IMF: Saudi Support Bolsters Yemen’s Economic Stability

Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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IMF: Saudi Support Bolsters Yemen’s Economic Stability

Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik during his meeting with the Saudi Ambassador to Yemen, Mohammed Al-Jaber, following the announcement of Saudi support for Yemen (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revealed that the latest Saudi financial package of $368 million to support Yemen’s budget and the energy and health sectors has helped stabilize the country’s macroeconomy.

According to a recent IMF report, Saudi financial support to Yemen, which totaled nearly $2 billion in 2023-2024, played a critical role in mitigating economic collapse. The Yemeni government was able to reduce its budget deficit to 1.9% of GDP in 2024.

After an eleven-year hiatus, the IMF announced the resumption of Article IV consultations with Yemen, describing the move as a “positive indicator” of renewed institutional engagement and more accurate economic data, despite ongoing conflict and its severe impact on both the economy and the population.

Yemeni Prime Minister Salem Bin Braik hailed the renewed dialogue with the IMF as a “pivotal moment in restoring Yemen’s presence within international financial institutions,” reflecting the government’s commitment to financial and administrative reforms despite numerous challenges.

The IMF report underscored that Yemen has endured one of the world’s worst humanitarian and economic crises since the conflict began in 2014. Real GDP contracted by approximately 27% over the past decade, while per capita income fell sharply. Inflation and currency devaluation have eroded household purchasing power.

The report noted that following the suspension of oil exports due to Houthi attacks on oil facilities in 2022, Yemen became a net oil importer for the first time in decades.

Today, more than half of the population requires urgent humanitarian aid, as the economy suffers from structural weaknesses, widespread food insecurity, and mass displacement.

Government revenues fell from 22.5% of GDP in 2014 to below 12% in 2024, with public debt exceeding 100% of GDP in government-controlled areas. The current account deficit widened to about 11% in 2024, and foreign exchange reserves dropped to less than one month of imports.

The IMF stressed that Saudi financial support, totaling roughly $2 billion in 2023-2024, helped curb further deterioration, allowing the government to reduce the budget deficit to 1.9% of GDP in 2024.

The IMF forecast a slight contraction of 0.5% in 2025, followed by gradual recovery starting in 2026 with 0.5% growth, reaching 2.5% by 2030. Recovery is expected to be driven by rising non-oil exports, remittances, and ongoing agricultural and development projects. Inflation is projected to ease as the exchange rate stabilizes and global food supplies improve.

The IMF further warned that ongoing political instability and renewed conflict could undermine reforms and delay economic recovery. External financial support remains crucial to maintain public services and prevent humanitarian deterioration.

The September 2025 Saudi package, alongside contributions from the UAE, represented a “positive step” toward macroeconomic stability.

The report emphasized that achieving fiscal balance will require unified tax and customs revenues, rationalized public spending and improved financial transparency.



China Temporarily Bans Helium Exports as US-Iran Tensions Flare Again

Ships and containers at a Chinese port (Reuters)
Ships and containers at a Chinese port (Reuters)
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China Temporarily Bans Helium Exports as US-Iran Tensions Flare Again

Ships and containers at a Chinese port (Reuters)
Ships and containers at a Chinese port (Reuters)

China announced on Friday a temporary export ban on helium, effective immediately, as resumption of military conflict in the Middle East threatens to trigger new shortages of the gas critical for chip manufacturing.

Earlier this year, the US-Israeli war on Iran led to helium shortages, disrupting companies globally, including in China, where the AI industry increasingly relies on domestic chips for training and ⁠running AI models. Helium is essential for heat management in semiconductor production.

The helium ban is the latest example of Beijing seeking to prevent domestic shortages of critical materials by curbing exports. It has previously imposed similar measures on fuel, fertilizers and sulfuric acid.

China is also looking to boost domestic chip manufacturing capacity and reduce the industry's dependence on cutting-edge Nvidia semiconductors that fall under US export controls.

China is heavily ⁠dependent on overseas helium despite efforts to expand domestic production.

Still, the export ban could squeeze global supply further because Chinese companies have increasingly acted as intermediaries, importing Russian helium and re-exporting some volumes to overseas markets, including Europe.

According to Reuters, analysts ⁠estimate China imports around 85% or more of its helium requirements. Qatar accounts for a major share of global helium output and has supplied more than half ⁠of China's imports in recent years.

Helium is extracted from natural gas fields with unusually high helium concentrations and cannot be quickly manufactured from ⁠other industrial processes.

In chipmaking, it is used for wafer cooling, plasma etching, chemical vapor deposition, atomic layer deposition, lithography support and leak detection.


IEA Says Global Oil Demand Picks Up Despite War Fears

FILE PHOTO: A drone view of three berths able to load vessels with oil is seen after their construction at Westridge Marine Terminal, the terminus of the Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada, April 26, 2024. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A drone view of three berths able to load vessels with oil is seen after their construction at Westridge Marine Terminal, the terminus of the Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada, April 26, 2024. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo
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IEA Says Global Oil Demand Picks Up Despite War Fears

FILE PHOTO: A drone view of three berths able to load vessels with oil is seen after their construction at Westridge Marine Terminal, the terminus of the Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada, April 26, 2024. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A drone view of three berths able to load vessels with oil is seen after their construction at Westridge Marine Terminal, the terminus of the Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada, April 26, 2024. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo

The International Energy Agency said Friday that "a recovery" in global oil demand had started as supplies tentatively start moving through the strategic Strait of Hormuz again and prices ease.

"A recovery in world oil demand is underway, with consumption set to rise from its May nadir," AFP quoted the IEA's monthly report as saying.

The agency had in June predicted a fall in demand of 1.1 million barrels a day (mbd) through 2026 because of the Middle East war, which strangled traffic through the strait. It now expects a one million barrel a day fall.

"Global oil supply rebounded by a sharp 4.1 mbd to 98.8 mbd in June, as a resumption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz underpinned a partial recovery in Gulf production. World output was nevertheless some 9.4 mb/d below pre-war levels," it said.

"Total Gulf oil exports, including volumes bypassing the Strait, surged by 6.5 mbd in June, to 16.1 mbd - a big jump but still well below the 24 mbd average before the war started."

According to the IEA, world supply improved to 102.6 mbd in June and would continue to get better if there was "a swift de-escalation of renewed hostilities".

"If transit volumes improve, oil supply will expand by 7.5 mbd next year," the agency added.

The agency said world oil reserves increased for the first time since the US-Israeli attacks on Iran on February 28 set off the war.

It added that stocks in the richest nations had fallen as their oil imports remained low despite the rise in volumes being transported by sea.

While oil prices fell dramatically in June, fresh fighting between US and Iranian forces this week "clouds the outlook", the IEA said.

"Renewed exchanges of fire in the Gulf this week highlight the risks of not reaching a lasting peace agreement, which is a must for the normalization in oil markets," it commented.


Humain, Cohere Launch Strategic Partnership to Expand AI Infrastructure in Saudi Arabia

Logo of the Saudi company Humain (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Logo of the Saudi company Humain (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Humain, Cohere Launch Strategic Partnership to Expand AI Infrastructure in Saudi Arabia

Logo of the Saudi company Humain (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Logo of the Saudi company Humain (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Humain, the company building an integrated artificial intelligence ecosystem, and Canadian sovereign AI company Cohere have announced a strategic partnership to develop AI computing infrastructure and support the development of sovereign AI models and enterprise AI solutions in Saudi Arabia.

The agreement was announced during Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s visit to the Kingdom, marking Cohere’s first international expansion outside North America.

Under the partnership, Humain will allocate at least 50 megawatts of AI-dedicated computing capacity to support the next generation of foundation models being developed by Cohere.

The capacity may be expanded over the next five years in line with growing demand, with the infrastructure scheduled to become operational in the fourth quarter of 2027.

The collaboration also includes the development of customized AI solutions for enterprises, sovereign Arabic-language models, and specialized models for various economic sectors, supporting the secure adoption of AI applications across the Kingdom.

Humain Chief Executive Officer Tareq Amin said access to computing capacity will be the defining factor in the future of artificial intelligence.

He added that Cohere’s decision to establish its first large-scale international computing deployment in Saudi Arabia reflects the strength of the infrastructure Humain is developing to support advanced AI research and foundation models.

For his part, Aidan Gomez, Cohere’s co-founder and chief executive officer, said developing new generations of AI models requires sustained access to high-performance computing.

He added that the partnership with Humain provides the infrastructure and flexibility needed to support the company’s long-term strategy, while also enabling collaboration on sovereign AI models and initiatives that will benefit both Saudi Arabia and global markets.

The partnership aims to combine Humain’s AI infrastructure with Cohere’s expertise in developing large language models, strengthening regional AI computing capabilities and creating a scalable platform to meet growing demand for enterprise AI solutions.

It also seeks to enable organizations to deploy secure, production-ready AI applications tailored to business needs.