OPEC Forecasts World Demand for OPEC+ Crude Dropping in Q2

People walk past an installation depicting barrel of oil with the logo of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) during the COP29 United Nations climate change conference in Baku, Azerbaijan November 19, 2024. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo 
People walk past an installation depicting barrel of oil with the logo of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) during the COP29 United Nations climate change conference in Baku, Azerbaijan November 19, 2024. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo 
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OPEC Forecasts World Demand for OPEC+ Crude Dropping in Q2

People walk past an installation depicting barrel of oil with the logo of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) during the COP29 United Nations climate change conference in Baku, Azerbaijan November 19, 2024. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo 
People walk past an installation depicting barrel of oil with the logo of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) during the COP29 United Nations climate change conference in Baku, Azerbaijan November 19, 2024. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday forecast world oil demand for crude from the wider OPEC+ producer group will drop by 400,000 barrels per day in ‌the second quarter of this year, a copy of its monthly oil report on OPEC’s website shows.

World demand for OPEC+ crude ‌will average 42.20 million bpd in ⁠the second quarter, ⁠OPEC said in the report, down from 42.60 million bpd in the first quarter. Both forecasts were unchanged from last month’s report.

The OPEC+ group comprising OPEC nations, plus Russia and other allies, began raising oil output ⁠last year after years ⁠of cuts, and paused production hikes in the first quarter of 2026 amid predictions of a glut.

Eight OPEC+ members meet on ‌March 1 where they are expected to make a decision on whether to resume the hikes in April.

In the report, OPEC also left unchanged its forecasts that world oil demand will rise by 1.34 million bpd in 2027 and by 1.38 million bpd this year. The 2026 forecast is higher than that of other analysts such as the International Energy Agency.

OPEC+ pumped 42.45 million bpd in January, 2026, down 439,000 bpd from December, 2025, driven by reductions in Kazakhstan, Russia, Venezuela and Iran, OPEC said in the report.

OPEC has maintained its forecast for global oil demand in 2026 at approximately 106.5 million barrels per day (mb/d), keeping the projection it announced four months ago.

It also projected that world oil consumption will grow by 1.3 million bpd in 2027 and an average of 107.9 million bpd, unchanged from last month.

OPEC+ oil production declined last month amid losses in Venezuela and Iran, supported by geopolitical tensions, the group said.

Venezuelan and Iranian crude production declined by 87,000 barrels a day and 81,000 barrels a day, respectively.

Meanwhile, the global economic growth forecasts remained unchanged from last month's assessment at 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027.

OPEC said world oil demand was gaining support from air travel and road transport, as well as from a drop in the value of the US dollar against a basket of currencies.

“This decline has made dollar-priced commodities, including oil, cheaper for consumers and provided some additional support for global demand,” OPEC said in the report.

Oil prices gained around 2% on Wednesday, buoyed by potential supply risks should US–Iran tensions escalate, while draws of crude from key stockpiles suggested stronger demand.

Brent crude oil futures were up $1.52, or 2.2%, at $70.32 a barrel by 01:20 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.50, or nearly 2.4%, to $65.46.

 

 



Asian Shares Fall and Oil Prices Trade above $100 a Barrel

A financial data screen in the dealing room of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 20 August 2026, shows the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) having gained 2.37 percent from the previous session to an intraday high of 6,624.38 in early trading. EPA/YONHAP
A financial data screen in the dealing room of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 20 August 2026, shows the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) having gained 2.37 percent from the previous session to an intraday high of 6,624.38 in early trading. EPA/YONHAP
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Asian Shares Fall and Oil Prices Trade above $100 a Barrel

A financial data screen in the dealing room of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 20 August 2026, shows the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) having gained 2.37 percent from the previous session to an intraday high of 6,624.38 in early trading. EPA/YONHAP
A financial data screen in the dealing room of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 20 August 2026, shows the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) having gained 2.37 percent from the previous session to an intraday high of 6,624.38 in early trading. EPA/YONHAP

Asian shares skidded Thursday following a retreat on Wall Street as the price of crude oil again traded above $100 a barrel.

US futures were modestly higher, The Associated Press said.

The price of Brent crude jumped 3.4% on Wednesday, surging above $100 a barrel for the first time since July. It shed 0.8% to $100.39 early Thursday.

US benchmark crude lost 0.6% to $95.52 a barrel.

The latest attacks between the US and Iran are stifling the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, and US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that oil prices likely won’t fall until after US midterm elections.

In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei 225 edged 0.1% lower to 65,106.18 and the Kospi in South Korea was nearly unchanged at 7,051.61.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.5% to 24,909.58, while the Shanghai Composite index gave up 0.4% to 3,937.37.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 slipped 1.2% to 8,804.00.

Taiwan's Taiex fell 0.5% and India's Sensex was nearly unchanged.

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 index fell 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.8%, and the Nasdaq composite gave up 0.6%. The indexes are all on track for a weekly loss.

Oil prices drove much of the action on Wall Street. The US destroyed five Iranian tankers on Tuesday in a series of attacks between the two nations. The conflict that began in February has essentially shut down traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world’s oil supply passed before the war began.

Retailers were among the companies that pulled the market lower. Amazon fell 1.8%, Starbucks lost 1.9% and Home Depot dropped 1%. Every sector within the benchmark S&P 500 declined except for energy, which rose as oil companies notched gains. Exxon Mobil rose 2.2% and Chevron added 1.9%.

The jump in oil prices over the course of the war has pushed prices for many goods higher. Gasoline prices in the US are up about 32% from a year ago to $4.22 per gallon. Higher fuel costs cut into household budgets directly and also indirectly raise prices for goods because of higher shipping costs.

The price of diesel, which can have an outsized impact on consumers because it is used in shipping and production, hit an all-time high Friday and has continued to climb since. The average price for a gallon reached $5.94 overnight and is now 9 cents higher than it was Friday.

Inflation was already stubbornly high when the US started its war against Iran because of the US trade war with much of the world.

An update on wholesale prices is due later Thursday with the release of the Producer Price Index for August. It measures the prices businesses pay for goods before they reach customers. That report will be followed up Friday with the release of the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, for August, which shows the more direct price impact for households.

The latest reports are expected to show that the rate of inflation remains above 3%, above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2%.

Elsewhere on Wall Street, shares of Meta Platforms rose 6.6% as the parent company of Instagram and Facebook launched a personal artificial intelligence agent, Muse, for people 18 and over who are looking for help with day-to-day tasks like schedules and shopping. 

Rising Treasury yields in the bond market were also weighing down stocks on Wall Street Wednesday. 

The US Treasury Department said Wednesday that it would buy back up to $6 billion in long-term debt. That follows an announcement in August previewing plans for an unusually large buyback in an effort to contain rising yields, which make it more expensive for US companies to borrow money and also weigh down other investments, such as stocks. 

Bond yields were holding steady prior to the announcement, but gained ground shortly after. 

In other dealings early Thursday, the US dollar fell to 153.51 Japanese yen from 153.54 yen. The euro rose to $1.1640 from $1.1632. 

 


Ports, Logistics Drive Saudi Transport Sector’s First-Half Growth Surge

Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
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Ports, Logistics Drive Saudi Transport Sector’s First-Half Growth Surge

Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)
Jeddah Islamic Port (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s transport sector gathered financial momentum in the first half of 2026 as operating activity expanded and several listed companies, particularly those in logistics, ports and transportation, delivered improved performances.

The nine companies’ combined net profit surged 155.5%, or about 395.6 million riyals, to approximately 650 million riyals ($173.3 million), from 254.4 million riyals ($67.8 million) in the same period of 2025.

The improvement was supported by a strong second-quarter performance. Combined revenue rose 13.1% year on year to about 6.21 billion riyals, while the sector swung to a net profit of 156.1 million riyals from a loss of 341.4 million riyals in the second quarter of 2025.

The marked turnaround reflected improved performances by logistics, port and transportation companies, despite continued pressure on some rental and aviation-related services.

The sector comprises nine companies: SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co., Saudi Ground Services Co., United International Transportation Co. (Budget Saudi), Theeb Rent a Car Co., Lumi Rental Co., Saudi Public Transport Co. (SAPTCO), SISCO Holding, flynas and Cherry Trading Co.

SAL Saudi Logistics Services leads profits

SAL Saudi Logistics Services accounted for about 53.5% of the sector’s total first-half profit after its net profit rose 10.4% to approximately 348 million riyals, from 315.3 million riyals in the same period of 2025.

The company attributed the increase to improved operating performance and revenue growth in its cargo handling and logistics segments.

United International Transportation Co. (Budget Saudi) ranked second by profit, reporting a first-half net profit of 127.8 million riyals, down 24% from 168.4 million riyals in the same period a year earlier.

The company attributed the decline to lower utilization rates in its short-term rental business amid geopolitical conditions, as well as higher insurance costs and increased provisions for receivables under a more conservative policy.

SISCO Holding ranked third after its net profit jumped 91% to 85.4 million riyals, from 44.7 million riyals in the first half of 2025, driven by revenue growth and strong performances in its ports and logistics segments.

Sector returns to profitability

At the second-quarter level, the sector’s companies recorded a sharp turnaround in financial performance, posting a combined net profit of about 156 million riyals, compared with a loss of 341 million riyals in the corresponding quarter of 2025.

Combined revenue, meanwhile, continued to grow, reaching 6.213 billion riyals from 5.5 billion riyals a year earlier, an increase of about 13%.

The turnaround is particularly significant because it indicates that the expansion in activity is no longer reflected solely in revenue but is increasingly translating into improved profitability and operating efficiency.

Logistics demand supports growth

Commenting on the results, financial and economic expert Dr. Suleiman Al-Humaid Al-Khalidi, a member of the Saudi Economic Association, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia’s transport and logistics sector delivered a strong improvement in financial performance during the first half of 2026.

He said the improvement was driven by several factors, chiefly rising demand for logistics services, growth in freight and transportation activity and an expansion in economic activity linked to major projects and Saudi Vision 2030. These factors, he added, have placed Saudi Arabia among the advanced countries in this vital sector.

Al-Khalidi said the factors were strengthening the kingdom’s position among leading countries in transportation and logistics, one of the Saudi economy’s key sectors.

Higher operating efficiency and improved profit margins at several companies also supported the results, alongside expansion in value-added services and digital transformation, which helped increase productivity and improve fleet and supply-chain management, he said.

Revenue growth combined with the sector’s return to profitability was a positive indication of strong and sustainable demand, rather than a temporary improvement in results, Al-Khalidi said.

Saudi Arabia’s economy is expanding across industry, trade, tourism, retail, projects and infrastructure, all of which generate increasing demand for transportation, storage and supply services, he added.

Al-Khalidi said the most important aspect of the first-half results was not merely the increase in revenue, but the companies’ ability to convert that growth into profits and stronger margins, reflecting improved quality of growth and operating efficiency.

He said the sector had significant opportunities for further growth, particularly as investment continues in infrastructure and the development of ports, airports and logistics zones, reinforcing the kingdom’s position as a regional logistics hub linking three continents.


Ankara Seeks to Take Saudi Economic Ties to ‘Higher Levels’

Türkiye looks to expand economic ties With Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Türkiye looks to expand economic ties With Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Ankara Seeks to Take Saudi Economic Ties to ‘Higher Levels’

Türkiye looks to expand economic ties With Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Türkiye looks to expand economic ties With Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia and Türkiye are recasting their economic relationship, moving beyond trade and traditional investment flows to forge long-term industrial partnerships spanning renewable energy, defense, tourism and logistics.

The emerging model combines Saudi capital with Turkish expertise and technology, with both countries pursuing joint investment, technology transfer and localized production to build ties that can outlast fluctuations in trade.

The shift is gathering pace as Saudi investors show greater interest in Turkish assets and companies through funds, mergers and acquisitions. At the same time, Turkish companies are expanding in Saudi Arabia, seeking to capitalize on the kingdom’s megaprojects and Vision 2030 targets.

Energy and defense lead the sectors poised for deeper cooperation. Both countries are working to build an economic relationship based on joint investment, technology transfer and industrial localization, a model designed to make the Saudi-Turkish partnership more sustainable and less exposed to swings in trade.

Ahmet Burak Dağlıoğlu, president of the Investment and Finance Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Türkiye, said Saudi investment in Türkiye had changed markedly in recent years.

Investors are showing greater interest in mergers and acquisitions, buying stakes in Turkish companies and investing through funds, he said. Saudi capital also remains active in banking, financial services, manufacturing, real estate and family-owned businesses.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat at a meeting with reporters in Istanbul, Dağlıoğlu said Turkish companies were also expanding in the Saudi market, tapping opportunities created by Vision 2030 and the kingdom’s megaprojects, particularly in manufacturing, services, healthcare, hospitals and logistics.

The meeting was organized by the Turkish presidency’s Directorate of Communications and its Investment and Finance Office on the sidelines of a climate finance conference in Istanbul.

More confidence

Dağlıoğlu said the improvement in relations between Riyadh and Ankara in recent years had given investors in both countries greater confidence, putting trade and investment on an upward path.

Bilateral relations are an important signal for companies weighing market entry and long-term investment decisions, he said.

The true scale of Saudi investment in Türkiye could also be larger than official figures suggest, Dağlıoğlu said. Some investments are made through funds and companies registered in international financial centers, meaning they are not always recorded as direct Saudi capital inflows.

The pattern reflects an evolution in the tools used by Saudi investors, who increasingly rely on funds and international investment structures to acquire stakes in companies or finance mergers and acquisitions, he said.

Renewable energy

Dağlıoğlu pointed to Saudi Arabia’s ACWA Power entering Turkish renewable energy projects as a key example of where investment relations are heading.

The sector offers substantial opportunities, he said, as Türkiye seeks to expand its clean-energy capacity and Saudi companies bring advanced expertise in developing, financing and operating major projects.

Dağlıoğlu cited investment commitments involving large-scale renewable energy projects and said further steps were expected to be announced as Türkiye prepares to host the COP31 United Nations climate conference in Antalya.

Energy could become a central pillar of the partnership, he said, as Saudi Arabia expands its international investments in renewable energy and Türkiye seeks to increase the share of clean energy sources in its energy mix.

Defense cooperation

Muttalip Tütüncü, secretary-general of the SAHA Istanbul defense and aerospace industry cluster, said defense cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye was moving beyond product sales and export deals.

The relationship is developing into a strategic partnership encompassing technology transfer, industrial localization and joint production capabilities, he said.

Saudi Arabia’s drive to localize defense manufacturing aligns with the industrial and technological capabilities Türkiye has built in recent years, opening the door to broader cooperation between companies and institutions in both countries.

Saudi Arabia is not merely seeking to buy defense equipment and systems, Tütüncü said. It also wants to acquire the technical knowledge and capacity to manufacture, develop and maintain them, in line with its targets for increasing local content in military industries.

“Turkish companies view the Saudi market as a long-term strategic partner, not merely as an export market,” he said.

Future cooperation could include joint manufacturing, technology transfer, workforce training and the creation of local supply chains, Tütüncü added.

He described the defense relationship as one of “industrial integration,” combining Saudi financial and investment capabilities with Turkish technical and industrial expertise.

That model could extend to aviation, unmanned systems, electronics and advanced technologies, he said.

Drone agreements between the two countries marked an important milestone in defense cooperation, Tütüncü said, but they were not the end of the process. Rather, they were the start of a broader phase that could include building industrial and production capabilities inside Saudi Arabia.

Seasonal tourism integration

In tourism, Dağlıoğlu said the two countries could build a model of seasonal integration.

Türkiye attracts large numbers of Saudi tourists during the summer, while Turkish companies and operators could benefit from Saudi Arabia’s winter tourism season and the kingdom’s new tourism and entertainment projects.

Turkish hospitality operators and tourism service companies could deploy their expertise and personnel in the Saudi market during periods of lower demand in Türkiye, helping meet the needs of Saudi projects while creating new opportunities for Turkish businesses.

Cooperation between Riyadh and Ankara is not limited to governments and large corporations, Dağlıoğlu said. It also involves connecting investors, entrepreneurs and small and medium-sized enterprises and making it easier for them to enter both markets.

Greater growth

The two Turkish officials expect mutual investment to grow further in the coming period, driven by improving relations, the expanding scale of Saudi projects and Saudi investors’ interest in Turkish assets and companies.

Ankara’s push to attract high-quality investment into industry, energy and technology is also expected to support that growth.

The course signals a shift in Saudi-Turkish relations: from rebuilding trade momentum to forging deeper economic and industrial interests based on joint investment, technology transfer and complementary capabilities.

That shift gives the relationship a more enduring foundation — one that extends beyond the fluctuations of traditional trade.