Sam Menassa
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Is Trump Redefining the Relationship with Israel?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to Washington last month again brought the nature of the US-Israeli relationship into focus, amid differences over Gaza, Iran, and the future of the region. The alliance remains strong, yet these developments raise a broader question: Does Donald Trump truly want to redefine the relationship with Israel, or merely to reorder its priorities? Are the disagreements more circumstantial - between the Trump administration and Netanyahu's hardline right-wing government - than between the United States and Israel as such? And have Trump's personality and Netanyahu's arrogance together made the recent frictions more visible?

For decades, the US-Israeli relationship has been among the most stable in international politics, to the point that American support for Israel seemed unaffected by changes of administration or shifts in priorities. Yet developments in the region since Trump's return to the White House suggest that what is changing is not the strength of the alliance, but the limits of the role Israel plays within American strategy.

The differences that have surfaced over Gaza, Iran, and Lebanon do not reflect an American turn against Israel. They reveal, rather, Washington's shift from a policy that adopts Israeli priorities to one that puts American interests first- even when doing so means restraining some of the options the Israeli government prefers. A distinction must still be drawn between disagreements tied to Trump's personality and his deal-driven, often hesitant style, and the long-term policies of the US.

Netanyahu's government, for its part, has grown more hardline, its political survival bound to the far right and to the continuation of the war. That has done more to throw the disagreements into sharp relief than to establish any fundamental transformation between the two countries. Both men, in this context, are keenly aware of how much they can shape each other's fortunes in the coming Israeli elections and the US midterms and the dispute serves neither's interest.

The shift does not concern the scale of military support or the strength of security cooperation. It concerns who sets the priorities, and who has the final say when interests conflict. This does not mean the end of the special relationship; it does mark the end of a period in which American and Israeli interests were treated as wholly identical.

The US administration now appears more inclined to distinguish between offering Israel strategic support and letting Israel impose its security agenda on American policy in the Middle East. The shift is clearest in Gaza, where a new approach has begun to take shape - one that puts ending the war and starting reconstruction ahead of the complete elimination of Hamas. The understandings reached in Cairo on Hamas's disarmament may be evidence of the change.

The weightier disagreement, though, concerns the future of the Palestinian issue. Trump wants to expand the peace agreements - a process hard to advance without Israeli concessions on Gaza, settlement activity, and the revival of a political horizon leading, in some form, to a Palestinian state, an outcome sought by Saudi Arabia and most Arab countries.

On Iran, Washington oscillates between diplomatic negotiation and military escalation, reflecting a wish to contain the crisis and keep it from becoming a regional war. Israel, for its part, continues to see the weakening of Iran as a fundamental condition for regional security.

In Lebanon, too, the US appears more determined to consolidate the ceasefire and prevent a slide into a wider confrontation that could draw in Iran and upset regional balances. Washington no longer treats every Israeli military escalation as an automatically legitimate option; such actions are now subject to broader calculations about regional security, the stability of energy markets, and the safety of international shipping.

In Syria, Washington appears to back the Syrian government and prefers to manage the existing balance of power while scaling back direct involvement, consistent with a broader American strategy of enlarging the axis of moderation and peace, reducing overseas military commitments, and concentrating on competition with the major powers.

These changes cannot be understood simply as personal quarrels between Trump and Netanyahu, or as a decline in Israel's standing within American decision-making. They reflect a deeper transformation in the concept of American national interest after two decades of wars in the region. Israel is no longer the party that sets the direction of US policy in the Middle East; it has become part of a broader framework of American calculation that seeks to balance Israel's security against Gulf security, the stability of energy markets, and the avoidance of a regional war.

Even so, it would be a mistake to overstate these developments and read them as the start of a fundamental change between the two allies. The military, intelligence, and political relationship between the US and Israel remains a central pillar of American policy. It is hard to imagine a US strategy in the Middle East fundamentally opposed to Israel, just as it is hard to imagine Israel able to dispense with the US - a reality reaffirmed by the successive wars since the "Al-Aqsa Flood" attack of 2023.

What is changing today is not the alliance itself, but the role Israel plays within it, and how far it can unilaterally shape the agenda of American policy in the region.