, including foreign exchange, Katayama told a press conference after the meeting.

"The Japanese government ⁠is ⁠fully prepared to respond at any time, bearing in mind the impact that currency moves may have on people's livelihoods amid surging oil prices, and I believe both sides share that understanding," she said.

Katayama regularly says Japan is ready to act regarding yen moves, although some policymakers privately say that intervening to prop up the yen now could prove futile, as the flood of dollar demand will only intensify if the war persists.


BP Wins US Approval for Kaskida Project in Gulf of Mexico

FILE PHOTO: 3D-printed oil pump jacks and the British Petroleum (BP) logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: 3D-printed oil pump jacks and the British Petroleum (BP) logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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BP Wins US Approval for Kaskida Project in Gulf of Mexico

FILE PHOTO: 3D-printed oil pump jacks and the British Petroleum (BP) logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: 3D-printed oil pump jacks and the British Petroleum (BP) logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

British energy major BP has received approval from the Trump administration to advance its Kaskida project in the Gulf of Mexico, a company spokesperson told Reuters in an emailed statement late ⁠on Friday.

The $5 billion ⁠investment would unlock 10 billion barrels of resources that BP has discovered in the Paleogene fields of the US Gulf, the spokesperson said.

The US Department of ⁠the Interior's approval of Kaskida follows a year-long review of the company's development plan, the statement said, according to Reuters.

Bloomberg News first reported on Friday that the Kaskida project is scheduled to start crude production in 2029. The Kaskida project will follow BP’s 2023 start-up of the Argos project, which ⁠was ⁠its first platform launch in the US. Gulf since 2008 and the first since the Deepwater Horizon disaster.

The explosion of BP's Deepwater Horizon rig in April 2010 killed 11 rig workers and caused $70 billion in damages in the largest oil spill in US history.


S&P: Saudi Arabia’s Robust Economy Guarantees its Ability to Withstand Regional Conflict

King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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S&P: Saudi Arabia’s Robust Economy Guarantees its Ability to Withstand Regional Conflict

King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Credit ratings agency S&P Global affirmed Saudi Arabia’s sovereign credit rating at “A+/A-1,” with a “stable outlook” on Friday.

The agency said that the Kingdom was well-positioned to withstand the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

S&P stated in a press release that “the outlook reflects the Kingdom’s ability to redirect oil exports to the Red Sea port via the East-West oil pipeline, utilize its large oil storage capacity, and its ability to increase oil production post-conflict.”

It noted that “the outlook also reflects our view that non-oil growth momentum and associated non-oil revenues, as well as the government’s ability to calibrate investment expenditure tied to Vision 2030, should support the economy and fiscal trajectory.”

S&P forecast real GDP growth of 4.4% for 2026, saying real GDP growth will average 3.3% per year for 2027-2028.

It said the government diversifying away from oil, economic volatility is starting to decrease--albeit sensitivity to oil remains. “The non-oil sector (including government activities) now accounts for about 70% of GDP, up from 65% in 2018. This structural shift is a key objective of Vision 2030,” the agency noted.

It added that “Saudi Arabia’s substantial asset position should remain a key strength over our forecast period even as gross debt rises.”

The ratings agency noted that before the conflict, the government in Riyadh had already been looking at adjusting spending on diversification projects tied to Vision 2030 to manage plans more in line with available resources.

Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, the Kingdom's “long-term transformation” plan, has a fiscal policy that is expansive to encourage economic diversification. This has been done despite oil price volatility which has put pressure on public finances.

The agency said: “We expect the authorities will continue to adopt a prudent and flexible approach in this regard, having stressed a commitment to achieving Vision 2030 goals without jeopardizing public finances.”

The US and Israeli war on Iran is causing the Strait of Hormuz to be close to shutting down, forcing regional producers to reduce oil output.