Red Sea Unrest Revives Djibouti Ports

Doraleh Port is designated to receive containers and has witnessed a revival due to the disturbances in the Red Sea (Photo by Turki Al-Aguili)
Doraleh Port is designated to receive containers and has witnessed a revival due to the disturbances in the Red Sea (Photo by Turki Al-Aguili)
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Red Sea Unrest Revives Djibouti Ports

Doraleh Port is designated to receive containers and has witnessed a revival due to the disturbances in the Red Sea (Photo by Turki Al-Aguili)
Doraleh Port is designated to receive containers and has witnessed a revival due to the disturbances in the Red Sea (Photo by Turki Al-Aguili)

The unrest in the Bab al-Mandab region, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Aden has contributed to the recovery of container handling operations in Djiboutian ports in recent months, according to Djiboutian officials.

Container handling at Doraleh Port, Djibouti's largest port, increased by up to 10% compared to the previous months, officials told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Houthi attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea caused a sharp rise in marine shipping insurance, with fees imposed to cover risks associated with conflicts.

Since November 2023, the Iranian-backed Houthis have been carrying out attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea that they suspect are linked to Israel or heading to its ports.

They say that this comes in support of the Gaza Strip, which has been witnessing a war since Oct. 7, 2023.

Washington and London have also launched joint military strikes on Houthi positions inside Yemen several times since last Jan. 12.

Advisor of the CEO of Operations at Doraleh Port Ismail Hasan told Asharq Al-Awsat that the port served more than 100,000 containers with an average of 60-70 ships of various sizes last January, and it can receive the largest ships in the world.

All international shipping and navigation companies are in Doraliya Port, serving over 60 ports worldwide.

Last January, the port witnessed an increase in handling by a rate of 5-10% compared to previous months.

During Asharq Al-Awsat's visit to Doraleh Port, the Chinese ship Zhong An Xin Huayuan was anchoring for the first time, according to Hasan.

He explained that the tensions in the Red Sea led new shipping companies to enter as new clients of the Djiboutian ports.

Djibouti has about five specialized ports, including Doraleh Port, and others for various goods, commodities, and iron, some of which are dedicated to energy.

Several Chinese shipping lines have been redeploying their vessels to serve the Red Sea and the Suez Canal in what analysts have said is an effort to exploit China's perceived immunity from the Houthi attacks that have driven most other operators out of the area, according to the Financial Times.

The newspaper said two vessels were listed on the website of Qingdao-based Transfar Shipping, which describes itself as "an emerging player in the transpacific market" as part of its fleet list.

However, Transfar said on Friday that it had stopped operating the ships in February 2023 and needed to know which company was using them now.

The report stated that the move of Chinese lines to the Red Sea comes after most big container shipping lines — including China's Cosco, operator of the industry's fourth-biggest fleet —abandoned the southern Red Sea because of the security risks.

According to Hasan, Djibouti seeks to become a global hub that serves most of the markets, extending from China in the east through the Middle East and the Mediterranean all the way to Northern Europe.

According to official statistics, Djibouti ports witness daily transit of about 90 ships, 59% of which are coming from Asia, while vessels from Europe represent 21%, while other continents, including Africa, represent 16%.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), maritime transport through the Red Sea decreased by approximately 30% in one year.

The International Chamber of Shipping says the Red Sea is a vital route that usually carries about 12% of global trade.

Doraleh Port, established in 2009, is about three kilometers from the gate to the edge of the sea, with a depth of 20 meters and a width of 1,050 meters, and it is considered one of the largest container ports in Africa.

Hasan told Asharq Al-Awsat that the port was equipped with the most advanced handling machines in the world, and it began operating only about three months ago.

The port ranked first in Africa for three consecutive years, and there are 30 mechanisms dedicated to distributing containers registered in a system with unique codes.

Some containers are destined for domestic and neighboring countries, and others are being re-exported to other international ports.

He explained that all the working crews are Djiboutian, with 800 full-timers and about 1,000 hired when needed.

Hasan addressed the establishment of a seaport for Ethiopia in Somaliland after announcing an initial agreement between the two sides, indicating that this would not affect the Djiboutian ports.

The advisor asserted that establishing an Ethiopian port in Somaliland would not affect the Djiboutian ports.

- Freight train to Ethiopia

Doraleh Port is directly connected to the main train terminal to transport goods from the port to Ethiopia.

Djibouti is the main gateway for Ethiopian imports and exports to and from the world.

According to the advisor, the train's journey from the port to Metu in Ethiopia takes 10 to 12 hours before continuing its way to Addis Ababa.

Hasan pointed out that three train lines can be operated simultaneously, while two trains run daily to Ethiopia, with an average of 106 containers for each train.

The Addis Ababa-Djibouti railway line is the first electric-powered railway line designed to Chinese specifications.

Djibouti and Ethiopia benefit from it by establishing industrial and logistical zones and constructing new cities and villages along this line, which passes through the Horn of Africa.

Ethiopia, which exports and imports nearly 90% of goods through Djibouti ports, has plans to expand the train network to extend to Sudan, Kenya, and South Sudan.



OPEC+ Agrees in Principle on Theoretical Oil Output Hike amid Iran War Paralysis

FILE PHOTO: A model of an oil pump is seen in front of the OPEC logo in this illustration taken January 9, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A model of an oil pump is seen in front of the OPEC logo in this illustration taken January 9, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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OPEC+ Agrees in Principle on Theoretical Oil Output Hike amid Iran War Paralysis

FILE PHOTO: A model of an oil pump is seen in front of the OPEC logo in this illustration taken January 9, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A model of an oil pump is seen in front of the OPEC logo in this illustration taken January 9, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

OPEC+ has agreed in principle to raise its oil output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May, three sources with knowledge of the group's talks said ahead of its meeting later on Sunday, a rise that will largely exist on paper as its key members are unable to raise production due to the US-Israeli war with Iran.

The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz - the world's most important oil route - since the end of February and cut exports from OPEC+ members.
Some group members such as Russia are unable to increase output due to Western sanctions and damage to infrastructure inflicted during the war with Ukraine.

Inside the Gulf, damage to infrastructure from missile and drone attacks has also been severe. Several Gulf officials have said it would take months to resume normal operations and reach production targets even if the war stopped and Hormuz reopened immediately, according to Reuters.
Iran on Saturday said Iraq was exempt from any restrictions to transit the vital route, and shipping data on Sunday showed a tanker loaded with Iraqi crude passing through the strait. Still, it remains to be seen if more vessels will take the risk involved, a source close to the issue said.

Sunday's OPEC+ talks are set to start at around 1300 GMT with a gathering of ministers called the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which does not decide on output policy.

After this, eight members of OPEC+ hold separate talks having agreed in principle to raise output quotas by 206,000 bpd for May, the three sources said. This would be the same as the increase decided for April at their last meeting held on March 1, just as the war began to disrupt oil flows. A month later, the largest oil supply disruption on record is estimated to have removed as many as 12 to 15 million bpd or up to 15% of global supply. Crude prices have soared to a four-year high close to $120 a barrel. Oil prices could spike above $150 - an all-time high - if flows via Hormuz remain disrupted into mid-May, JPMorgan said on Thursday. A quota increase will have little immediate impact on supply but would signal readiness to raise output once Hormuz reopens, OPEC+ sources have said. Consultancy Energy Aspects called the increase "academic" as long as disruptions in the strait persist.


War Weighs on Egypt’s Private Sector as PMI Hits Near Two-Year Low in March

People walk past a closed cinema as shops close early under a government-ordered curfew aimed at reducing energy costs in downtown Cairo on April 2, 2026. (AFP)
People walk past a closed cinema as shops close early under a government-ordered curfew aimed at reducing energy costs in downtown Cairo on April 2, 2026. (AFP)
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War Weighs on Egypt’s Private Sector as PMI Hits Near Two-Year Low in March

People walk past a closed cinema as shops close early under a government-ordered curfew aimed at reducing energy costs in downtown Cairo on April 2, 2026. (AFP)
People walk past a closed cinema as shops close early under a government-ordered curfew aimed at reducing energy costs in downtown Cairo on April 2, 2026. (AFP)

Egypt's non-oil private ‌sector deteriorated at its sharpest pace in almost two years in March, as the Middle East war drove up costs and dampened client demand, a closely watched business survey showed on Sunday.

The headline S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index fell for a fourth consecutive month, dropping to 48.0 in March from 48.9 in February — its lowest reading since April 2024.

The ‌figure remained below ‌the 50.0 threshold that ‌separates growth ⁠from contraction, though ⁠it was broadly in line with the survey's long-run average of 48.2.

Output and new orders were the chief drags on the index, with both measures also hitting their lowest levels for nearly two years. Firms frequently blamed ⁠the Middle East conflict for dampening client ‌demand, partly through ‌intensifying price pressures.

In a first, business expectations for the ‌coming 12 months slipped into negative territory, with ‌companies citing uncertainty over the war as a key reason for pessimism, though the degree of gloom was described as mild.

David Owen, senior economist at ‌S&P Global Market Intelligence, nevertheless noted that "the latest figure of 48.0 still relates ⁠to ⁠annual GDP growth of around 4.3%," adding that "recent data suggests the domestic non-oil sector is on a solid underlying growth path."

Cost pressures remained a serious concern, however. Input prices surged at their joint-sharpest pace in one-and-a-half years, as firms cited fuel costs and other war-related commodity price increases, compounded by a stronger US dollar.

In response, companies raised their selling prices at the fastest rate in 10 months, though the increase remained modest overall.


Middle East War Presents ‘Serious Risk’ for Africa, Warns Report

Festus Mwirotsi, 34, scouts for pests and diseases in roses meant for export at Isinya Roses farm in Kajiado, Kenya, March 24, 2026, as Kenya's flower industry is losing up to $1.4 million a week as the Iran war cuts demand and disrupts shipping. (AP)
Festus Mwirotsi, 34, scouts for pests and diseases in roses meant for export at Isinya Roses farm in Kajiado, Kenya, March 24, 2026, as Kenya's flower industry is losing up to $1.4 million a week as the Iran war cuts demand and disrupts shipping. (AP)
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Middle East War Presents ‘Serious Risk’ for Africa, Warns Report

Festus Mwirotsi, 34, scouts for pests and diseases in roses meant for export at Isinya Roses farm in Kajiado, Kenya, March 24, 2026, as Kenya's flower industry is losing up to $1.4 million a week as the Iran war cuts demand and disrupts shipping. (AP)
Festus Mwirotsi, 34, scouts for pests and diseases in roses meant for export at Isinya Roses farm in Kajiado, Kenya, March 24, 2026, as Kenya's flower industry is losing up to $1.4 million a week as the Iran war cuts demand and disrupts shipping. (AP)

The Middle East war "presents a serious risk to Africa", the African Union and the African Development Bank (AfDB) said in a report seen by AFP Saturday.

The conflict threatens to increase the cost of living and curtail growth on the continent, the report warned.

The Middle East accounts for 15.8 percent of Africa's imports and 10.9 percent of its exports, the report noted.

"The conflict, which already has triggered a trade shock, could quickly turn into a cost-of-living crisis across Africa through higher fuel and food prices, rising shipping and insurance costs, exchange rate pressures, and tighter fiscal conditions," it added.

The growth rate of most African countries continues to be slower than before the Covid pandemic, it noted.

"A loss in output growth of 0.2 percentage points on Africa's GDP is projected for 2026 if it (the conflict) exceeds six months," it said.

"The longer the conflict lasts and the more severe the disruption to shipping routes and energy and fertilizer supplies, the greater the risk of a significant growth slowdown across the continent."

Reduced deliveries of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the Gulf will impact fertilizer production, limiting its availability during the crucial planting period up to May, it added.

- Currencies hit -

The report was compiled by the UN Development Program (UNDP) and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA).

According to recent data from the AfDB, the currencies of 29 African countries have already depreciated, increasing the cost of servicing external debt, making imports more expensive and reducing foreign exchange reserves,

Some countries could see some short-term gains, such as Nigeria for its oil exports or Mozambique for its LNG.

The rerouting of ships around Cape of Good Hope could benefit ports in Mozambique, South Africa, Namibia and Mauritius.

Kenya is establishing itself as a logistics hub in East Africa, while Ethiopian Airlines, the leading carrier in Africa, is serving as an "emergency air bridge" between the continent, Asia, and Europe, the report noted.

But these gains are likely to be uneven and will not offset the consequences for inflation, budgets, and food security in Africa, they warned.

Above all, the current crisis could hit the costs of humanitarian aid and divert donor funds towards other priorities.