Iraqi Factions Defy Qaani's Directive to Maintain Calm

A memorial of the names of the victims in Mosul on the anniversary of the city's recapture from ISIS (AFP)
A memorial of the names of the victims in Mosul on the anniversary of the city's recapture from ISIS (AFP)
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Iraqi Factions Defy Qaani's Directive to Maintain Calm

A memorial of the names of the victims in Mosul on the anniversary of the city's recapture from ISIS (AFP)
A memorial of the names of the victims in Mosul on the anniversary of the city's recapture from ISIS (AFP)

Shiite leaders of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) denied reports claiming that the factions agreed to escalate attacks against US troops in Iraq.

Recent reports said there was "defiance" against the directives of the commander of al-Quds Force Esmail Qaani regarding maintaining calm after targeting Erbil airport and Ain al-Assad base.

However, sources confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat that a meeting was held last week in Baghdad airport between Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) officers and Iraqi Shiite leaders where the two sides agreed on maintaining calm, which was opposed by Hezbollah and Sayyid al-Shuhada Brigades.

The sources said that the leaders of the Fatah Alliance and Asaib Ahl al-Haq supported the decision, however, the Sayyid Al-Shuhada Brigades spokesman, Kadhim al-Fartousi, announced that the Iraqi Islamic resistance strongly rejected any mediation regarding halting military operations against the US forces.

The military escalation against the US troops aims to remove them from Iraq, he said, warning that escalation will not be stopped, regardless of pressures on the factions.

According to Iraqi sources, who attended the meeting, the Iranian proposal was met with challenge and opposition.

One of the six faction leaders said: "They could not stay quiet while the death of his predecessor Qassim Soleimani and senior Iraqi militia commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis in a US drone strike went unavenged."

The details from the meeting, confirmed to The Associated Press by three Shiite political officials and two senior militia officials, demonstrate how Iranian-aligned Iraqi militia groups are asserting a degree of independence, sometimes even flouting orders from Tehran.

Iran now relies on Lebanon's Hezbollah for support in reining them in, and there is potential that Iran's new president could play a role in doing the same.

Abu Ali al-Askari brigades take a different path from the rest of the factions, adopting direct and adventurous escalation without agreeing to any political settlement with the other PMF brigades.

The leader of the Sayyid al-Shuhada Brigades is threatening to postpone the elections scheduled for April 2022, according to The AP.

The sources said that the Iranian officers warned the leaders of the Shiite factions that "continuing the security escalation will end the Shiite rule."

The regional situation is reaching dangerous levels, and the Iranians have sent clear messages to the Iraqis that the situation at the Afghan border requires a stable front in the eastern axis, especially in Iraq, according to a Fatah commander and political advisor of Rule of Law coalition.

The Fatah commander said that major Shiite parties have agreed to a minimum truce until the Iraqi elections, but the situation is getting more complicated because of the decentralization method in which the factions operate.

Three main factors play into the policy of "creative chaos" for the faction's system.

The first is the emerging Shiite cells, which work with the leaders of the traditional factions without direct contact with the Iranians and carry out special operations.

The second is that the factions' strategy separates their rivalry with Prime Minister Mustafa Kadhimi and their agenda of removing the US forces from the country.

But the third factor constitutes the intense competition for influence over whom to replace Muhandis.

A PMF commander reported that the relationship between factions' leaders is not what it seems, saying there is intense competition.

"It may all seem chaotic, but it is the chaos that created influence in Iraq," he noted.

Several factions see in the new Iranian president Ebrahim Rasisi a more significant opportunity to consolidate influence and stabilize the status of the Popular Mobilization Forces in the same form in which the IRGC operates.

In general, the factions that seek escalation against the government or US interests in Iraq reflect a fundamental shift that was not prominent during the former government and represents an imposition of a new reality on Iraq's security and political conditions.



Hamas Names Four Israeli Female Soldier Hostages to Be Freed in Second Swap

 Palestinians walk on the rubble of destroyed houses, after the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, Friday, Jan. 24, 2025. (AP)
Palestinians walk on the rubble of destroyed houses, after the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, Friday, Jan. 24, 2025. (AP)
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Hamas Names Four Israeli Female Soldier Hostages to Be Freed in Second Swap

 Palestinians walk on the rubble of destroyed houses, after the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, Friday, Jan. 24, 2025. (AP)
Palestinians walk on the rubble of destroyed houses, after the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, Friday, Jan. 24, 2025. (AP)

Palestinian group Hamas announced the names on Friday of four Israeli women soldier hostages to be released in exchange for Palestinian prisoners in the second swap under the ceasefire deal in Gaza.

Karina Ariev, Daniella Gilboa, Naama Levy and Liri Albag would be released on Saturday, the group said.

The exchange, expected to begin on Saturday afternoon, follows the release on the ceasefire's first day last Sunday of three Israeli women and 90 Palestinian prisoners, the first such exchange for more than a year.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office confirmed that the list had been received from the mediators. Israel's response would be presented later, it said in a statement.

Israeli media reported that the list of hostages slated for release was not in line with the original agreement, but it was not immediately clear whether this would have any impact on the planned exchange.

In the six-week first phase of the Gaza ceasefire, Israel has agreed to release 50 Palestinian prisoners for every female soldier released, officials have said. That suggests that 200 Palestinian prisoners would be released in return for the four.

The Hamas prisoners media office said it expected to get the names of 200 Palestinians to be freed on Saturday in the coming hours. It said the list was expected to include 120 prisoners serving life sentences and 80 prisoners with other lengthy sentences.

Since the release of the first three women on Sunday and the recovery of the body of an Israeli soldier missing for a decade, Israel says 94 Israelis and foreigners remain held in Gaza.

The ceasefire agreement, worked out after months of on-off negotiations brokered by Qatar and Egypt and backed by the United States, halted the fighting for the first time since a truce that lasted just a week in Nov. 2023.

In the first phase, Hamas has agreed to release 33 hostages in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails.

In a subsequent phase, the two sides would negotiate the exchange of the remaining hostages and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, which lies largely in ruins after 15 months of fighting and Israeli bombardment.

Israel launched the war following the Hamas attack on Oct. 7, 2023, when fighters killed 1,200 people and took more than 250 hostages back to Gaza, according to Israeli tallies. Since then, more than 47,000 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza, according to health authorities there.

The release of the first three hostages last week brought an emotional response from Israelis. But the phased release has drawn protests from some Israelis who fear the deal will break down after women, children, elderly and ill hostages are freed in the first phase, condemning male hostages of military age whose fate is not to be resolved until later.

Others, including some in the government, feel the deal hands a victory to Hamas, which has reasserted its presence in Gaza despite vows of Israeli leaders to destroy it. Hardliners, including Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, have demanded that Israel resume fighting at the end of the first phase.

Most of Hamas' top leadership and thousands of its fighters have been killed but the group's police have returned to the streets since the ceasefire.