Iran Threatens to Retaliate against Gulf Energy and Water after Trump Ultimatum

epa12835579 Liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City, in Ras Laffan, Qatar, 25 February 2026 (issued 20 March 2026). Qatar has said Iranian missile attacks on the Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused significant damage to the natural gas industrial complex, located approximately 80 km north-east of Doha. It is operated by Qatar Energy and employs around 115,000 people according to the company.  EPA/HANNIBAL HANSCHKE
epa12835579 Liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City, in Ras Laffan, Qatar, 25 February 2026 (issued 20 March 2026). Qatar has said Iranian missile attacks on the Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused significant damage to the natural gas industrial complex, located approximately 80 km north-east of Doha. It is operated by Qatar Energy and employs around 115,000 people according to the company. EPA/HANNIBAL HANSCHKE
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Iran Threatens to Retaliate against Gulf Energy and Water after Trump Ultimatum

epa12835579 Liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City, in Ras Laffan, Qatar, 25 February 2026 (issued 20 March 2026). Qatar has said Iranian missile attacks on the Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused significant damage to the natural gas industrial complex, located approximately 80 km north-east of Doha. It is operated by Qatar Energy and employs around 115,000 people according to the company.  EPA/HANNIBAL HANSCHKE
epa12835579 Liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City, in Ras Laffan, Qatar, 25 February 2026 (issued 20 March 2026). Qatar has said Iranian missile attacks on the Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused significant damage to the natural gas industrial complex, located approximately 80 km north-east of Doha. It is operated by Qatar Energy and employs around 115,000 people according to the company. EPA/HANNIBAL HANSCHKE

Iran said on Sunday it would strike the energy and water systems of its Gulf neighbors in retaliation if US President Donald Trump follows through with a threat to hit Iran's electricity grid in 48 hours, escalating the three-week-old war.

The prospect of tit-for-tat strikes on civilian infrastructure could deepen the regional crisis and rattle global markets when they reopen on Monday morning, Reuters reported.

Air raid sirens sounded across Israel from the early hours of Sunday, warning of incoming missiles from Iran, after scores of people were hurt overnight in two separate attacks in the southern Israeli towns of Arad and Dimona.

The Israeli military said hours later that it was striking Tehran in response.

Trump threatened overnight to "obliterate" Iran's power plants if Tehran did not fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, barely a day after he talked about "winding down" the war. He made the new threat as US Marines and heavy landing craft are heading to the region.

Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf wrote on X that critical infrastructure and energy facilities in the Middle East could be "irreversibly destroyed" should Iranian power plants be attacked.

Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guards said it would also mean the shipping lane where a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas normally transits along Iran's southern coast would remain shut.

"The Strait of Hormuz will be completely closed and will not be opened until our destroyed power plants are rebuilt," the Guards said in a statement.

"President Trump's threat has now placed a 48-hour ticking time bomb of elevated uncertainty over markets," said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore, who expects stock markets to fall when they reopen on Monday.

Oil prices jumped on Friday, ending the day at their highest in nearly four years.

Markets already under severe strain from blockaded shipping were further rattled last week when Israel attacked a major gas field in Iran, and Tehran responded with strikes on neighbors Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Kuwait, raising the prospect of damage hindering energy output even if tankers resume sailing.

Iranian attacks have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing the worst oil crisis since the 1970s. Its near-closure sent European gas prices surging as much as 35% last week.

"If Iran doesn't FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!" Trump posted on social media around 7:45 p.m. EDT (2345 GMT) on Saturday.

Iranian media quoted the country's representative to the International Maritime Organisation as saying the strait remains open to all shipping except vessels linked to "Iran's enemies".

Ali Mousavi said passage through the waterway was possible by coordinating security and safety arrangements with Tehran.

Ship-tracking data shows some vessels, such as Indian-flagged ships and a Pakistani oil tanker, have negotiated safe passage through the strait. But the vast majority of ships have remained holed up inside.

Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya military command headquarters said on Sunday if the US hit Iran's fuel and energy infrastructure, Iran would attack all US energy, information technology and desalination infrastructure in the region.

Striking major Iranian power plants could trigger blackouts, crippling everything from pumps and refineries to export terminals and military command centres.



Italy Discussing Expanding EU Aspides Mission to Include Strait of Hormuz, Defense Minister Says

Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Italy Discussing Expanding EU Aspides Mission to Include Strait of Hormuz, Defense Minister Says

Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Italy’s defense minister said discussions are underway to expand the European Union’s Red Sea naval mission, Aspides, to include the Strait of Hormuz, warning that Iran’s missile and nuclear ambitions pose a global threat.

In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Defense Minister Guido Crosetto said the EU is considering widening the mandate of its “Aspides” mission to protect maritime navigation beyond its current area of operations.

“The discussions aim to allow the European Union to extend maritime security operations, including the protection of the Strait of Hormuz,” he underlined.

However, Crosetto stressed that any such effort would require a broader international coalition, noting that Asian economies depend more heavily on the strategic waterway.

“This alliance goes far beyond Europe,” he noted. “Given the strait’s vital importance to Asia, it is only fair that Asian countries assume greater responsibility.”

Saudi and Gulf role

Crosetto praised Saudi Arabia’s handling of Iranian attacks, which he described as “provocative,” calling Riyadh’s response “extremely serious and important.”

“From the beginning, Saudi Arabia worked to prevent escalation,” he said. “It defended itself without being drawn into retaliation and helped create the conditions that now allow us to believe the war may be over.”

He continued that the conflict underscored a key lesson for Gulf states: that peace depends on credible defense and deterrence.

“They were attacked despite not taking hostile action,” he noted. “Even if calm returns, there is no guarantee Iran’s behavior will not change again.”

The minister added that the strikes, including on energy infrastructure and desalination plants, showed that civilian sites must be protected alongside military assets.

Growing defense ties

Crosetto said defense cooperation between Italy and Saudi Arabia has accelerated in recent years, particularly in industrial partnerships.

He said: “Italy does not simply sell. We aim to build joint development partnerships fully aligned with Vision 2030.”

He pointed to a recent satellite agreement and ongoing talks covering air defense, naval systems, aviation and helicopters.

“Our cooperation goes beyond transferring production to include technology transfer and exchange,” he remarked.

Italy also offered support during the conflict, deploying defensive systems against missiles and drones.

“We assisted friendly countries facing unjustified aggression,” he said, stressing that the support was not commercial.

Hormuz must remain open

Crosetto firmly rejected any suggestion that Iran could impose transit fees or restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, saying: “It is absolutely unacceptable for Iran to impose any fees or constraints. The strait must remain a free passage.”

He warned that allowing countries to weaponize strategic waterways would set a dangerous precedent.

“Otherwise, others could follow — from the Houthis to states controlling the Strait of Malacca, the Panama Canal or Gibraltar. That would be sheer madness,” he stressed.

Iran and regional security

Crosetto said Italy maintains communication channels with Tehran but acknowledged ties are limited. “Our relations with Iran are not particularly strong. The issue today is identifying who our real counterpart is.”

He argued that power in Iran is increasingly concentrated in the hands of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, making diplomacy more difficult.

“They represent one of the main obstacles to peace,” he said.

The minister also warned that Iran’s military capabilities extend beyond the region, saying: “As Iran has targeted Riyadh, Doha or Dubai, it could target Rome, Paris or Berlin tomorrow. This is unacceptable.”

He added that Iran obtaining nuclear weapons would be a threat “not only to Israel, but to the entire world.”

NATO and European defense

Asked about concerns over NATO’s future following remarks by US President Donald Trump, Crosetto expressed confidence in the alliance.

“NATO will endure for a very long time,” he said. “It is an added value for both Europe and the United States.”

He stressed that recent conflicts have reshaped Europe’s understanding of deterrence, highlighting the importance of coordination among allies.

“The broader and more interconnected defense becomes, the stronger it is,” the minister emphasized, calling for a greater European role alongside NATO, including non-EU countries such as Türkiye, Ukraine and Norway.

Drones

Crosetto said Italy is studying recent conflicts — from Ukraine to the Gulf — to reassess national security risks.

He argued that while the war in Ukraine appears conventional, fought in trenches reminiscent of World War I, it is fundamentally modern due to the widespread use of drones.

“Drones are now the most used weapons and account for a large share of losses,” he stated.

By contrast, the Gulf conflict has been largely aerial and missile-based, with drones — increasingly enhanced by artificial intelligence — transforming defense strategies.

The minister remarked that future defense systems must be multilayered to counter evolving threats.


Israeli Intelligence Reveals Major Fracture in Iran’s Leadership

A member of the Iranian security forces stands guard next to a banner honoring Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on March 31, 2026. (AFP)
A member of the Iranian security forces stands guard next to a banner honoring Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on March 31, 2026. (AFP)
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Israeli Intelligence Reveals Major Fracture in Iran’s Leadership

A member of the Iranian security forces stands guard next to a banner honoring Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on March 31, 2026. (AFP)
A member of the Iranian security forces stands guard next to a banner honoring Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on March 31, 2026. (AFP)

Tel Aviv has confirmed a major fracture in the Iranian leadership, which implies a partial collapse of the regime in Tehran in wake of the US-Israeli war on Iran, revealed a report by the Military Intelligence Directorate of the Israeli Army (Aman).

According to Aman, the absence of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, killed in joint US-Israeli air strike on February 28, has left a significant power vacuum in the country.

It said his son and successor, Mojtaba, lacks the charisma of his father and does not command the same religious stature or political weight. He is also still recovering from severe injuries sustained from a strike during the war and therefore, is considered unable to take real power.

The Aman report, published by the Walla website on Sunday, listed the names of Iran’s current leaders who remained in power after the US and Israeli strikes eliminated 55 key leading figures.

In addition to Mojtaba Khamenei, the list includes former Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) intelligence chief Hossein Taeb, who is also a senior adviser to Mojtaba and his secretary. Taeb is regarded as a hardline official, who considers any agreement with the West as betrayal and an existential threat to the regime.

Another survivor of the Iranian leadership is IRGC commander Ahmed Vahidi, a former Minister of Defense and Interior, who is widely considered a major hardliner.

The list also includes parliament speaker and one of Iran’s top negotiators, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, a veteran conservative politician who is interested in improving the economy and preventing Iran’s social and political collapse.

Among the reformists, the list includes President Masoud Pezeshkian, who is pursuing a more moderate path focused on economic reform and easing international sanctions. However, his powers are constrained by the IRGC.

Another reformist is Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who was a negotiator in the first nuclear deal in 2015. A senior Aman official said Araghchi is viewed as a diplomat skilled in navigating complex negotiations while attempting to preserve Iranian “dignity” against US demands.

An Israeli general in Aman said the Israeli and US strikes has decimated the inner circle of the supreme leader, forcing Tehran to rely on a more fragmented and weak leadership structure that suffers from internal tensions despite the ceasefire.

The general added that the war, assassinations, the absence of Ali Khamenei, the destruction and lack of communication among security and political figures, have all fractured the Iranian leadership, complicating its ability to make decisions and coordinate.

Aman said the hardliners have gained more power in Iran and are now capable to ruin any deal reached between reformists and the US.


Ukrainian Drones Kill Man in South Russia

This handout satellite image courtesy of 2026 Vantor taken and made available on April 16, 2026, shows smoke rising from the Tuapse oil refinery of in Tuapse, south-western Russia. (Handout / Satellite image ゥ2026 Vantor / AFP)
This handout satellite image courtesy of 2026 Vantor taken and made available on April 16, 2026, shows smoke rising from the Tuapse oil refinery of in Tuapse, south-western Russia. (Handout / Satellite image ゥ2026 Vantor / AFP)
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Ukrainian Drones Kill Man in South Russia

This handout satellite image courtesy of 2026 Vantor taken and made available on April 16, 2026, shows smoke rising from the Tuapse oil refinery of in Tuapse, south-western Russia. (Handout / Satellite image ゥ2026 Vantor / AFP)
This handout satellite image courtesy of 2026 Vantor taken and made available on April 16, 2026, shows smoke rising from the Tuapse oil refinery of in Tuapse, south-western Russia. (Handout / Satellite image ゥ2026 Vantor / AFP)

A Ukrainian drone attack killed a man and wounded another in the resort city of Tuapse on the Black Sea in southern Russia, the regional governor said Monday.

It was the second assault on the seaport in a matter of days, with drone debris damaging windows in buildings across the city, including apartments, a primary school, kindergarten, museum and church, Veniamin Kondratiev added.

"Tuapse came under yet another massive drone attack tonight. As a result, one man was killed at the seaport, according to preliminary information. I extend my deepest condolences to his family," Kondratiev said.

Another man was also wounded in the attack and received medical assistance, he added.

On Thursday, a 14-year-old girl and a young woman were killed by a nighttime drone attack on the same city, according to a previous statement by the governor.

Russia's defense ministry also reported that its air defenses had "destroyed 112 Ukrainian drones" overnight Sunday to Monday.