‘Death Boats’ from Lebanon … Journey to the ‘European Dream’ or Bottom of the Sea

Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
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‘Death Boats’ from Lebanon … Journey to the ‘European Dream’ or Bottom of the Sea

Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)

Lebanon had transformed in the past two years into a platform for the departure of migrants to Europe. Over 85 journeys left the country in 2022 alone.

A Lebanese security source said the smuggling operations existed before the crisis that has been engulfing the country since 2019, but they have risen dramatically since.

Thousands of migrants from Lebanon and Syria and Palestinians have been literally throwing themselves in the sea in a gamble to reach Europe where they dream of leading a better life.

Travelers from 38 boats managed to reach European shores in 2021, while 46 have failed. Tragedy has also struck, taking hundreds of migrants to the bottom of the sea.

The Lebanese army has dedicated a unit to crack down on human traffickers. They collect the testimonies of smugglers and escapees to help them draw the complete picture of how the illicit operations take place along the Lebanese shore.

A Lebanese security source drew a bleak picture of despair to Asharq Al-Awsat. He spoke of how people were willing to risk their lives and that of their children to take the dangerous journey at sea. He also spoke of the greed of smugglers who recklessly risk the lives of people for a handful of dollars, which the migrants often collect by selling everything they own to pay for the perilous journey.

Italy is the destination of all these journeys.

Why Italy?

The source said: “Yes, the journey to Italy is longer, more difficult and more dangerous, compared to Cyprus, which can be seen by the naked eye from Lebanon.”

Lebanon and Cyprus have signed an agreement to prevent the smuggling of people from Lebanon, so that country has been ruled out by traffickers.

Greece, which is also close to Lebanon, has also been ruled out because its authorities have been brutally cracking down on migrant boats.

Italy, however, helps migrants and provides them with essentials, such as food and medical treatment, as soon as they arrive on its shores. Moreover, it does not detain the migrants, but rather allows them to roam the country and enter other parts of Europe until judicial rulings are issued.

The journey to Italy takes around eight to ten days, depending on the weather. It could take even longer if the boat is forced to maneuver around Cypriot or Greek patrols. At times, the boat may be forced to remain moored at sea for days.

Once the boat reaches regional waters, the captain would turn on the GPS and satellite telephones to call for rescue from the Italian coastguard. Once the message is received, the captain then begins to sink the vessel to destroy any evidence that gives away where the trip departed from.

Everyone onboard the boat then jumps into the sea to await the coastguard that takes them to dedicated gathering spots.

The migrants then refuse to present any identification papers, forcing Italian authorities to give them two options: Submit an asylum request in Italy or face a deadline to leave the country.

The second option is often chosen by the majority of the migrants, who have relatives or friends in other European countries, where they would choose to settle down with their help.

Smuggling scenario
The area stretching from Tripoli’s shores to the al-Abde at the border with Syria is chosen arena of the smugglers.

The smuggling operation begins with a “contractor” of sorts who gathers the travelers and agrees with them on the details of the trip and the payment that is made in installments. The first is an advance payment and the last is given to the smuggler in Lebanon through relatives or people trusted by the migrants and smuggler after the travelers reach Europe.

A passenger is charged between 4,000 and 5,000 dollars, but special prices are offered to families and groups. Discounts are offered to children, which only leads to more of them being placed in the boats.

The desperate migrants often sell their homes, gold, or properties to pay for the dangerous journey. If it is a failure, then they are left with nothing.

Passengers revealed that they have had to stay in the town of Bebnin on the eve of their journey. Their stay there is a boon for the residents. The town has become the destination of passengers from Lebanon and Syria as well.

This has led to cooperation between smugglers from Syria and those operating the migrant boats.

Rawan al-Mane, the relative of victim Mustafa Misto, said her cousin was convinced of embarking on the journey by a friend, who turned out to be close to major smuggler, Bilal Nadim Deeb.

Mustafa took out loans to pay 5,000 dollars per migrant and 5,000 dollars for his three children.

In the meantime, the smuggler would have completed the purchase of a fishing boat that will be used for the journey. The cost ranges between 35,000 and 50,000 dollars. The boat that recently sank off Syria’s Tartus cost 36,000 dollars.

The smuggler then transfers the ownership to one of the travelers, who would be granted a discount on the journey. The owner of the vessel is often pursued by judicial authorities once the trip is discovered, therefore allowing the smuggler to “remain out of the picture.”

The boat then leaves the fishing port legally. The necessary documents and identity of the sailor are verified by the security forces. Finding nothing suspicious, such as large amounts of fuel, life jackets and food, the vessel is allowed to leave.

The necessities for the journey are loaded later. They are first stored at houses that are located along the shore and their owners, of course, ask for a fee for keeping them.

The migrants are gathered in small boats dotted off the shore to avoid raising suspicions. They often do not carry any luggage, just a few bags or backpacks, meaning they could pass as regular boat passengers.

Once the migrant boat arrives, the surprises eventually begin to arise. The number of passengers often exceeds the capacity of the boat.

A boat usually has the capacity to hold 20 people, while an agreement would have been reached to load it with 50. But once the migrants are collected, the number would have crossed that figure by miles. The ill-fated boat that sank off Tartus carried over 125 people.

The boat “crew” consists of the captain, his assistant, mechanic and medic. Relatives and friends of the “crew” could take advantage of their connections and also join the journey. Rounding out the numbers are the migrants themselves.

The greater the load in the boat, the greater the danger. The weather only increases the risks and when a storm strikes, so does tragedy. Other factors that jeopardize the journey include the poor experience of the captain and his assistants and the greed of the smugglers.

The Lebanese army has been trying to crack down on smuggling throughout the year despite limited means. The security source said 46 operations were thwarted in 2022, while 38 made the journey. Two boat sinkings were reported. One vessel was rescued after suffering a malfunction at sea.

Lebanese authorities have largely managed to uncover the smuggling networks and are working on breaking them up as much as possible.

Bebnin used to be a fishing town, but the spike in smuggling has shifted the focus of the residents. Entire families are now involved in smuggling and trafficking.

The brother of detained smuggler, Bilal Deeb, also took up smuggling and headed one trafficking network. He embarked on a journey at sea with his family and is now living in Europe.



Will Ahmadinejad Return to the Political Scene in Iran?

Iranian former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. (AFP)
Iranian former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. (AFP)
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Will Ahmadinejad Return to the Political Scene in Iran?

Iranian former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. (AFP)
Iranian former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. (AFP)

A report by The Atlantic said the strike that hit a region close to Iranian former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s residence in the first days of the war on Iran has returned to the spotlight a still controversial political figure even though he left office for over a decade ago.

On the first day of the Iran war, the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei overshadowed news of a strike near Ahmadinejad’s home, said the report.

“Many who remembered his term in office - marked by Holocaust denial, atom-bomb fetishism, and shoving revolutionary ideology down the throats of a country already weary of it - celebrated his reported assassination,” it added. He was president from 2005 to 2013.

“Among those who have followed Ahmadinejad’s post-presidential career, however, his targeting was more of an enigma. Since leaving office, Ahmadinejad has harshly criticized the Iranian government, and as a result, Iran’s Guardian Council has formally excluded him from running for president,” said the report.

For more than a decade, he has been known more as a regime opponent than as a supporter. “I don’t understand why Israel would want to kill him in the first place,” Meir Javedanfar, who co-wrote a biography of Ahmadinejad, told The Atlantic. “Perhaps to settle scores? It makes no sense.”

Contrary to early reports, Ahmadinejad is alive, his associates revealed, requesting anonymity. “The circumstances of his survival may prove significant as the war drags on. Whatever the intent, Ahmadinejad’s associates say the strike was in effect a jailbreak operation that freed the former president from regime control.”

“Long before the war, the government had posted a small number of bodyguards near Ahmadinejad, nominally to protect a prominent citizen but also to keep tabs on him. The regime has never been sure what to do with him,” said the report.

About a month ago, after the January protests, his freedom of movement was further reduced, his phones confiscated, and the contingent of bodyguards increased from single digits to about 50. The bodyguards were based a few hundred meters from Ahmadinejad’s residence itself, at the entrance to a cul-de-sac in Narmak, in northeast Tehran. They established a checkpoint to monitor the houses and high school on that street.

“A February 28 strike hit not the residence, but the security forces nearby. In the ensuing mayhem, Ahmadinejad and his family evidently escaped their home and went underground. The government believed he had died, and his death was announced by official channels, as well as the reformist daily Sharq.”

“When rumors arose that Ahmadinejad had escaped, regime elements immediately suspected that he had been spirited away to take part in a coup,” said The Atlantic. “Ahmadinejad’s only public statement since the attack has been a brief eulogy for the supreme leader, calculated to show that Ahmadinejad was alive and to dispel speculation that he had declared himself an enemy of the state. His location is unknown to the government.”

In 2018, former Defense Minister Hussein Dehghan likened Ahmadinejad to “the door of the mosque, which can’t be burned or thrown away” without torching the mosque itself.

“Arresting Ahmadinejad could unsettle the regime,” Javedanfar said. “He knows a hell of a lot about it.”

“Ahmadinejad’s fans say that he has popular support, and that any postwar government will want him around to lend that support. If the current regime survives, it will need all the legitimacy it can get. If it does not, the United States might need someone with intimate - if outdated - knowledge of the Iranian state to be involved with what comes next. Ahmadinejad could still be useful,” the report said.


How Have US Presidents Tapped Strategic Petroleum Reserves During War?

GILLETT, TEXAS - MARCH 11: Pump jacks operate in a field on March 11, 2026 in Gillett, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images/AFP
GILLETT, TEXAS - MARCH 11: Pump jacks operate in a field on March 11, 2026 in Gillett, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images/AFP
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How Have US Presidents Tapped Strategic Petroleum Reserves During War?

GILLETT, TEXAS - MARCH 11: Pump jacks operate in a field on March 11, 2026 in Gillett, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images/AFP
GILLETT, TEXAS - MARCH 11: Pump jacks operate in a field on March 11, 2026 in Gillett, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images/AFP

The US plans to release 172 million barrels of oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, more than 40% of a wider release coordinated with allies, to help dampen prices spiked by supply disruptions from the US-Israeli war on Iran.

The US sale, announced late on Wednesday, is part of a 400-million-barrel release by members of the International Energy Agency. The US Department of Energy said the US drawdown would begin next week and take about four months.

The SPR currently holds about 415 million barrels, most of which is high sulfur, or sour ‌crude, that US ‌refineries are geared to process. The crude is ‌held ⁠underground in hollowed-out salt ⁠caverns on the coasts of Texas and Louisiana that can store 714 million barrels.

Here is how US presidents have tapped the SPR in times of war:

RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE

In March 2022, the month after Russia invaded Ukraine, former President Joe Biden ordered the release of 180 million barrels over six months - the largest sale ever from the emergency stash. Biden, ⁠and later President Donald Trump, slowly bought some oil ‌to replenish the reserves, but little ‌has been added back as Congress needs to provide more money to ‌do so.

LIBYA CIVIL WAR

In ⁠June 2011, former ⁠President Barack Obama ordered the release of 30 million barrels of oil from the reserve to offset disruptions to global markets from civil war in oil producer Libya. That sale was coordinated with the Paris-based IEA, resulting in an additional 30-million-barrel release from other member countries.

OPERATION DESERT STORM

In 1990-1991, after the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, former President George H. W. Bush sold about 21 million barrels in two phases. In October 1990, the US ordered a 3.9-million-barrel test sale. In January 1991, after US and allied warplanes began attacks against Baghdad and other military targets in OPEC-member Iraq as part of Operation Desert Storm, Bush ordered the sale of 34 million barrels, of which half was sold.


How Trump and his Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War

Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said the administration “had a strong game plan” before the war broke out. Doug Mills/The New York Times
Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said the administration “had a strong game plan” before the war broke out. Doug Mills/The New York Times
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How Trump and his Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War

Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said the administration “had a strong game plan” before the war broke out. Doug Mills/The New York Times
Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said the administration “had a strong game plan” before the war broke out. Doug Mills/The New York Times

By Mark Mazzetti, Tyler Pager, Edward Wong

On Feb. 18, as President Trump weighed whether to launch military attacks on Iran, Chris Wright, the energy secretary, told an interviewer he was not concerned that the looming war might disrupt oil supplies in the Middle East and wreak havoc in energy markets.

Even during the Israeli and US strikes against Iran last June, Wright said, there had been little disruption in the markets. “Oil prices blipped up and then went back down,” he said.

Some of Trump’s other advisers shared similar views in private, dismissing warnings that — the second time around — Iran might wage economic warfare by closing shipping lanes carrying roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply.

The extent of that miscalculation was laid bare in recent days, as Iran threatened to fire at commercial oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic choke point through which all ships must pass on their way out of the Arabian Gulf.

In response to the Iranian threats, commercial shipping has come to a standstill in the Gulf, oil prices have spiked, and the Trump administration has scrambled to find ways to tamp down an economic crisis that has triggered higher gasoline prices for Americans.

The episode is emblematic of how much Trump and his advisers misjudged how Iran would respond to a conflict that the government in Tehran sees as an existential threat.

Iran has responded far more aggressively than it did during last June’s 12-day war, firing barrages of missiles and drones at US military bases, cities in Arab nations across the Middle East, and on Israeli population centers.

US officials have had to adjust plans on the fly, from hastily ordering the evacuation of embassies to developing policy proposals to reduce gas prices.

After Trump administration officials gave a closed-door briefing to lawmakers on Tuesday, Senator Christopher S. Murphy, Democrat of Connecticut, said on social media that the administration had no plan for the Strait of Hormuz and did “not know how to get it safely back open.”

Inside the administration, some officials are growing pessimistic about the lack of a clear strategy to finish the war. But they have been careful not to express that directly to the president, who has repeatedly declared that the military operation is a complete success.

Trump has laid out maximalist goals like insisting that Iran name a leader who will submit to him, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have described narrower and more tactical objectives that could provide an off-ramp in the near term.

Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, said the administration “had a strong game plan” before the war broke out, and vowed that oil prices would drop after it ended.

“The purposeful disruption in the oil market by the Iranian regime is short term, and necessary for the long-term gain of wiping out these terrorists and the threat they pose to America and the world,” she said in a statement.

This article is based on interviews with a dozen US officials, who asked for anonymity to discuss private conversations.

‘Show Some Guts’

Hegseth acknowledged on Tuesday that Iran’s ferocious response against its neighbors caught the Pentagon somewhat off guard. But he insisted that Iran’s actions were backfiring.

“I can’t say that we anticipated necessarily that’s exactly how they would react, but we knew it was a possibility,” Hegseth said at a Pentagon news conference. “I think it was a demonstration of the desperation of the regime.”

Trump has displayed growing frustration over how the war is disrupting the oil supply, telling Fox News that oil tanker crews should “show some guts” and sail through the Strait of Hormuz.

Some military advisers did warn before the war that Iran could launch an aggressive campaign in response, and would view the US-Israeli attack as a threat to its existence. But other advisers remained confident that killing Iran’s senior leadership would lead to more pragmatic leaders taking over who might bring an end to the war.

When Trump was briefed about risks that oil prices could rise in the event of war, he acknowledged the possibility but downplayed it as a short-term concern that should not overshadow the mission to decapitate the Iranian regime. He directed Wright and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to work on developing options for a potential spike in prices.

But the president did not speak publicly about these options — including political risk insurance backed by the US government, and the potential of US Navy escorts — until more than 48 hours after the conflict started. The escorts have not yet taken place.

As the conflict has roiled global markets, Republicans in Washington have grown concerned about rising oil prices damaging their efforts to sell an economic agenda to voters ahead of the midterm elections.

Trump, both publicly and privately, has been arguing that Venezuelan oil could help solve any shocks coming from the Iran war. The administration announced on Tuesday a new refinery in Texas that officials said could help increase oil supply, ensuring that Iran does not cause any long-term damage to oil markets.

A Potential Off-Ramp

Trump has said both that the war could go on for more than a month and that it was “very complete, pretty much.” He also said the United States would “go forward more determined than ever.”

Rubio and Hegseth, however, appear to have coordinated their messaging for now on three discrete goals that they began laying out in public remarks on Monday and Tuesday.

“The goals of this mission are clear,” Rubio said at a State Department event on Monday before Trump held his own news conference. “It is to destroy the ability of this regime to launch missiles, both by destroying their missiles and their launchers; destroy the factories that make these missiles; and destroy their navy.”

The State Department even laid out the three goals in bullet-point fashion, and highlighted a video clip of Rubio stating them on an official social media account.

The presentation by Rubio, who is also the White House national security adviser, appeared to be setting the stage for the president to bring an end to the war sooner rather than later. In his news conference, Trump boasted of how the US military had already destroyed Iran’s ballistic missile capability and its navy. But he also warned of even more aggressive action if Iranian leaders tried to cut off the world’s energy supply.

Matthew Pottinger, who was a deputy national security adviser in the first Trump administration, said in an interview that Mr. Trump had indicated he could decide to pursue ambitions war goals that would take weeks at least.

“In his press conference, I could hear him circling back to a rationale for fighting a bit longer given that the regime is still signaling it won’t be deterred and is still trying to control the Strait of Hormuz,” said Pottinger, now the chair of the China program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a group that advocates a close US partnership with Israel and confrontation with Iran.

“He doesn’t want to have to fight a ‘sequel’ war,” Pottinger added.

The search for pathways out of the war has gained urgency since the weekend, as global oil prices surge and as the United States burns through costly munitions.

Pentagon officials said in recent closed-door briefings on Capitol Hill that the military used up $5.6 billion of munitions in the first two days of the war alone, according to three congressional officials. That is a far larger amount and munitions burn rate than had been publicly disclosed. The Washington Post reported on the figure on Monday.

Iranian officials have remained defiant, saying they will use their leverage over the world’s oil supply to force the United States and Israel to blink.

“Strait of Hormuz will either be a Strait of peace and prosperity for all,” Ali Larijani, Iran’s top national security official, said in a social media post on Tuesday. “Or it will be a Strait of defeat and suffering for warmongers.”

The New York Times