Syrians Queue to Buy Bread and Fuel: Why Aren’t Russia and Iran Supporting Us?

Heating fuel, petrol and cooking gas have been in short supply in government-held areas of Syria for years, and motorists have grown used to long queues to fill up. (AFP)
Heating fuel, petrol and cooking gas have been in short supply in government-held areas of Syria for years, and motorists have grown used to long queues to fill up. (AFP)
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Syrians Queue to Buy Bread and Fuel: Why Aren’t Russia and Iran Supporting Us?

Heating fuel, petrol and cooking gas have been in short supply in government-held areas of Syria for years, and motorists have grown used to long queues to fill up. (AFP)
Heating fuel, petrol and cooking gas have been in short supply in government-held areas of Syria for years, and motorists have grown used to long queues to fill up. (AFP)

As the fuel, diesel and bread crisis continues to deepen, the Syrian government announced additional reductions of gasoline and diesel subsidies for the second time this month. Observers see that Damascus “is bitterly disappointed and quietly suffering because of its allies’ failure to intervene to rescue it from its latest crisis.” Syrians are questioning Russia and Iran as massive queues overwhelm government-subsidized bakeries amid the acute grain shortage.

On Monday, the Ministry of Internal Trade and Consumer Protection issued a sudden decree raising the price of a liter of industrial and commercial gas to 650 Syrian pounds after being priced at 296 pounds. It also raised the price of a liter of Octane 95 gasoline to 1,050 pounds, after having had already raised the price from 450 to 850 pounds earlier this month.

With its decision, the ministry confirmed that the price of gas for heating, 180 pounds per liter, has not been changed. The same applies to other sectors, like transportation, agriculture and the public sector. It also maintained the price (135 Pounds per liter) at which gas is sold to bakeries that distribute bread rations.

The ministry justified its decision to raise the price at which gas is sold to manufacturers and businesses with the high cost of supplying petroleum derivatives in light of the “unjust blockade” imposed by the American administration on the Syrian people, adding that the measure will help to curb smuggling.

Car owners told Asharq Al-Awsat that they still spend hours, sometimes a whole day, waiting to buy 30 liters of gas at the subsidized price of 250 pounds, while others resort to the black market and buy it at astronomical prices.

Meanwhile, the government has kept quiet about the reasons for the long queues at bakeries and puts the gasoline shortage down to maintenance work, the completion of which has been announced several times this year, at the Baniyas refinery.

But economists have been asking: what are our allies, Russia and Iran, doing about what is going in Syria? Why haven’t they intervened? Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, one economist asked: “Is a major power like Russia incapable of supplying an oil tanker or a ship loaded with grain?”

He added: “The government is silent! Is it a silence about being let down by our allies?”

In a joint press conference on September 7, during Russian Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s visit to Damascus, Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Muallem said: “The future of relations with Russia is promising, and it has positive indications for the county’s economic and political future.”

“We are optimistic that the general economic situation will improve in the coming months,” he said.

However, a month and a half later, and after a government delegation recently visited Moscow, the economic situation has yet to improve in areas under the regime’s control; indeed, it has become worse.

The crisis has been intensifying over the past month, and living conditions have become hellishly dire. Amid the grain shortage, dozens of bakeries in Damascus and its periphery shut their doors, while the large state-run bakeries in the capital have been unable to supply the quota that it had promised.

After the expected waiting time at these bakeries exceeded five hours, the price of a bundle of bread (seven loaves) surged in the black market, first going from 200 pounds to 500 before reaching 1,000 pounds on Tuesday. Subsidized bread is sold for 50 pounds. As for gas for heating, local sources claim only 10 percent of families on the ration lists have received their share.



Iran Holds Military Drills as it Faces Rising Economic Pressures and Trump's Return

A handout picture provided by the Iranian Army media office on October 4, 2023 shows locally-made drones during a military drill at an undisclosed location in Iran. (Photo by Iranian Army office / AFP)
A handout picture provided by the Iranian Army media office on October 4, 2023 shows locally-made drones during a military drill at an undisclosed location in Iran. (Photo by Iranian Army office / AFP)
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Iran Holds Military Drills as it Faces Rising Economic Pressures and Trump's Return

A handout picture provided by the Iranian Army media office on October 4, 2023 shows locally-made drones during a military drill at an undisclosed location in Iran. (Photo by Iranian Army office / AFP)
A handout picture provided by the Iranian Army media office on October 4, 2023 shows locally-made drones during a military drill at an undisclosed location in Iran. (Photo by Iranian Army office / AFP)

Iran is reeling from a cratering economy and stinging military setbacks across its sphere of influence in the Middle East. Its bad times are likely to get worse once President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House with his policy of “maximum pressure” on Iran.

Facing difficulties at home and abroad, Iran last week began an unusual two-month-long military drill. It includes testing air defenses near a key nuclear facility and preparing for exercises in waterways vital to the global oil trade.

The military flexing seems aimed at projecting strength, but doubts about its power are high after the past year's setbacks.

The December overthrow of Syrian President Bashar Assad, who Iran supported for years with money and troops, was a major blow to its self-described “Axis of Resistance” across the region. The “axis” had already been hollowed out by Israel’s punishing offensives last year against two militant groups backed by Iran – Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel also attacked Iran directly on two occasions.

According to The AP, an Iranian Revolutionary Guard general based in Syria offered a blunt assessment this week. “I do not see it as a matter of pride that we lost Syria,” Gen. Behrouz Esbati said, according to an audio recording of a speech he gave that was leaked to the media. “We lost. We badly lost. We blew it.”

At home, Iran’s economy is in tatters.

The US and its allies have maintained stiff sanctions to deter it from developing nuclear weapons — and Iran's recent efforts to get them lifted through diplomacy have fallen flat. Pollution chokes the skies in the capital, Tehran, as power plants burn dirty fuel in their struggle to avoid outages during winter. And families are struggling to make ends meet as the Iranian currency, the rial, falls to record lows against the US dollar.

As these burdens rise, so does the likelihood of political protests, which have ignited nationwide in recent years over women's rights and the weak economy.

How Trump chooses to engage with Iran remains to be seen. But on Tuesday he left open the possibility of the US conducting preemptive airstrikes on nuclear sites where Iran is closer than ever to enriching uranium to weapons-grade levels.

“It’s a military strategy,” Trump told journalists at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida during a wide-ranging news conference. “I’m not answering questions on military strategy.”

Iran insists its nuclear program is peaceful, yet officials there increasingly suggest Tehran could pursue an atomic bomb.

Europe's view of Iran hardens. It's not just Trump or Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a longtime foe of Tehran, that paint Iran's nuclear program as a major threat. French President Emmanuel Macron, speaking Monday to French ambassadors in Paris, described Iran as “the main strategic and security challenge for France, the Europeans, the entire region and well beyond.”

“The acceleration of its nuclear program is bringing us very close to the breaking point,” Macron said. “Its ballistic program threatens European soil and our interests."

While Europe had previously been seen as more conciliatory toward Iran, its attitude has hardened. That's likely because of what Macron described as Tehran's “assertive and fully identified military support” of Russia since it's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

France, as well as Germany and the United Kingdom, had been part of Iran's 2015 nuclear deal with world powers. Under that deal, Iran limited its enrichment of uranium and drastically reduced its stockpile in exchange for the lifting of crushing, United Nations-backed economic sanctions. Trump unilaterally withdrew America from the accord in 2018, and with those UN sanctions lifted, it provided cover for China's to purchase oil from Iran.

But now France, Germany and the United Kingdom call Tehran's advances in its atomic program a ”nuclear escalation" that needs to be addressed. That raises the possibility of Western nations pushing for what's called a “snapback” of those UN sanctions on Iran, which could be catastrophic for the Iranian economy. That “snapback” power expires in October.

On Wednesday, Iran released a visiting Italian journalist, Cecilia Sala, after detaining her for three weeks — even though she had received the government's approval to report from there.

Sala's arrest came days after Italian authorities arrested an Iranian engineer accused by the US of supplying drone technology used in a January 2024 attack on a US outpost in Jordan that killed three American troops. The engineer remains in Italian custody.

- Iran holds military drills as worries grow

The length of the military drills started by Iran's armed forces and its paramilitary Revolutionary Guard may be unusual, but their intended message to the US and Israel — and to its domestic audience — is not. Iran is trying to show itself as capable of defending against any possible attack.

On Tuesday, Iran held air-defense drills around its underground nuclear enrichment facility in the city of Natanz. It claimed it could intercept a so-called “bunker buster” bomb designed to destroy such sites.

However, the drill did not involve any of its four advanced S-300 Russian air defense systems, which Israel targeted in its strikes on Iran. At least two are believed to have been damaged, and Israeli officials claim all have been taken out.

“Some of the US and Israeli reservations about using force to address Iran’s nuclear program have dissipated,” wrote Kenneth Katzman, a longtime Iran analyst for the US government who is now at the New York-based Soufan Center. “It appears likely that, at the very least, the Trump administration would not assertively dissuade Israel from striking Iranian facilities, even if the United States might decline to join the assault.”

There are other ways Iran could respond. This weekend, naval forces plan exercises in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. Iran for years has threatened to close the strait — a narrow lane through which a fifth of global oil supplies are transported — and it has targeted oil tankers and other ships in those waters since 2019.

“Harassment and seizures are likely to remain the main tools of Iranian counteraction,” the private maritime security firm Ambrey warned Thursday.

Its allies may not be much help, though. The tempo of attacks on shipping lanes by Yemen's Houthis, long armed by Iran, have slowed. And Iran has growing reservations about the reliability of Russia.

In the recording of the speech by the Iranian general, Esbati, he alleges that Russia “turned off all radars” in Syria to allow an Israeli airstrike that hit a Guard intelligence center.

Esbati also said Iranian missiles “don't have so much of an impact” and that the US would retaliate against any attack targeting its bases in the region.

“For the time being and in this situation, dragging the region into a military operation does not agree (with the) interest of the resistance,” he says.