Saudi Arabia Turns Potato Farming Challenge into Export Opportunity

Saudi Arabia Turns Potato Farming Challenge into Export Opportunity
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Saudi Arabia Turns Potato Farming Challenge into Export Opportunity

Saudi Arabia Turns Potato Farming Challenge into Export Opportunity

In the deserts of Hail in northern Saudi Arabia, where rugged mountains border a climate that turns mild in summer and biting in winter, an unlikely agricultural success story has emerged.

From sandy soil that appears unforgiving at first glance, uniform potatoes are harvested to meet the exacting standards of local and international markets, supplying global food companies and contributing to the growth of a thriving export industry.

Grown not on traditional farmland but in a desert landscape long constrained by water and energy shortages, the crop has become a case study in how agricultural innovation and industrial sustainability can converge, positioning Saudi Arabia among the world's exporters of potatoes and processed potato products.

Potatoes in Hail are cultivated in sandy soil that gives the crop sufficient room to grow without deformities, setting it apart from harder soils that reduce quality and market acceptance. The main challenge, however, was not the soil but groundwater scarcity, making the search for innovative irrigation solutions a necessity rather than a choice.

That marked the start of a shift. Farmers have adopted drip irrigation systems powered by solar energy to reduce consumption and increase productivity, transforming Hail into a strategic production hub that contributes to self-sufficiency and exports to global markets.

According to previous remarks by Saudi Industry Minister Bandar Alkhorayef, the kingdom developed an irrigation model tailored to potatoes grown for potato chip manufacturing and export.

Alkhorayef said at the time that PepsiCo, which produces the well-known Lay’s brand, faced difficulties exporting potatoes grown in the kingdom. He stated that the government had collaborated with the Ministry of Agriculture to address the issue.

“They had a valid concern related to water scarcity, so we developed an appropriate irrigation model, which was approved by the agriculture ministry, resolving the export problem,” he said.

According to the Ministry of Environment, Water, and Agriculture, Saudi Arabia experienced a significant increase in potato production in 2023, with output rising by 47 percent to exceed 621,750 tonnes. The self-sufficiency rate reached 86.8 percent, according to the latest officially announced figures.

Hamoud Al Saleh, founder and chairman of Lahaa Agricultural Production, one of the Saudi suppliers to PepsiCo, said the kingdom had exported potatoes to Russia for six consecutive years, in addition to other countries including Norway, Lebanon, Syria and Jordan, while also supplying local factories.

Challenges

Some European markets still face hurdles in importing Saudi potatoes due to the absence of trade protocols, while Norway has proven more flexible, continuing imports over recent years, Al Saleh said.

He said groundwater remains the biggest challenge for farmers. Speaking to Asharq Al Awsat, Al Saleh said PepsiCo supported the company in implementing drip irrigation, covering part of the cost for three years and providing experts to help design and approve the system, which significantly increased productivity.

He said yields per hectare rose to between 50 and 60 tonnes in some fields, alongside a notable reduction in water consumption. He added that Saudi potatoes show high resilience to environmental conditions.

Energy has also been a challenge, with agricultural equipment relying heavily on diesel. This has prompted many farmers to adopt solar power, thereby easing operating costs for both farmers and the state.

Al Saleh unveiled a new project costing 15 million riyals, approximately $4 million, spanning 700 hectares and utilizing a combination of diesel and solar energy, describing it as a long-term investment aimed at enhancing sustainability and reducing consumption.

Resource efficiency

PepsiCo said resource efficiency has become a central pillar of its regional strategy. Ahmed El Sheikh, president and general manager for the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan, said the company had adopted advanced drip irrigation systems in cooperation with specialized firms and the agriculture and industry ministries.

He said this helped cut water use by around 30 percent compared to traditional irrigation, alongside a shift toward solar energy instead of diesel, which reduced fuel and energy consumption.

Regarding exports, El Sheikh stated that most products are shipped to Gulf states and Jordan, with efforts underway to explore exports to Syria from plants within the kingdom.

In terms of investments linked to Vision 2030, he stated that the company has invested 300 million riyals, approximately $80 million, in new production lines targeting both local and export markets.

He stated that local content reached 95 percent for certain packaging materials that were previously imported, while locally sourced potatoes also achieved 95 percent, with ongoing efforts to reach 100 percent.

Local content refers to the share of raw materials, manufactured inputs, or extracted resources produced inside Saudi Arabia, whether agricultural, industrial, or packaging-related.

Regarding workforce localization, El Sheikh stated that some plants, including the Dammam factory, have achieved Saudization rates of 80 percent, with the appointment of the first Saudi female plant manager.

In research and development, the company stated that it has established an R&D center with investments exceeding 30 million riyals, approximately $8 million, thereby localizing operations within the kingdom instead of relying on overseas centers.

El Sheikh said the company has reached full operational capacity in working with farmers on potato crops, calling it a major achievement that it hopes to replicate with other crops in the future.

Water scarcity by the numbers

This agricultural experience comes amid mounting challenges to water resources. The National Water Strategy says Saudi Arabia has a limited stock of exploitable non-renewable groundwater, with low recharge rates not exceeding 2.8 billion cubic meters annually.

Total water demand is estimated at approximately 24.8 billion cubic meters, with an annual growth rate of around 7 percent.

The strategy states that agriculture is the largest consumer of water in the kingdom, accounting for approximately 84 percent of total demand, and relies heavily on non-renewable resources that make up nearly 90 percent of agricultural water use.

Agriculture ministry data show irrigation efficiency does not exceed 50 percent, compared with more than 75 percent under global best practices. Fodder cultivation alone consumes about 67 percent of agricultural water, according to the latest available figures.

Government role

This shift in potato farming would not have been completed without government support. The kingdom developed and approved an irrigation model suited to potatoes grown for chips and export as the preferred method, prompting PepsiCo to expand its factories in the Eastern Province with investments exceeding 300 million riyals.

This helped make Saudi Arabia the world’s second-largest hub for potato chip manufacturing, according to previous remarks by the industry minister.

Beyond exports, the model strengthens self-sufficiency. Under this approach, Saudi potatoes have become more than just an ingredient in chips, turning into a symbol of integration between agriculture and industry and evidence of the kingdom’s ability to transform environmental challenges into global economic and investment opportunities, in line with the ambitions of Vision 2030.



WTO Raises 2026 Global Merchandise Trade Growth Forecast to 3.9% On AI Boom

A view shows shipping containers at a commercial port in Vladivostok, Russia August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo 
A view shows shipping containers at a commercial port in Vladivostok, Russia August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo 
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WTO Raises 2026 Global Merchandise Trade Growth Forecast to 3.9% On AI Boom

A view shows shipping containers at a commercial port in Vladivostok, Russia August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo 
A view shows shipping containers at a commercial port in Vladivostok, Russia August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo 

The World Trade Organization (WTO) has upgraded its global merchandise trade growth forecast for 2026 to 3.9%, a significant jump from its previous 1.9% projection made in March.

The upward revision is primarily driven by surging investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and adaptable supply chains, which have successfully cushioned economic shocks from the ongoing Middle East conflict.

The latest WTO Global Trade Outlook and Statistics report expects 4.1% growth in 2027, up from a previous forecast of 2.6%, and marginally below 2025 trade volume growth of 4.2%.

A surge in spending on semiconductors and AI data centers provided a significant boost, with trade in those products jumping 67% from a year earlier, the report said.

It said in the first half of 2026, AI-enabling goods such as semiconductors and servers accounted for 47% of global merchandise trade growth.

The WTO said merchandise trade had proved more resilient than expected in the face of disruptions, as stronger demand for AI-related products offset some of the impact of the war and supply chain disruptions.

However, the Geneva-based trade watchdog downgraded its outlook for services trade to 3.3% in 2026, down ⁠from a previous baseline forecast of 4.8%, due to higher aviation fuel costs linked to the conflict in the Middle East.

Growth forecasts this year for transport and travel services, both of which rely heavily on the region, were also cut to 0.9% and 0.2%, respectively. Services trade growth is forecast to rebound to 6.4% in 2027.

Regional Disparities

The WTO report said Asia is set to lead merchandise trade growth in 2026, with imports rising 9.5% and exports 9.9%, while Africa is also expected to post strong growth, with imports up 8.9% and exports ⁠up 5.6%.

Import growth is forecast to remain subdued in North America at 1.4%, although exports are expected to increase 5.7%. By contrast, both imports and exports in the Middle East are projected to contract sharply, falling 15.4% and 17.2%, respectively.

The WTO said signs of wider fragmentation between rival geopolitical ⁠trade blocs had eased while world GDP is expected to grow by 2.6% in 2026, with the largest gains in Asia at 4.3%, followed by Africa and South America, while the Middle East is expected to see a sharp drop in output of 4%.

AI Leads Trade

The report also noted one of the widest gaps in recent years between the growth in world merchandise trade volumes — at 3.5% year-on-year in the ⁠first half of 2026 — and the dollar value of trade, at 15%, reflecting higher prices for energy products and strong demand for AI-enabling goods.

In value terms, AI-enabling goods accounted for nearly half of global merchandise trade growth in the first half of 2026, but remain highly geographically concentrated, the report said.

It then warned that several risks could still affect the forecast such as diminishing household purchasing power due to higher fuel and fertilizer costs linked to disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy supplies, and the Russian war in Ukraine, as well as any slowdown in AI investment.

Also, the WTO said signs of wider fragmentation between rival geopolitical ⁠trade blocs had eased, but decoupling between the US and China had accelerated and was now the main driver of divergence in global trade patterns.

US imports from China fell 29% in 2025, reducing China's share of total US imports to 9.3% from more than 20% before trade tensions between the world's two largest economies flared up in 2018, the report said.


World Bank Praises Saudi Arabia’s Experience in Data Governance and AI Development

General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
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World Bank Praises Saudi Arabia’s Experience in Data Governance and AI Development

General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)
General view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (SPA)

In its regional economic report for the Middle East and North Africa, the World Bank highlighted the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s experience in data governance and the development of national infrastructure supporting artificial intelligence (AI).

The report —released in October 2026 and titled "From Gap to Opportunity: AI, Jobs, and Growth"— underscored the Kingdom's progress in developing AI models and computing capabilities, as well as in technology investments, the Saudi Press Agency reported Friday.

The bank commended the Kingdom's progress—represented by the Saudi Data and AI Authority (SDAIA)—in building a national data and AI ecosystem. It regarded the Saudi experience as a benchmark for developing institutional models for data and AI governance, while highlighting the role of institutional integration and national support in accelerating capacity building in this field.

The World Bank dedicated a standalone case study to SDAIA’s experience. The study examined the authority's role in governing the national data ecosystem and accelerating the adoption of AI technologies through the National Data Management Office, the National Center for Artificial Intelligence, and the National Information Center, as well as the regulatory, developmental, and technical roles it plays in supporting the Kingdom’s digital transformation.

The World Bank highlighted the Kingdom's progress in adopting AI technologies, noting that the adoption rate among Saudi enterprises reached approximately 28% in 2024—surpassing the 20% average recorded by OECD countries in 2025—with the highest adoption rates observed in the telecommunications, information technology, finance, and insurance activities.

The report also presented findings from an International Finance Corporation (IFC) study showing a 100% AI adoption rate among companies headquartered in the Kingdom.

The report also highlighted the Kingdom's advancement in the Stanford University AI Index, recognizing it as a global leader in developing cutting-edge AI models—a field in which the Kingdom was among the region's first to innovate.

It also commended SDAIA's efforts to develop national data infrastructure—specifically through the Data Bank—and its role in fostering data integration and exchange among entities, while minimizing data duplication and fragmentation to support reliable AI applications.

Regarding governance, the report highlighted the Kingdom's progress in establishing regulatory frameworks for data governance and protection. This includes SDAIA’s role in implementing the Personal Data Protection Law and developing national controls and standards, alongside the National Data Index—which monitors government entities' compliance with data management and governance controls—and the National AI Index, which measures government entities' readiness to adopt AI technologies and tracks their progress in this field.

The World Bank highlighted the Kingdom's efforts to build AI human capacity, citing SDAIA's "SAMA" initiative. This initiative exceeded its target by training over 1.2 million people in AI skills—reflecting the Kingdom's commitment to expanding AI knowledge and making these skills accessible to broad segments of society.

The report underscored the Kingdom's experience in establishing robust national foundations for data and artificial intelligence. It noted that effective data governance is a cornerstone of digital transformation, fosters innovation, and supports safe, responsible AI applications, adding that the Saudi model offers a valuable reference for nations seeking to build their own national ecosystems in this field.


Council of Economic and Development Affairs Stresses Saudi Economy’s Resilience

A previous CEDA meeting chaired by the Saudi Crown Prince. SPA
A previous CEDA meeting chaired by the Saudi Crown Prince. SPA
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Council of Economic and Development Affairs Stresses Saudi Economy’s Resilience

A previous CEDA meeting chaired by the Saudi Crown Prince. SPA
A previous CEDA meeting chaired by the Saudi Crown Prince. SPA

The Saudi Council of Economic and Development Affairs (CEDA) has discussed during a virtual meeting developments in the global economy amid rapidly changing geopolitical conditions and their effects on the national economy with the Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 53.8 in August 2026 from 53.1 in July.

CEDA discussed the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s monthly report and examined developments in the global economy, including rising inflationary pressures and tighter monetary policies adopted by major central banks, the Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday.

It also discussed the implications for Saudi Arabia, highlighting the national economy’s resilience and ability to navigate regional and international challenges while identifying opportunities arising from the changing economic environment.

The report showed that the Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 53.8 in August 2026 from 53.1 in July, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth.

The Business Confidence Index also increased to 56.7, up 0.2 points from the previous month, reflecting continued confidence in the outlook for the Saudi economy.

The council reviewed a separate report from its Strategic Management Office on the performance of Saudi Vision 2030 programs and national strategies during the second quarter of 2026.

The report highlighted the transformation achieved over the past decade and outlined the next phase of Vision 2030, focused on maximizing impact, consolidating gains and sustaining progress across its three pillars: a vibrant society, a thriving economy and an ambitious nation.

The council also examined the Quality of Life Program Center’s 2025 annual report, which showed that the program’s initiatives contributed 44% in local content by the end of 2025, exceeding the target of 37%.

The initiatives contributed SR78 billion ($20.8 billion) to gross domestic product, surpassing the target of SR77.1 billion ($20.6 billion).

In addition, the council reviewed the 2025 annual report of the Citizen Account Program.
The council also discussed a second-quarter report from the National Center for Performance Measurement (Adaa), covering government agencies’ performance and progress toward Vision 2030 targets.

The report outlined efforts to improve government performance through strategic reviews, performance monitoring, addressing implementation challenges and identifying opportunities for improvement.

The council also discussed a second-quarter report from the National Center for Performance Measurement (Adaa), covering government agencies’ performance and progress toward Vision 2030 targets.

The report outlined efforts to improve government performance through strategic reviews, performance monitoring, addressing implementation challenges and identifying opportunities for improvement.