European Stocks Firm after Sell-off on Middle East Turmoil

German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2025. REUTERS/staff
German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2025. REUTERS/staff
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European Stocks Firm after Sell-off on Middle East Turmoil

German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2025. REUTERS/staff
German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2025. REUTERS/staff

European stock markets firmed on Wednesday after a global rout driven by fears that surging energy prices from the Middle East war could fan inflation and hit the global economy.

The gains followed steep losses across Asian stock markets, where rising oil prices rattled investors on the fifth day of attacks on Iran and its retaliation across the region.

The London, Paris and Frankfurt stock markets were in the green in midday deals as European gas prices eased from this week's spike.

"Signs of a tentative stabilisation in Europe... are welcome but could be premature," said Neil Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets, AFP reported.

"There may be more to come in terms of a structural decline in equity valuations should the economic effects start to be felt through trade, energy, inflation channels," he added.

Oil prices climbed, though gains were capped following US President Donald Trump's announcement that the US Navy was ready to escort oil tankers through the crucial Strait of Hormuz.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards, meanwhile, claimed "complete control" of the vital waterway, through which about a fifth of global oil supplies flow.

Fears of sustained supply disruptions have dimmed hopes for further interest rate cuts, with analysts saying central banks may delay easing if energy costs keep inflation elevated.

"Until there is a pause in this conflict and free flowing oil around the world, it is hard to see how markets can stage a meaningful recovery," said Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading group XTB.

The Dubai and Abu Dhabi stock exchanges dropped on Wednesday after a two-day trading suspension over Iran's missile and drone attacks across the Gulf.

The Dubai bourse was down more than four percent and the Abu Dhabi's ADX was more than two percent lower.

Seoul led losses in Asia as the Kospi tanked more than 12 percent, suffering its worst two-day collapse since the 2008 financial crisis, with trading briefly halted.

Chung Hae-chang, analyst at Daishin Securities, said: "Because South Korea, Japan, China and Taiwan rely heavily on energy shipments that pass through the Strait, any blockage would have significant negative effects on the market."

Japan's Nikkei 225 ended off more than three percent, with chipmakers Advantest and Tokyo Electron losing more than four percent.

Elsewhere in Asia, Taipei sank more than four percent. Bangkok tumbled eight percent to also spark a brief trading halt.

Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, Shanghai, Wellington, Mumbai, Manila and Jakarta were also deep in negative territory.

- Key figures at around 1140 GMT -

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 10,542.64 points

Paris - CAC 40: UP 1.0 percent at 8,184.20

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 1.5 percent at 24,151.68

Seoul - Kospi: DOWN 12.1 percent at 5,093.54 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 3.6 percent at 54,245.54 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 2.0 percent at 25,249.48 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 1.0 percent at 4,082.47 (close)

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.8 percent at 48,501.27 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1637 from $1.1617 on Tuesday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3382 from $1.3358

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 157.20 yen from 157.59 yen

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.97 pence from 86.98 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $74.70 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.1 percent at $82.31 per barrel



Saudi Aramco: Oil Refining Has Been Underinvested

FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Saudi Aramco: Oil Refining Has Been Underinvested

FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Saudi Aramco logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier displayed in this illustration taken September 4, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The current oil supply crisis shows there is underinvestment in oil refining as demand holds resilient, Saudi state-owned Aramco's vice president of market analysis and sustainability, Musaab Al Mulla, said on Tuesday.

Around 3 ⁠million barrels per ⁠day of refining capacity closed between 2020 and 2023, Al Mulla said at the S&P Global Energy Middle East ⁠Petroleum and Gas Conference in London.

"Now we realize if you have those refineries you may have definitely mitigated the impacts of the crisis today," he said.

The war in Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure and ⁠Iran's effective ⁠closure of the Strait of Hormuz followed by a US naval blockade, have removed around 14 million bpd of oil supply from Middle East producers to the global market.


OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
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OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecasts Over Mideast War Fallout

A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view of vessels anchored in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 3, 2026. (Reuters)

The war in the Middle East has dented economic growth prospects worldwide, with a more severe shock likely if no effective ceasefire is agreed before 2027, the OECD warned Wednesday.

Global economic growth is now forecast to slip to 2.8 percent for 2026 if Gulf exports of oil and gas return to pre-conflict levels in the third quarter, the group of 38 industrialized countries said in its quarterly update.

Previously the OECD had forecast full-year global growth of 2.9 percent.

But if the Middle East war continues into next year, however, global growth could slow to 2.1 percent, the OECD said -- well below the average annual growth of 3.4 percent seen from 2013 to 2019, before the Covid pandemic.

"The longer the disruptions last, the larger the economic and social costs become," the group's chief economist Stefano Scarpetta said in the report.

Many countries would risk falling into recession, he noted, and a drop in investment spending -- "including in energy-intensive AI" -- would likely push up unemployment.

Sustained high prices for energy as well as fertilizer and other key products from hydrocarbon production in the Gulf would weigh especially hard on developing countries that have "higher shares of energy and food in household consumption".

Even if the war sparked by US and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February ends in the coming weeks, the OECD forecast global inflation rising to 4.0 percent this year from 3.4 percent in 2025.

In this "time-limited disruption scenario", the group expects US growth to slow to 2.0 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2027, after growing 2.1 percent last year.

In the eurozone, where many countries are highly dependent on energy imports, GDP growth will slump to 0.8 percent this year after 1.4 percent last year, assuming a Mideast ceasefire is secured in the coming weeks.


Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
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Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Activity Hits 3-month High in May

The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)
The Saudi capital, Riyadh (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector expanded at the fastest pace in three months in May as domestic demand improved and supply chains stabilized, while business optimism remained subdued amid conflict in the region, a survey showed on Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 52.8 in May from 51.5 in April. The 50 mark separates growth from contraction, Reuters reported.

Output accelerated at the ⁠fastest pace in ⁠three months after March's downturn following the start of the Iran war, as firms cited normalizing working conditions, revived contracts and stronger local demand.

Export sales fell for a third straight month, hit by shipping disruption, higher freight and fuel costs, geopolitical tensions and stronger competition. The pace of decline eased only modestly from April's survey-record contraction.

However, supply chains improved, with suppliers' delivery times shortening for the first time in three months as ⁠firms relied ⁠more on local vendors. Backlogs of work rose for an 11th consecutive month, albeit moderately.

“Overall, the latest PMI reading supports the expectation that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy will continue its upward trend during the remainder of 2026," said Naif Al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank's chief economist.