Russia Fails to Pay Debt but Denies Default

(FILES) A Russian ruble coin is pictured in front of the Kremlin in central Moscow, on April 28, 2022. (Photo by Alexander NEMENOV / AFP)
(FILES) A Russian ruble coin is pictured in front of the Kremlin in central Moscow, on April 28, 2022. (Photo by Alexander NEMENOV / AFP)
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Russia Fails to Pay Debt but Denies Default

(FILES) A Russian ruble coin is pictured in front of the Kremlin in central Moscow, on April 28, 2022. (Photo by Alexander NEMENOV / AFP)
(FILES) A Russian ruble coin is pictured in front of the Kremlin in central Moscow, on April 28, 2022. (Photo by Alexander NEMENOV / AFP)

Russia said Monday that two of its debt payments were blocked from reaching creditors, pushing the country closer to its first foreign default in a century due to sanctions over the Ukraine offensive.

The announcement came on the 124th day of Russia's military intervention in Ukraine, with Western sanctions so far failing to force the Kremlin to change its course, AFP said.

The Western economic penalties have largely severed the country from the international financial system, making it difficult for Moscow to service its debt.

The Russian authorities insist they have the funds to honor the country's debt, calling the predicament a "farce" and accusing the West of seeking to drive Moscow into a default artificially.

"There are no grounds to call this situation a default," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters after a key payment deadline expired Sunday.

"These claims about default, they are absolutely wrong," he said, adding that Russia settled the debt in May.

Russia lost the last avenue to service its foreign-currency loans after the United States removed an exemption last month that allowed US investors to receive Moscow's payments.

- 'Vicious circle of decline' -
A 30-day grace period for the payment of $100 million in interest payments expired on Sunday night, most of which had to be paid in foreign currency.

Russia had attempted to make the payments, but the finance ministry said Monday that the money had not been transferred to creditors.

International settlement and clearing systems "received funds in full in advance" but the payments were not transferred to the final recipients due to "the actions of third parties," the ministry said in a statement.

"The actions of foreign financial intermediaries are beyond the Russian finance ministry's control," the statement said.

While some experts dismiss the event as a technical default, others say it will have far-reaching consequences.

"This default is important as it will impact on Russia's ratings, market access and financing costs for years to come," said Timothy Ash, an emerging markets strategist at BlueBay Asset Management.

"And that means lower investment, lower growth, lower living standards, capital and human flight (brain drain), and a vicious circle of decline for the Russian economy."

- 'Locked Russia out' -
But Liam Peach, emerging Europe economist at Capital Economics, a research group, said a default was a "a largely symbolic event that is unlikely to have an additional macroeconomic impact".

"Sanctions have already done the damage and locked Russia out of global capital markets," Peach said in a note.

The sanctions included freezing the Russian government's stockpile of $300 billion in foreign currency reserves held abroad, making it more complicated for Moscow to settle its foreign debts.

After the United States closed the payment loophole last month, Russia said it would pay in rubles that could be converted into foreign currency, using a Russian financial institution as a paying agent, even though the bonds do not allow payments in the local currency.

The country last defaulted on its foreign debt in 1918, when Bolshevik revolution leader Vladimir Lenin refused to recognize the massive debts of the deposed tsar's regime.

Russia defaulted on domestic debt in 1998 when, due to a drop in commodity prices, it faced a financial squeeze that prevented it from propping up the ruble and paying off debts that accumulated during the first war in Chechnya.

The International Monetary Fund's number two official, Gita Gopinath, said in March that a Russian default would have "limited" impact on the global financial system.



Spacex Set for Starship's Next Flight, Trump Expected to Attend

NASA's SpaceX Europa mission on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket lifts off from Launch Complex 39A, at the agency's Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida, USA, 14 October 2024.  EPA/CRISTOBAL HERRERA-ULASHKEVICH
NASA's SpaceX Europa mission on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket lifts off from Launch Complex 39A, at the agency's Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida, USA, 14 October 2024. EPA/CRISTOBAL HERRERA-ULASHKEVICH
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Spacex Set for Starship's Next Flight, Trump Expected to Attend

NASA's SpaceX Europa mission on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket lifts off from Launch Complex 39A, at the agency's Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida, USA, 14 October 2024.  EPA/CRISTOBAL HERRERA-ULASHKEVICH
NASA's SpaceX Europa mission on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket lifts off from Launch Complex 39A, at the agency's Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida, USA, 14 October 2024. EPA/CRISTOBAL HERRERA-ULASHKEVICH

SpaceX is poised for its next Starship megarocket test flight on Tuesday, with US President-elect Donald Trump expected to witness the second ever attempt to catch its descending booster stage in the launch tower's "chopstick" arms.
It comes just over a month after the company first pulled off the technical tour de force that underscored its position as the world leader in reusable rocketry.
"It was a beautiful thing to see," Trump declared in his election night victory speech, dramatically recounting the feat.
US media outlets have reported on Trump's plans to attend -- further backed by Federal Aviation Administration orders showing flight restrictions for VIP movement have been imposed around the area during the launch window, which opens at 4:00 pm (2200 GMT) from the company's Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.
Meanwhile, the usual air traffic restrictions over Trump's Florida residence will be lifted at the same time.
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has been a constant presence at Trump's side since the Republican's election victory, joining him at meetings with Argentina's President Javier Milei and even at a UFC fight. Trump's decision to travel to Musk's home turf is the latest sign of the burgeoning bond between the billionaire duo.
SpaceX will be looking to prove the first catch wasn't a fluke, after Musk revealed -- indirectly, through audio shared on X of a discussion with engineers days later -- that the Super Heavy booster had come perilously close to crashing.
The world's richest man shared a three-minute video flaunting his hack-and-slash skills in the "Diablo IV" video game, during which sharp-eared viewers caught an employee briefing him that "we were one second away" from a system failure that could have ended in catastrophe.
Tuesday's launch will mark the fastest turnaround between test flights for the world's most powerful rocket, a gleaming, stainless steel colossus central to Musk's vision of colonizing Mars and making humanity a multiplanetary species.
NASA is also counting on a specialized version of Starship to ferry astronauts to the lunar surface later this decade under its Artemis program.
Daylight splashdown
Flight six will revisit many of the goals from flight five, with some updates.
If all goes as planned, the returning booster will decelerate from supersonic speeds, creating sonic booms as it nears the launch tower. There, a pair of massive mechanical arms will reach out to catch it and bring it to a halt, around eight to ten minutes after liftoff.
Starship's upper stage will make a partial orbit of Earth, reenter the atmosphere and splash down in the Indian Ocean a little over an hour later, but this time in the daylight, providing better conditions for visual analysis.
Technical goals include reigniting Starship's Raptor engines for the first time in space, and carrying out new heat shield experiments in what will be the final flight for the current generation of Starship prototypes.
The next bloc will feature redesigned forward flaps, larger propellant tanks, and new-generation tiles and thermal protection layers as the company strives towards a fully reusable heat shield.
Musk riding high
The flight comes as Musk is riding high on Trump's November 5 White House win, having campaigned extensively for the returning Republican leader, as well as donating tens of millions of dollars from his own fortune to the cause.
He has been appointed to co-lead a new "Department of Government Efficiency" -- whose acronym DOGE is a reference to an internet meme and a cryptocurrency that Musk heavily promotes.
That in turn has led to concerns Musk will face possible conflicts of interest if he's seen to influence government regulators to the benefit of his six companies, including SpaceX and its flagship project, Starship.
Ahead of the fifth flight, SpaceX wrote a lengthy post complaining that "the licensing process has been repeatedly derailed by issues ranging from the frivolous to the patently absurd," singling out a "superfluous environmental analysis" for a launch delay.