IMF: Saudi Support Bolsters Yemen’s Economic Stability

Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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IMF: Saudi Support Bolsters Yemen’s Economic Stability

Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revealed that the latest Saudi financial package of $368 million to support Yemen’s budget and the energy and health sectors has helped stabilize the country’s macroeconomy.

According to a recent IMF report, Saudi financial support to Yemen, which totaled nearly $2 billion in 2023-2024, played a critical role in mitigating economic collapse. The Yemeni government was able to reduce its budget deficit to 1.9% of GDP in 2024.

After an eleven-year hiatus, the IMF announced the resumption of Article IV consultations with Yemen, describing the move as a “positive indicator” of renewed institutional engagement and more accurate economic data, despite ongoing conflict and its severe impact on both the economy and the population.

Yemeni Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik hailed the renewed dialogue with the IMF as a “pivotal moment in restoring Yemen’s presence within international financial institutions,” reflecting the government’s commitment to financial and administrative reforms despite numerous challenges.

The IMF report underscored that Yemen has endured one of the world’s worst humanitarian and economic crises since the conflict began in 2014. Real GDP contracted by approximately 27% over the past decade, while per capita income fell sharply. Inflation and currency devaluation have eroded household purchasing power.

The report noted that following the suspension of oil exports due to Houthi attacks on oil facilities in 2022, Yemen became a net oil importer for the first time in decades.

Today, more than half of the population requires urgent humanitarian aid, as the economy suffers from structural weaknesses, widespread food insecurity, and mass displacement.

Government revenues fell from 22.5% of GDP in 2014 to below 12% in 2024, with public debt exceeding 100% of GDP in government-controlled areas. The current account deficit widened to about 11% in 2024, and foreign exchange reserves dropped to less than one month of imports.

The IMF stressed that Saudi financial support, totaling roughly $2 billion in 2023-2024, helped curb further deterioration, allowing the government to reduce the budget deficit to 1.9% of GDP in 2024.

The IMF forecast a slight contraction of 0.5% in 2025, followed by gradual recovery starting in 2026 with 0.5% growth, reaching 2.5% by 2030. Recovery is expected to be driven by rising non-oil exports, remittances, and ongoing agricultural and development projects. Inflation is projected to ease as the exchange rate stabilizes and global food supplies improve.

The IMF further warned that ongoing political instability and renewed conflict could undermine reforms and delay economic recovery. External financial support remains crucial to maintain public services and prevent humanitarian deterioration.

The September 2025 Saudi package, alongside contributions from the UAE, represented a “positive step” toward macroeconomic stability.

The report emphasized that achieving fiscal balance will require unified tax and customs revenues, rationalized public spending and improved financial transparency.



China Announces 1-year Suspension of Expanded Rare Earth Export Controls

A glass jar containing the rare earth metal Terbium (L) is pictured inside the storage room of Tradium, a company specialised in trading rare earths, in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on November 4, 2025. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP)
A glass jar containing the rare earth metal Terbium (L) is pictured inside the storage room of Tradium, a company specialised in trading rare earths, in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on November 4, 2025. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP)
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China Announces 1-year Suspension of Expanded Rare Earth Export Controls

A glass jar containing the rare earth metal Terbium (L) is pictured inside the storage room of Tradium, a company specialised in trading rare earths, in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on November 4, 2025. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP)
A glass jar containing the rare earth metal Terbium (L) is pictured inside the storage room of Tradium, a company specialised in trading rare earths, in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on November 4, 2025. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP)

China suspended an array of export control measures it imposed on October 9, including expanded curbs on some rare earths materials and equipment, as well as lithium battery materials and super-hard materials, the Commerce Ministry said in a statement on Friday.

The suspensions were effective immediately and would apply through November 10, 2026, the ministry said.

The announcement confirmed and formalized an agreement reached after US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping hammered out a trade truce last month.

The White House and China's Commerce Ministry had both said such an announcement was forthcoming.


FAO: World Food Prices Fall for 2nd Consecutive Month in October

People wait in line outside Adams County Emergency Food Bank for their completed grocery cart, weeks into the continuing US government shutdown, in Commerce City, Colorado, US October 31, 2025.  REUTERS/Mark Makela
People wait in line outside Adams County Emergency Food Bank for their completed grocery cart, weeks into the continuing US government shutdown, in Commerce City, Colorado, US October 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mark Makela
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FAO: World Food Prices Fall for 2nd Consecutive Month in October

People wait in line outside Adams County Emergency Food Bank for their completed grocery cart, weeks into the continuing US government shutdown, in Commerce City, Colorado, US October 31, 2025.  REUTERS/Mark Makela
People wait in line outside Adams County Emergency Food Bank for their completed grocery cart, weeks into the continuing US government shutdown, in Commerce City, Colorado, US October 31, 2025. REUTERS/Mark Makela

World food commodity prices fell for a second consecutive month in October, driven largely by ample global supplies, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks a basket of globally traded food commodities, averaged 126.4 points in October, down from a revised 128.5 in September.

The index was down slightly compared to its October 2024 level and stood 21.1% below its March 2022 peak.

In a separate report, FAO forecast 2025 world cereal production at a record 2.990 billion metric tons, after projecting 2.971 billion tons last month.

The latest outlook was up 4.4% from 2024 output.


Turkish Cenbank Stands by Next Year’s 16% Inflation Target 

Commuters arrive at the Kabatas ferry terminal next to the Bosphorus strait, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (AP)
Commuters arrive at the Kabatas ferry terminal next to the Bosphorus strait, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (AP)
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Turkish Cenbank Stands by Next Year’s 16% Inflation Target 

Commuters arrive at the Kabatas ferry terminal next to the Bosphorus strait, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (AP)
Commuters arrive at the Kabatas ferry terminal next to the Bosphorus strait, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (AP)

Türkiye's central bank kept its interim target of 16% for end-2026 inflation on Friday, and Governor Fatih Karahan said it was ready to tighten policy if inflation diverges significantly from targets.

The bank also left unchanged its 13-19% forecast range for the end of next year, at a presentation of its quarterly inflation report in Istanbul.

For the end of this year, Karahan said the bank also kept its interim target steady at 24%, albeit in a forecast range of 31-33%, up from 25-29%. The end-2027 interim target for inflation remained at 9%.

Karahan said inflation was above the forecast range in the past two months, with food inflation the main driver. An improvement in inflation expectations will be supported by a decisive policy stance, he added.

The lira was slightly weaker on the day at 42.2045 against the dollar as the governor continued speaking at the briefing.

At its previous inflation report briefing in August, the bank revealed that it was separating the targets from its inflation forecast ranges in a new strategy aimed at boosting transparency and confidence.

Previously, the bank presented the target as the midpoint of the forecast range. Separating the goal and the range could give markets a clearer indication of where policy might be heading.

Turkish inflation eased to 32.87% annually and 2.55% monthly in October, both below expectations. Price pressure in the previous two months were above expectations, prompting the central bank to slow its interest rate-cutting cycle.

It slowed easing with a 100 basis-point cut in its policy rate to 39.5% at its latest policy-setting meeting on October 23, flagging renewed inflation risks pointing to a slowdown in the disinflation process.