Oil Prices Spike after US Strikes on Iran

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Spike after US Strikes on Iran

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices surged and Asian markets traded lower on Monday on concerns of disruption to energy markets after US air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.

The dollar strengthened as traders assessed the weekend's events, with Iran threatening US bases in the Middle East as fears grow of an escalating conflict in the volatile region.

Iran is the world's ninth-biggest oil-producing country, with output of about 3.3 million barrels per day.

It exports just under half of that amount and keeps the rest for domestic consumption.

If Tehran decides to retaliate, observers say one of its options would be to seek to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz -- which carries one-fifth of global oil output.

When trading opened on Monday, Brent and the main US crude contract WTI both jumped more than four percent to hit their highest price since January.

They pared these gains however and later in the morning Brent was up 2.1 percent at $75.43 per barrel and WTI was 2.1 percent higher at $78.64.

Economists at MUFG warned of "high uncertainty of the outcomes and duration of this war", publishing a "scenario analysis" of an oil price increase of $10 per barrel.

"An oil price shock would create a real negative impact on most Asian economies" as many are big net energy importers, they wrote, reflecting the market's downbeat mood.

Tokyo's key Nikkei index was down 0.6 percent at the break, with Hong Kong losing 0.4 percent and Shanghai flat. Seoul fell 0.7 percent and Sydney was 0.8 percent lower.

'Extreme route'

The dollar's value rose against other currencies but analysts questioned to what extent this would hold out.

"If the increase proves to be just a knee-jerk reaction to what is perceived as short-lived US involvement in the Middle-East conflict, the dollar's downward path is likely to resume," said Sebastian Boyd, markets live blog strategist at Bloomberg.

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Sunday that the strikes had "devastated the Iranian nuclear program", though some officials cautioned that the extent of the damage was unclear.

It comes after Israel launched a bombing campaign against Iran earlier this month.

Chris Weston at Pepperstone said Iran would be able to inflict economic damage on the world without taking the "extreme route" of trying to close the Strait of Hormuz.

"By planting enough belief that they could disrupt this key logistical channel, maritime costs could rise to the point that it would have a significant impact on the supply of crude and gas," he wrote.

At the same time, "while Trump's primary focus will be on the Middle East, headlines on trade negotiations could soon start to roll in and market anxieties could feasibly build".



IMF Says it's Updating Assessment of US Economy to Reflect Impact of Iran War

An American Flag on the US Capitol Building is seen in Washington, US, August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm/File Photo
An American Flag on the US Capitol Building is seen in Washington, US, August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm/File Photo
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IMF Says it's Updating Assessment of US Economy to Reflect Impact of Iran War

An American Flag on the US Capitol Building is seen in Washington, US, August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm/File Photo
An American Flag on the US Capitol Building is seen in Washington, US, August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm/File Photo

The International Monetary Fund on Thursday said it is updating a recently completed review of the US economy to reflect the impact of the Iran war, Reuters reported.

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack said the updated assessment would be considered by the IMF's board in coming weeks and then published.


Czech Central Bank Keeping Options open as Iran War Clouds Rate Prospects

People leave the Czech National Bank building in central Prague December 9, 2011. REUTERS/Petr Josek/File Photo
People leave the Czech National Bank building in central Prague December 9, 2011. REUTERS/Petr Josek/File Photo
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Czech Central Bank Keeping Options open as Iran War Clouds Rate Prospects

People leave the Czech National Bank building in central Prague December 9, 2011. REUTERS/Petr Josek/File Photo
People leave the Czech National Bank building in central Prague December 9, 2011. REUTERS/Petr Josek/File Photo

The Czech National Bank (CNB) held interest rates steady as expected on Thursday and said it was keeping options open as it monitors the economic fallout from the conflict in the Middle East.

Since the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran on February 28, oil prices have jumped above $100 a barrel, raising global risks of higher inflation and an economic hit.

Czech central bank policymakers voted unanimously to keep the main rate steady at 3.50% on Thursday, in line with forecasts from all 17 analysts in a Reuters poll last week.

The poll's median forecast saw interest rates remaining on hold for the rest of the year, although money markets have priced in chances of a hike. Governor Ales Michl said after the decision that the conditions for fighting inflation are now better than during the previous energy and inflation shock following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, as policy is now tighter and rates are higher than inflation.

He added that inflation expectations remain anchored, and it was important to keep them low.

"We are acting restrictively in the economy," he said. "On the other hand, we are monitoring the situation, we are keeping all options open."

The Czech crown was a touch weaker after the bank's decision but largely steady on the day, at 24.49 to the euro, and around its lowest levels since September after this month's declines.

INFLATION STILL SEEN STAYING LOW

The central bank had discussed a possible rate cut at its last meeting in February, before the Iran war. It last cut rates in May 2025 as part of a 350-basis-point easing cycle.

Inflation in the Czech Republic has fallen below the bank's 2% target, hitting a headline rate of 1.4% year-on-year in February with help from a government measure to ease energy bills. That provides a cushion to potential shock from higher oil prices, and Michl said inflation should stay below 2% this year, according to updated forecasts partly incorporating higher oil prices, even though core inflation should remain elevated in the quarters ahead.

The central bank will be looking at the secondary impacts of a higher oil price to see if it soaks through to other segments.


King Khalid International Airport Wins World’s Most Improved Airport at Skytrax Awards 2026

The recognition was announced during the Skytrax World Airport Awards ceremony, London - SPA
The recognition was announced during the Skytrax World Airport Awards ceremony, London - SPA
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King Khalid International Airport Wins World’s Most Improved Airport at Skytrax Awards 2026

The recognition was announced during the Skytrax World Airport Awards ceremony, London - SPA
The recognition was announced during the Skytrax World Airport Awards ceremony, London - SPA

King Khalid International Airport, managed and operated by Riyadh Airports Company, has achieved global recognition after being named “World’s Most Improved Airport” among more than 560 airports worldwide in 2026. It also received the award for Best Airport in the 30–40 million passengers category, ranked 14th on the list of the world’s best airports, and placed second for Best Airport Staff in the Middle East.

The recognition was announced during the Skytrax World Airport Awards ceremony, held in London on March 18, as part of the Passenger Terminal Expo “PTE World 2026,” with the participation of leading aviation industry figures and experts from around the world, SPA reported.

The achievement reflects the significant progress the airport has made across various areas, driven by a series of development initiatives that have enhanced the passenger experience and elevated service quality in line with the highest international standards, resulting in a qualitative leap in operational efficiency and performance.

This milestone underscores the Kingdom’s accelerating transformation across multiple sectors, including aviation, which continues to grow in line with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030, aimed at positioning the Kingdom as a global logistics hub and a key center for domestic and international travel.

CEO of Riyadh Airports Company Ayman AboAbah said the achievements reflect the company’s firm commitment to advancing operational services and airport infrastructure.

Meanwhile, Skytrax CEO Edward Plaisted said the recognition reflects the scale of development achieved at King Khalid International Airport, noting that travelers are experiencing clear improvements across all stages of their journey.

He added that the airport’s rise to 14th place in the list of the world’s top 100 airports underscores the strength and impact of these developments, the efficiency of the upgrade plans, and their success in enhancing passenger experience, reinforcing its position as a key regional travel hub, and embodying the scale of its exceptional transformation.