Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
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Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)

Sources familiar with the internal discussions that led to the selection of Yahya Sinwar as the new leader of Hamas in Gaza revealed several key factors behind his appointment.
Sinwar succeeded Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated by Israel in Tehran. Sinwar’s own ambitions, Khaled Meshaal's decision to step aside, and strategic considerations involving Israel and regional dynamics were all influential in this decision.
Hamas unanimously chose Sinwar in a decisive meeting on Tuesday after two days of discussions.
Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that most Hamas leaders abroad, including those from Gaza, the West Bank, and members of the political bureau and Shura Council based in Lebanon, Türkiye, and Qatar, participated in these crucial meetings and supported Sinwar’s appointment.
Initially, Sinwar’s name was not proposed right after Haniyeh’s assassination. The focus was on appointing Khaled Meshaal as a temporary leader until the Gaza conflict ended.
However, Meshaal declined due to health issues and unspecified pressures related to various foreign relations. Some noted that Meshaal was seen as more aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood than with Iran.
Sources revealed that Hamas aimed to send several clear messages with Sinwar’s appointment.
The main message was defiance towards Israel, showing unity within Hamas and dismissing any internal conflicts, including the October 7 attack, which Sinwar and Qassam Brigades leader Mohammed Deif masterminded.
This move also signals a return of leadership to the battlefield and reaffirms Hamas’ role in the Iran-led “axis of resistance.”
Sources, who requested anonymity, stated that Sinwar’s selection was primarily a response to the assassination of Haniyeh.
“The key message to Netanyahu and Israel is that by killing Haniyeh, a negotiator willing to make concessions to stop the war, you now face Sinwar, your primary enemy and a war instigator. If Israel’s government wants to continue the conflict, this is our reply,” explained the sources.
Additionally, the sources mentioned that truce negotiations are now in Sinwar’s hands, meaning Israel must negotiate with him. They also confirmed that with Sinwar’s appointment, the decision was made to resume ceasefire talks in Gaza, with Sinwar personally overseeing them.
Other factors behind Sinwar’s selection involve Hamas’s external situation and its relationships with various countries.
“One reason was to ease the immense pressure on the external leadership from mediators and host countries to expel Hamas leaders. Shifting decision-making to Gaza reduces these pressures,” a source, who asked to remain anonymous, told Asharq Al-Awsat.
“It’s easier to assassinate someone abroad, so choosing a leader from Gaza is the best option to handle the movement’s external challenges. It’s unclear if Sinwar’s appointment will succeed, as some countries welcomed it while others remained silent,” the source explained.
Meanwhile, Israel has vowed to kill Sinwar, using his appointment to justify military control over Gaza and the West Bank.

 



Israeli Strikes Kill 17 Palestinians in Gaza, Orders Hospital to Evacuate

Bodies of victims of an Israeli airstrike at the Nuseirat refugee camp are prepared for the funeral prayer outside the Al-Aqsa Martyrs hospital in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Bodies of victims of an Israeli airstrike at the Nuseirat refugee camp are prepared for the funeral prayer outside the Al-Aqsa Martyrs hospital in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
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Israeli Strikes Kill 17 Palestinians in Gaza, Orders Hospital to Evacuate

Bodies of victims of an Israeli airstrike at the Nuseirat refugee camp are prepared for the funeral prayer outside the Al-Aqsa Martyrs hospital in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Bodies of victims of an Israeli airstrike at the Nuseirat refugee camp are prepared for the funeral prayer outside the Al-Aqsa Martyrs hospital in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Israeli military strikes across the Gaza Strip killed at least 17 Palestinians, eight of them at a school sheltering displaced families in Gaza City, medics said, as the Israeli military ordered the evacuation of a hospital in the north.
Palestinian medics said eight people, including children, were killed in the Musa Bin Nusayr School that sheltered displaced families in Gaza City.
The Israeli military said in a statement the strike targeted Hamas groups operating from a command center embedded inside the school. It said Hamas used the place to plan and execute attacks against Israeli forces.
Also in Gaza City, medics said four Palestinians were killed when an airstrike hit a car.
At least five other Palestinians were killed in two separate airstrikes in Rafah and Khan Younis south of the enclave.
In the northern Gaza town of Beit Lahiya, where the army has operated since October, Hussam Abu Safiya, the director of Kamal Adwan Hospital, said the army ordered staff to evacuate the hospital and move patients and injured people toward another hospital in the area.
Abu Safiya said the mission was "next to impossible" because staff did not have ambulances to move the patients.
The Israeli army has operated in the two towns of north Gaza, Beit Lahiya and Beit Hanoun, as well as the nearby Jabalia camp for nearly three months.
Palestinians have accused Israel of carrying out acts of "ethnic cleansing" to depopulate those areas to create a buffer zone.
Israel denies this and says the campaign in the area aimed to fight Hamas and prevent them from regrouping. It said its forces have killed hundreds of fighters and dismantled military infrastructure since that operation began.
Armed wings of Hamas and the Islamic Jihad said they killed many Israeli soldiers in ambushes during the same period.
Mediators have yet to secure a ceasefire between Israel and the Hamas group.
Sources close to the discussions told Reuters on Thursday that Qatar and Egypt had been able to resolve some differences between the warring parties but sticking points remained.
Israel began its assault on Gaza after Hamas-led fighters attacked Israeli communities on Oct. 7, 2023, killing 1,200 people and taking over 250 hostages, according to Israeli tallies. Israel says about 100 hostages are still being held, but it is unclear how many are alive.
Authorities in Gaza say Israel's campaign has killed more than 45,000 Palestinians and displaced most of the population of 2.3 million. Much of the coastal enclave is in ruins.