Oil Surges, Stocks Fall as Trump Says to Blockade Strait of Hormuz

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration//File Photo
TT

Oil Surges, Stocks Fall as Trump Says to Blockade Strait of Hormuz

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration//File Photo

Oil prices surged and stocks sank Monday after US-Iran peace talks fell apart and Donald Trump announced a blockade of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, adding to fears of energy supplies from the Middle East.

Negotiations in Islamabad at the weekend fell apart with the US delegation -- led by Vice President JD Vance -- blaming Iran's refusal to give up its nuclear program and Tehran hitting out at "maximalism, shifting goalposts, and blockade".

The news dealt a blow to hopes for an end to the six-week conflict, which has sent crude prices soaring, pushing inflation up and sending shivers through the global economy, said AFP.

Oil prices -- which tumbled last week after the United States and Iran agreed to a ceasefire -- jumped around eight percent Monday, with both contracts topping $100 a barrel.

Equities fell across Asia, with Tokyo, Hong Kong and Seoul off at least one percent, while Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Taipei and Jakarta were also down.

In a lengthy social media post, US President Donald Trump said his goal was to clear the strait of mines and reopen it to all shipping.

But he said that Iran must not be allowed to profit from controlling the waterway -- through which a fifth of global oil and gas usually passes.

"Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz," Trump wrote on Truth Social.

"Any Iranian who fires at us, or at peaceful vessels, will be BLOWN TO HELL!"

He said the blockade would only apply to vessels travelling to or from Iranian ports.

The US military said Sunday it will blockade all Iranian Gulf ports on Monday at 1400 GMT, effectively seizing control of maritime traffic.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said its security forces had full control over the strait and warned enemies would be trapped in a "deadly vortex" in case of any "wrong move".

Iran's navy chief Shahram Irani called Trump's threat "ridiculous and funny", according to state TV.

After the talks -- the highest-level meeting between the two sides since the 1979 Iranian revolution -- Vance said Washington had made Tehran its "final and best offer," adding: "We'll see if the Iranians accept it."

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the rivals had been "inches away" from a deal, writing on X that "Iran engaged with US in good faith to end war".

But he added "we encountered maximalism, shifting goalposts, and blockade".

Nicole Grajewski, an assistant professor at the Center for International Research at Sciences Po in Paris, warned that a US blockade was "not a minor coercive signal" but would rather be considered an effective resumption of the war.

Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at Forex.com, said: "The fundamental issue remains trust - or rather, the lack of it - between two long-standing adversaries who still appear some distance from common ground."

Investors are also keeping an eye on attempts to resolve the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, as Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said he was pushing to ensure the withdrawal of Israeli forces.

"We will continue to work to stop this war, to ensure the Israeli withdrawal from all our lands, the return of all the prisoners, to rebuild our destroyed villages and towns, and the safe return of the displaced," Salam said.

The prospect of the Middle East crisis continuing for the foreseeable future ramped up inflation fears and weighed on gold amid expectations interest rates would be kept elevated.

Data Friday highlighted the impact of the conflict on prices, with the US consumer price index spiking at 3.3 percent in March, its highest since May last year.



Saudi Arabia Emerges as Global AI Hub as Tech Firms Base Regional Operations in Riyadh

The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Saudi Arabia Emerges as Global AI Hub as Tech Firms Base Regional Operations in Riyadh

The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The SAS pavilion at the Global AI Show in Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is no longer preparing for the age of artificial intelligence; it is helping shape it. After designating 2026 as the Year of AI, the Kingdom has evolved from a promising market into a major technology hub, attracting global companies eager to establish regional operations.

Reflecting that momentum, US data and AI company SAS selected Riyadh as its regional headquarters for the Middle East and North Africa a year ago. Founded in 1976, SAS is marking its 50th anniversary this year and is among the world’s leading providers of predictive analytics, data management, and machine learning solutions, serving industries including energy, finance, and healthcare.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the Global AI Show, held in Riyadh on June 29-30, Khaled Moussa, Senior Customer Account Manager at SAS, said Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 has accelerated the adoption of advanced and sophisticated technologies.

He noted that the Kingdom’s modern digital infrastructure has enabled increasingly complex technological operations, fueling demand for SAS solutions and those of other technology firms across multiple sectors.

“The remarkable growth taking place in Saudi Arabia is attracting significant attention in the United States and beyond,” Moussa said. “That has encouraged international companies to make serious commitments to the market because of its rapid adoption of intelligent technologies.”

Although SAS has operated in Saudi Arabia since 1984, he added, “the market has reached a new level of maturity, both in terms of regulation and technology adoption.”

Moussa said SAS maintains a strong presence across several strategic sectors, particularly energy, through its collaboration with Saudi Aramco, the world’s largest energy company.

The company also works with the Saudi Electricity Company, providing advanced forecasting tools to predict electricity demand and support long-term planning, helping improve operational efficiency and future preparedness. SAS also supplies analytical solutions for the water sector to strengthen sustainability efforts.

Moussa highlighted two areas where predictive analytics deliver particular value. The first is market forecasting, where SAS helps organizations anticipate trends and make data-driven decisions while reducing unnecessary costs. The second is predictive maintenance, which allows industrial operators to identify potential equipment failures before they occur, minimizing downtime and avoiding costly repairs.

He also underlined SAS’s long-term commitment to developing Saudi talent. The company partners directly with universities to offer six-month paid internships, equipping students with practical experience before they enter the workforce.

In addition, SAS extends its training initiatives to schools and universities, teaching students how to apply AI technologies and preparing them for future careers.

The Global AI Show brought together more than 100 experts and global leaders from 80 countries, including government officials, innovators, and digital transformation specialists.

The event attracted more than 10,000 participants, 100 exhibitors and sponsors, and coverage from 200 international media organizations, reinforcing Riyadh’s growing role as a global platform for AI policymaking and international technology cooperation.


China Factory Activity Returns to Expansion Riding AI Global Boom

 A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
TT

China Factory Activity Returns to Expansion Riding AI Global Boom

 A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)
A man stands next to a poster of a humanoid robot during the China International Supply Chain Expo (CISCE) in Beijing on June 25, 2026. (AFP)

China's factory activity returned to expansion in June, driven by demand for chips, computers and other AI-related products, as robust export orders and front-loading to the United States to get ahead of tariffs offset weakness elsewhere in the economy.

The data suggest global AI investment is providing an important cushion for manufacturers in China's $20 trillion economy, even as disruption from the Middle East conflict and a prolonged property slump continue to weigh on broader growth.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.3 in June from 50.0 in May, according to a survey by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). It beat a median forecast of 50.0 in a Reuters poll.

"Exports to meet international demand for chips and other AI-related products, as well as front-loading to get ahead of new US Section 301 ‌tariffs due late ‌July and improved domestic demand due to lower upstream costs underpinned the improvement," said ‌Dan ⁠Wang, China director ⁠of consultancy Eurasia Group.

The number of domestic infrastructure projects ticked up over the last month too, she added. US retailers have brought forward orders from China by four to six weeks to secure their inventories for Black Friday and Christmas holiday sales before the expected tariff hikes later this year, shipping executives said.

The sub-index for new export orders returned to expansion in June, rising to 50.1 from 48.6, while the production and overall new orders gauges edged up to 51.4 and 51.2 from 51.2 and 49.9, respectively.

Factory gate prices slipped to 48.2 from 51.9 in May, however, following five months of expansion, with ⁠employment also continuing to trend downward.

"The export strength is set to continue, driven by ‌global AI investment demand," said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence ‌Unit. "Second, more policy easing will come."

"For example, fiscal spending has lagged behind budget arrangements, and it should accelerate in the coming months. There ‌is also room for monetary easing," he added.

The non-manufacturing PMI, which includes services and construction, improved to 50.2 ‌versus 50.1 in May, while the composite PMI came in at 50.6 compared with 50.5 a month earlier.

AI BOOM OR BUST

With the property crisis showing little sign of stabilizing and household spending remaining subdued, policymakers face the challenge of managing a two-speed economy.

There is enormous international demand for semiconductors powering data centers and advanced electronics, playing to China's manufacturing strengths, but there does not seem ‌to be much demand for anything else.

Exports of furniture, for example, grew just 1.9% in value terms year-on-year, according to the latest trade data for May, while shipments of ⁠automated data processing equipment ⁠jumped 60% over the same period.

Furthermore, retail sales, a proxy for domestic demand, fell for the first time in over three years, the most recent data for May showed, along with a faster slump in new home prices.

Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China Economics at Capital Economics, said the improvement "remains heavily dependent on exports and AI-related tech," and warned that "despite the improvement in activity, the manufacturing sector appears to be slipping back into deflation."

China has set a 2026 growth target of 4.5% to 5.0%, slightly below last year's 5% expansion.

With signs of precautionary buying in the wake of Middle East-related price pressures fading, input costs rising and overseas customers running down inventories while awaiting a ceasefire, Chinese manufacturers may increasingly need demand from the world's largest consumer market to regain momentum.

A closely watched meeting in May between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, however, produced no meaningful breakthroughs, whether on tariffs or Beijing using its influence over Tehran to end the Iran war.

"The sluggish data from the past few months will likely result in a notable slowdown in second-quarter GDP," said Lynn Song, chief economist for China at ING.

"We're looking for a slowdown to 4.6% year-on-year, with risks slightly balanced to the downside."


EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
TT

EU's Side of US Trade Deal to Come Into Force on July 1

FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa
FILED - 03 June 2024, Berlin: FILE PHOTO - The European Union flag flies in the wind. Photo: Sebastian Gollnow/dpa

The European Union's side of a trade deal struck with the United States last year, which will remove import duties on many US goods, will come into force on July 1, said a formal European Union regulatory filing.

The EU said this ⁠regulation would apply ⁠from July 1 until December 31, 2029, Reuters reported.

"Where appropriate, the Commission shall submit together with the comprehensive assessment a legislative proposal to extend ⁠the period of application of this Regulation," added the regulatory filing.

Under the agreement, the EU agreed to remove import duties on US industrial goods and provide preferential access to US farm produce.

It will also extend duty-free imports of ⁠US lobster, ⁠a mini-deal struck with Trump during his first term as president.

The EU legislation expires at the end of 2029 and includes multiple safeguards that would allow the EU to suspend concessions if the United States breaches the trade deal's terms.