Ethiopia and Somaliland: Security in Return for Sea Access

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi  attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
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Ethiopia and Somaliland: Security in Return for Sea Access

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi  attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)

Ethiopia’s signing on Monday of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to use the main port of Somalia's breakaway region of Somaliland has sparked a new dispute with its eastern neighbor.

Somalia declared on Tuesday its rejection of the deal and summoned its ambassador from Addis Ababa for consultations.

Landlocked Ethiopia has for years sought access to sea channels to meet its economic ambitions. Currently, it relies on neighboring Djibouti’s port for 95 percent of its marine trade.

Ethiopia has in the past sought to complete agreements with Eritrea, Sudan and Kenya over the use of their seaports. All failed for various reasons, such as war and coups in Sudan.

Mutual interests

The new MoU grants Ethiopia 20-km access to the Red Sea, specifically in the Berbera port, for a 50-year period.

In return, Ethiopia will recognize Somaliland as a republic, announced Muse Bihi Abdi leader of Somaliland, which has not been internationally recognized since it broke away from Somalia in 1991.

Under the MoU, at least 30 percent of Ethiopia’s trade transactions with Djibouti will now be process at Berbera port.

National Security Affairs Advisor to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, Redwan Hussein said the MoU will pave the way for his country to carry out marine trade in the region.

It will also grant it access to a leased military base on the Red Sea as part of the agreement, he added.

In other words, Somaliland will achieve security in a turbulent region in return for selling some of its territories to Addis Ababa.

The MoU also stipulates that Somaliland will acquire a stake in the Ethiopian Airlines national carrier.

Expert in Horn of Africa affairs Abdushekur Abdulsamad told Asharq Al-Awsat that the MoU will help Somaliland in modernizing its infrastructure, paving roads and laying railways. It will also benefit from electricity generated by the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD).

It could gain military support from Ethiopia once the MoU is expanded further, he added.

The agreement “shall pave the way to realize the aspiration of Ethiopia to secure access to the sea and diversify its access to seaport,” PM Abiy’s office posted on X.

“It also strengthens their security, economic and political partnership,” it said.

In a televised speech last October, Abiy declared that his country needed to pursue its right to sea access, raising concerns in the region.

He said Ethiopia “is a nation whose existence was tied to the Red Sea” and that it needed access to a port.

Moreover, he said that “peace” in the region hinged on the “balanced” relations between Ethiopia and its neighbors overlooking the Red Sea, specifically naming Djibouti, Eritrea and Somalia.

Addressing the concerns raised by his statements, he vowed that he will “never pursue his interests through war.”

Partial or full stake?

Even though the MoU did not specify Ethiopia’s exact stake in Berbera port, Abdulsamad said it could be a full stake and the facility could come under Ethiopia’s complete control.

Ethiopian authorities said they will release an official statement with the details of the MoU soon.

In 2018, Ethiopia acquired a 19 percent stake in the Berbera port, according to Dubai-based DP World, which manages the port's operations. The company itself holds a 51 percent stake, while Somaliland has the remaining 30 percent.

Ethiopia was cut off from the coast after Eritrea seceded from the country and declared independence in 1993 following a three-decade war.

Addis Ababa had maintained access to a port in Eritrea until the two countries went to war in 1998-2000, and since then Ethiopia funnels most of its trade through Djibouti.

Somaliland has not gained widespread international recognition, despite declaring autonomy from Somalia in 1991.

Ethiopia, under its former President Meles Zenawi, was the first country to recognize Somaliland’s independence.

It received informal recognition from other countries that set up diplomatic missions there or carried out trade operations.

A European Union delegation had monitored the last elections that were held in Somaliland, congratulating its people, government, electoral commission and political parties for successfully organizing them.

Kenyan and Somaliland officials have exchanged visits over the years. People of Somaliland travel through passports issued in Somaliland.

Somalia stresses that Somaliland is part of its territories. Its state news agency SONNA reported that following mediation from Djibouti, it agreed with Somaliland to resume talks to resolve their disputes.

Strongly worded Somali protest

Somalia summoned its ambassador in Ethiopia in protest against the MoU.

Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre convened an emergency cabinet meeting to discuss the MoU, which it described as a “blatant assault on the independence, sovereignty and unity of the Federal Republic of Somalia.” It deemed the agreement null and void.

Barre added that the government was determined to protect Somalia’s sovereignty. “No one can violate a part of Somalia’s territory, whether by sea or air,” he stated.

The government also said it was appealing to the United Nations, African Union, Organization of Islamic Cooperation, Arab League, European Union and regional East African grouping IGAD among others “to stand with the right for Somalia to defend its sovereignty and force Ethiopia to adhere to international laws”.

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud condemned the MoU, accusing Ethiopia of violating Somalia’s national sovereignty and regional security.

“No one can and no one will be allowed to extract an inch of Somali soil. Somalia belongs to the Somali people,” he declared in a post on the X platform.

The two Horn of Africa neighbors have a history of stormy relations and territorial feuds, fighting two wars in the late 20th century.

Abdulsamad said, however, that the tensions are now “water under the bridge.” Economic interests and policies of openness are now allowing greater rapprochement between these countries.

Eritrea

Eritrean authorities have so far not commented on the MoU, but observers believe that it will not sit well with Asmara, which will not comment on it.

Abdulsamad said Eritrea may have wasted opportunities to strike a lucrative agreement with Ethiopia to allow it access to the Assab port.

Ethiopia will not forget past agreements with Eritrea and Sudan, and it may return to them in the future, because it is working on diversifying its sources of trade operations given its massive population of 120 million people, he explained.



Israel PM Holds Coalition Meeting After Objecting to Gaza Panel

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gestures during a joint press conference with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (not pictured) at the Prime Minister's Office, during Rubio's visit, in Jerusalem, September 15, 2025. (Reuters)
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gestures during a joint press conference with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (not pictured) at the Prime Minister's Office, during Rubio's visit, in Jerusalem, September 15, 2025. (Reuters)
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Israel PM Holds Coalition Meeting After Objecting to Gaza Panel

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gestures during a joint press conference with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (not pictured) at the Prime Minister's Office, during Rubio's visit, in Jerusalem, September 15, 2025. (Reuters)
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gestures during a joint press conference with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (not pictured) at the Prime Minister's Office, during Rubio's visit, in Jerusalem, September 15, 2025. (Reuters)

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened a meeting of his ruling coalition partners on Sunday after objecting to the composition of a Gaza advisory panel formed by the White House, according to an official and media reports.

The White House announced this week the setting up of a "Gaza Executive Board," which would operate under a broader "Board of Peace" to be chaired by US President Donald Trump as part of his 20-point plan to end the war in Gaza.

The executive board, described as having an advisory role, includes Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and Qatari diplomat Ali Al-Thawadi, alongside other regional and international officials.

Late on Saturday, Netanyahu's office objected to the composition of the executive board.

"The announcement regarding the composition of the Gaza Executive Board, which is subordinate to the Board of Peace, was not coordinated with Israel and runs contrary to its policy," the office of Netanyahu said.

"The Prime Minister has instructed the Foreign Affairs Minister to contact the US Secretary of State on this matter."

It did not explain the reason for its objection, but Israel has previously objected strongly to any Turkish role in post-war Gaza, with relations between the two countries deteriorating sharply since the war began in October 2023.

In addition to naming Türkiye's foreign minister to the executive board, Trump has also invited Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to join the overarching Board of Peace.

Media reports said that leaders of the country's ruling coalition were scheduled to meet on Sunday to examine the composition of the executive board.

"There is a meeting scheduled of the coalition at 10:00 am (0800 GMT)," the spokesman of Netanyahu's Likud Party told AFP, declining to provide further details.

Alongside Likud, the coalition includes the Religious Zionist Party led by far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) led by far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir.

The White House said Trump's plan would include three bodies: the Board of Peace, chaired by Trump; a Palestinian committee of technocrats tasked with governing Gaza; and the Gaza Executive Board, which would play an advisory role.

The Palestinian technocratic committee held its first meeting in Cairo on Saturday.

The diplomatic developments came as the United States said this week that the Gaza truce plan had entered a second phase, shifting from implementing a ceasefire to the disarmament of Hamas, whose October 7, 2023 attack on Israel triggered the Israeli offensive in Gaza.


Israel Issues Two-Month Ultimatum for Hamas to Disarm or Face Renewed War

 Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in the Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026. (AP)
Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in the Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026. (AP)
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Israel Issues Two-Month Ultimatum for Hamas to Disarm or Face Renewed War

 Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in the Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026. (AP)
Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in the Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026. (AP)

Israel has given Palestinian factions in the Gaza Strip, led by Hamas, a two-month deadline to disarm, warning that failure to comply will trigger a new war.

Israeli sources said the ultimatum was issued in full coordination with the United States, with an understanding that Israel alone will define what constitutes disarmament and how compliance will be verified.

According to Israel’s Channel 12, the military is already preparing operational plans should force be required.

US President Donald Trump publicly reinforced Israel’s stance, saying Hamas could comply the easy way or the hard way. Israeli officials said the warning follows direct understandings between Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Under the plan, Hamas would be given two months from the establishment of a “peace council” and a technocratic administration in Gaza to surrender its weapons. If it fails to do so voluntarily, the Israeli army will intervene.

Israeli security assessments say Hamas remains operational despite heavy losses during the war on Gaza and is far from collapse. Intelligence estimates indicate the group still exercises military and administrative control in parts of Gaza, continues to rearm, rebuild underground infrastructure, and reorganize its combat forces.

Officials argue that the current transitional period benefits Hamas and allows it to restore capabilities.

As a result, Israeli sources stressed that extending the current phase is not an option, and that a clear, limited timetable has been set, at the end of which a decisive move will be made.

Disarmament of Hamas, they added, is not merely a declared goal but a binding condition for any progress in Gaza.

Israel has made clear it will not accept partial or symbolic steps and will not retreat from its red line as long as Hamas retains military capabilities.

Until full disarmament is achieved, Israel’s cooperation with the newly formed technocratic government in Gaza will remain limited, with Israeli authorities reviewing its composition and personnel.

While Hamas has announced it is willing to hand over governance in Gaza to a technocratic administration, it has not said it will relinquish its weapons.

US officials previously told Axios that Hamas had sent positive signals in secret contacts about accepting a phased US plan for disarmament, tied to the second phase of the Gaza agreement.

The plan reportedly includes dismantling tunnels, destroying weapons factories, removing rockets and heavy arms, and forming a single armed police force under the technocratic government.

Washington and Tel Aviv are also considering a special amnesty for Hamas members willing to surrender personal weapons and abandon armed activity.


Hezbollah Continues to Defy Attempts to Disarm it, Slams FM

Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem speaks during his televised address on Saturday. (Hezbollah media)
Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem speaks during his televised address on Saturday. (Hezbollah media)
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Hezbollah Continues to Defy Attempts to Disarm it, Slams FM

Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem speaks during his televised address on Saturday. (Hezbollah media)
Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem speaks during his televised address on Saturday. (Hezbollah media)

Hezbollah reiterated on Saturday its rejection of attempts to disarm it days after the government vowed to kick off the second phase of the plan to impose state monopoly over arms.

The first phase called for limiting weapons to the state south of the Litani River and the second phase covers regions north of the river.

In a televised address, Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem declared on Saturday that the new phase demands that the ceasefire with Israel be implemented in full.

“Lebanon carried out its end of the deal and the resistance [Hezbollah] ensured that not a single violation was committed by Lebanon,” he added.

Lebanon and Israel agreed to a ceasefire in November 2024 that ended a war between the Iran-backed party and Israel.

Moreover, Qassem said the ceasefire “is actually a single phase, and it has no second phase.” The Lebanese state fulfilled its end of the deal, while Israel has not met any of its commitments.

“It is unreasonable for us to give Israel any concessions without anything in return,” he went on to say.

Imposing state monopoly over arms is actually an Israeli and American demand to weaken the resistance, he charged.

“Offering more concessions is a form of weakness,” he stressed.

“Our weapons aim to defend ourselves, resistance, people and nation,” Qassem declared.

He also warned that “killings and abductions may happen anywhere if the arms are surrendered.”

Defying calls to disarm, he said: “We will maintain the resistance. Lebanon cannot exist without the resistance. It was liberated because of the resistance.”

Qassem also slammed Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi for saying last week that Israel has the right to act militarily if Hezbollah did not disarm in full.

“In whose name does this foreign minister speak?” asked Qassem. “He is basing his stance on the humiliating ceasefire that you signed after the ‘support war’.”

Hezbollah launched the support front in October 2023 to back Hamas in its conflict with Israel in Gaza. The border clashes between Hezbollah and Israel turned into a full-blown war nearly a year later, with Israel decimating the party’s leadership. The war ended with the November 2024 ceasefire.

Qassem accused Raggi of violating the state’s policies, undermining civil peace, and stoking strife. He also said the minister was working against the president, government, Lebanese people and resistance.

“The government will be held responsible” for the FM’s stances, he warned, urging it to “replace or silence him or obligate him to abide by Lebanon’s policies.”

Qassem’s statements were swiftly condemned by Lebanese Forces MP Ghayath Yazbeck.

In a post on the X platform, he slammed Qassem for “verbally” and “morally” assaulting LF ministers, “in complete disregard of ethical principles”.

He warned that Qassem’s remarks may be a prelude to the assassination of the ministers and “the assassination of the Lebanese state.”

“Our ministers represent dignity, sovereignty and the state,” he stressed. Indirectly addressing Qassem, he said: “Act smart. Your predecessors made these mistakes and ended up in history’s trash bin. Haven’t you learned anything?”