Russia's Medvedev Says West Underestimates Risks of Nuclear Escalation

Deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev speaks during a meeting in Moscow earlier this month. | SPUTNIK / VIA AFP-JIJI
Deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev speaks during a meeting in Moscow earlier this month. | SPUTNIK / VIA AFP-JIJI
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Russia's Medvedev Says West Underestimates Risks of Nuclear Escalation

Deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev speaks during a meeting in Moscow earlier this month. | SPUTNIK / VIA AFP-JIJI
Deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev speaks during a meeting in Moscow earlier this month. | SPUTNIK / VIA AFP-JIJI

 

A senior ally of President Vladimir Putin said on Friday the conflict in Ukraine could last for decades and that negotiations with Ukraine were impossible as long as Ukraine's Western-backed President Volodymyr Zelenskiy was in power.

Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine has triggered the deadliest European conflict since World War Two and the biggest confrontation between Moscow and the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, Reuters said.

Hundreds of thousands of people have died and many more have been seriously injured in the conflict, whose roots date to 2014 after a pro-Russian president was toppled in Ukraine's Maidan popular uprising, Russia annexed the Crimea peninsula and Russian-backed separatists seized swathes of eastern Ukraine.

"This conflict will last for a very long time. For decades, probably. This is a new reality," Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev was quoted as saying by Russian news agencies.

He said Russia could not trust any truce with the current rulers of Kyiv as the conflict would simply erupt again and so the very nature of the current government of Ukraine would have to be destroyed.

Negotiations, he said, with Zelenskiy were impossible.

"Everything always ends in negotiations, and this is inevitable, but as long as these people are in power, the situation for Russia will not change in terms of negotiations."

Medvedev, who cast himself as a liberal moderniser when he was president from 2008-2012, now presents himself as a fiercely anti-Western Kremlin hawk. Diplomats say his views give an indication of thinking at the top levels of the Kremlin elite.

NUCLEAR WAR

Medvedev also warned that the West was seriously underestimating the risk of a nuclear war over Ukraine, cautioning that Russia would launch a pre-emptive strike if Ukraine gets nuclear weapons.

Russia, which has the world's largest nuclear arsenal, has repeatedly accused the West of waging a proxy war with Russia over Ukraine that could mushroom into a much bigger conflict.

"There are irreversible laws of war. If it comes to nuclear weapons, there will have to be a pre-emptive strike," Medvedev said.

Allowing Ukraine nuclear weapons - a step no Western state has publicly proposed - would mean "a missile with a nuclear charge coming to them", Medvedev was quoted as saying.

"The Anglo-Saxons do not fully realize this and believe that it will not come to this. It will under certain conditions."

The West says it wants to help Ukraine win its conflict with Russia, and Western powers have supplied large amounts of modern arms and ammunition to Kyiv. But US President Joe Biden has cautioned that a direct confrontation between the US-backed NATO alliance and Russia would result in World War Three.

Russia says Washington would never allow it to arm a country bordering the United States, and the Kremlin says the West is already essentially fighting an undeclared war with Russia.

When Ukraine gained independence after the 1991 break-up of the Soviet Union, it hosted thousands of nuclear weapons. It handed these to Russia under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in return for guarantees of its security and sovereignty from Russia, the United States and Britain.

 



UN Decries Ongoing Combat in Myanmar as Earthquake Relief Faces Big Challenges

A man rides his motorbike past a collapsed building in Mandalay on April 11, 2025, following the devastating March 28 earthquake. (AFP)
A man rides his motorbike past a collapsed building in Mandalay on April 11, 2025, following the devastating March 28 earthquake. (AFP)
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UN Decries Ongoing Combat in Myanmar as Earthquake Relief Faces Big Challenges

A man rides his motorbike past a collapsed building in Mandalay on April 11, 2025, following the devastating March 28 earthquake. (AFP)
A man rides his motorbike past a collapsed building in Mandalay on April 11, 2025, following the devastating March 28 earthquake. (AFP)

Human rights experts for the United Nations are expressing urgent concern about ongoing military operations in Myanmar’s civil war, despite ceasefires called by major parties to facilitate relief efforts after the country’s devastating March 28 earthquake.

At the same time, a new UN report said that because of the earthquake, the Southeast Asian country is facing increased humanitarian needs while a food shortage and a health crisis appear to be looming.

“At a moment when the sole focus should be on ensuring humanitarian aid gets to disaster zones, the military is instead launching attacks,” Ravina Shamdasani, a spokesperson for the UN Human Rights Office in Geneva said Friday. “Since the earthquake, military forces have reportedly carried out over 120 attacks – more than half of them after their declared ceasefire was due to have gone into effect on 2 April.”

The UN agency said: “We call on the military authorities to remove any and all obstacles to the delivery of humanitarian assistance and to cease military operations."

The official death toll from the 7.7 magnitude quake and aftershocks reached 3,649 as of Wednesday, with 5,018 injured.

“The devastating earthquakes that struck Myanmar on 28 March have caused widespread death, human suffering and destruction—aggravating an already alarming humanitarian crisis,” declared a UN Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan released Friday.

“Over 6.3 million people are in immediate need of humanitarian assistance and protection as a result of the earthquakes, including 4.3 million people who were already in need across the affected areas and now require even greater support, and an additional 2 million people who require urgent assistance and protection due to the earthquakes."

It also warned that the quake hit Myanmar's main food-producing regions, “destroying fields, irrigation, and grain stores. Millions of livestock are at risk, and farmers now face the loss of both their harvest and their only source of income.”

With disease already spreading, Myanmar is also at risk of a health emergency, especially as nearly 70 health facilities have been damaged, and there are severe shortages of medical supplies said the UN plan.

“Cases of diarrhea are rising, children and older people are falling ill from the heat, and concerns about cholera are growing, especially where bodies remain buried under the rubble in this extreme heat,” it said.

Myanmar’s military government and its battlefield opponents, which include pro-democracy fighters and ethnic minority guerrilla forces, have been trading accusations over alleged violations of ceasefire declarations each had declared to ease earthquake relief efforts.

Reports of continued fighting are widespread, with the army receiving the most criticism for continuing aerial bombing, according to independent Myanmar media and eyewitnesses.

Myanmar has been in turmoil since the army’s 2021 takeover ousted the elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi, which led to nationwide peaceful protests that escalated into armed resistance and what now amounts to civil war.

The UN Human Rights Office's statement noted that most of the army’s attacks “have involved aerial and artillery strikes, including in areas impacted by the earthquake.”

“Numerous strikes have been reported in populated areas, many of them appearing to amount to indiscriminate attacks and to breach the principle of proportionality in international humanitarian law.”

The statement echoed points made late Thursday by Tom Andrews, the UN’s independent Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Myanmar.

“The Security Council should urgently consider a resolution that demands that all parties to the conflict in Myanmar cease offensive military operations and that the junta immediately end its human rights violations and obstruction of humanitarian relief efforts,” Andrews said in a press statement.

He described it as unfortunate but unsurprising that the army violated its own ceasefire “by launching dozens of new attacks with devastating results.”

“I have received reports of humanitarian workers being stopped, interrogated and extorted at military checkpoints,” Andrews said. “The junta has blocked access to opposition-controlled areas, including in Sagaing Region, which was severely impacted by the earthquake. Junta soldiers opened fire on a convoy by the Red Cross Society of China.”

“The 28 March earthquake is the latest in a litany of tragedies suffered by the people of Myanmar over the past four years,” Andrews said.