Ethiopia and Somaliland: Security in Return for Sea Access

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi  attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
TT

Ethiopia and Somaliland: Security in Return for Sea Access

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi  attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland leader Muse Bihi Abdi attend the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding agreement, that allows Ethiopia to use a Somaliland port, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, January 1, 2024. (Reuters)

Ethiopia’s signing on Monday of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to use the main port of Somalia's breakaway region of Somaliland has sparked a new dispute with its eastern neighbor.

Somalia declared on Tuesday its rejection of the deal and summoned its ambassador from Addis Ababa for consultations.

Landlocked Ethiopia has for years sought access to sea channels to meet its economic ambitions. Currently, it relies on neighboring Djibouti’s port for 95 percent of its marine trade.

Ethiopia has in the past sought to complete agreements with Eritrea, Sudan and Kenya over the use of their seaports. All failed for various reasons, such as war and coups in Sudan.

Mutual interests

The new MoU grants Ethiopia 20-km access to the Red Sea, specifically in the Berbera port, for a 50-year period.

In return, Ethiopia will recognize Somaliland as a republic, announced Muse Bihi Abdi leader of Somaliland, which has not been internationally recognized since it broke away from Somalia in 1991.

Under the MoU, at least 30 percent of Ethiopia’s trade transactions with Djibouti will now be process at Berbera port.

National Security Affairs Advisor to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, Redwan Hussein said the MoU will pave the way for his country to carry out marine trade in the region.

It will also grant it access to a leased military base on the Red Sea as part of the agreement, he added.

In other words, Somaliland will achieve security in a turbulent region in return for selling some of its territories to Addis Ababa.

The MoU also stipulates that Somaliland will acquire a stake in the Ethiopian Airlines national carrier.

Expert in Horn of Africa affairs Abdushekur Abdulsamad told Asharq Al-Awsat that the MoU will help Somaliland in modernizing its infrastructure, paving roads and laying railways. It will also benefit from electricity generated by the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD).

It could gain military support from Ethiopia once the MoU is expanded further, he added.

The agreement “shall pave the way to realize the aspiration of Ethiopia to secure access to the sea and diversify its access to seaport,” PM Abiy’s office posted on X.

“It also strengthens their security, economic and political partnership,” it said.

In a televised speech last October, Abiy declared that his country needed to pursue its right to sea access, raising concerns in the region.

He said Ethiopia “is a nation whose existence was tied to the Red Sea” and that it needed access to a port.

Moreover, he said that “peace” in the region hinged on the “balanced” relations between Ethiopia and its neighbors overlooking the Red Sea, specifically naming Djibouti, Eritrea and Somalia.

Addressing the concerns raised by his statements, he vowed that he will “never pursue his interests through war.”

Partial or full stake?

Even though the MoU did not specify Ethiopia’s exact stake in Berbera port, Abdulsamad said it could be a full stake and the facility could come under Ethiopia’s complete control.

Ethiopian authorities said they will release an official statement with the details of the MoU soon.

In 2018, Ethiopia acquired a 19 percent stake in the Berbera port, according to Dubai-based DP World, which manages the port's operations. The company itself holds a 51 percent stake, while Somaliland has the remaining 30 percent.

Ethiopia was cut off from the coast after Eritrea seceded from the country and declared independence in 1993 following a three-decade war.

Addis Ababa had maintained access to a port in Eritrea until the two countries went to war in 1998-2000, and since then Ethiopia funnels most of its trade through Djibouti.

Somaliland has not gained widespread international recognition, despite declaring autonomy from Somalia in 1991.

Ethiopia, under its former President Meles Zenawi, was the first country to recognize Somaliland’s independence.

It received informal recognition from other countries that set up diplomatic missions there or carried out trade operations.

A European Union delegation had monitored the last elections that were held in Somaliland, congratulating its people, government, electoral commission and political parties for successfully organizing them.

Kenyan and Somaliland officials have exchanged visits over the years. People of Somaliland travel through passports issued in Somaliland.

Somalia stresses that Somaliland is part of its territories. Its state news agency SONNA reported that following mediation from Djibouti, it agreed with Somaliland to resume talks to resolve their disputes.

Strongly worded Somali protest

Somalia summoned its ambassador in Ethiopia in protest against the MoU.

Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre convened an emergency cabinet meeting to discuss the MoU, which it described as a “blatant assault on the independence, sovereignty and unity of the Federal Republic of Somalia.” It deemed the agreement null and void.

Barre added that the government was determined to protect Somalia’s sovereignty. “No one can violate a part of Somalia’s territory, whether by sea or air,” he stated.

The government also said it was appealing to the United Nations, African Union, Organization of Islamic Cooperation, Arab League, European Union and regional East African grouping IGAD among others “to stand with the right for Somalia to defend its sovereignty and force Ethiopia to adhere to international laws”.

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud condemned the MoU, accusing Ethiopia of violating Somalia’s national sovereignty and regional security.

“No one can and no one will be allowed to extract an inch of Somali soil. Somalia belongs to the Somali people,” he declared in a post on the X platform.

The two Horn of Africa neighbors have a history of stormy relations and territorial feuds, fighting two wars in the late 20th century.

Abdulsamad said, however, that the tensions are now “water under the bridge.” Economic interests and policies of openness are now allowing greater rapprochement between these countries.

Eritrea

Eritrean authorities have so far not commented on the MoU, but observers believe that it will not sit well with Asmara, which will not comment on it.

Abdulsamad said Eritrea may have wasted opportunities to strike a lucrative agreement with Ethiopia to allow it access to the Assab port.

Ethiopia will not forget past agreements with Eritrea and Sudan, and it may return to them in the future, because it is working on diversifying its sources of trade operations given its massive population of 120 million people, he explained.



Evacuation Warnings Expand South Lebanon ‘Red Zone’, Strikes Raise Toll

Residents from southern Lebanon hold signs bearing the names of their occupied towns and those at risk of Israeli destruction during a sit-in in Martyrs’ Square in central Beirut (AFP)
Residents from southern Lebanon hold signs bearing the names of their occupied towns and those at risk of Israeli destruction during a sit-in in Martyrs’ Square in central Beirut (AFP)
TT

Evacuation Warnings Expand South Lebanon ‘Red Zone’, Strikes Raise Toll

Residents from southern Lebanon hold signs bearing the names of their occupied towns and those at risk of Israeli destruction during a sit-in in Martyrs’ Square in central Beirut (AFP)
Residents from southern Lebanon hold signs bearing the names of their occupied towns and those at risk of Israeli destruction during a sit-in in Martyrs’ Square in central Beirut (AFP)

Israel has expanded the scope of the “red zone” in southern Lebanon to areas about 22 kilometers from the border in Tyre and Nabatieh, issuing successive evacuation warnings covering more than 20 towns.

The warnings triggered a new wave of displacement toward the city of Sidon, before Israel followed them with a series of intensive strikes that raised the human toll and widened the scale of destruction, while imposing a new field reality beyond the limits of the “yellow line.”

Successive warnings and geographic expansion

The Israeli army on Thursday issued a series of urgent warnings ordering residents of southern towns to evacuate immediately. The warnings came in two stages and included villages in Tyre and Nabatieh, reflecting a clear expansion of the area of operations.

The first warning included the towns of al-Samaaiyeh, al-Hinniyeh, al-Qlayleh, Wadi Jilo, al-Kaniseh, Kafra, Majdal Zoun and Siddiqin, before these areas were directly hit after the warning.

In a second warning, the Israeli army expanded the alerts to include Jebchit, Habboush, Harouf, Kfar Jouz, Nabatieh al-Fawqa, Abba, Adchit al-Shqif, Arab Salim, Toul, Houmine al-Fawqa, in Nabatieh district, as well as al-Majadel, Arzoun, Dounine, al-Hamiri and Maaroub, in Tyre district.

Israeli army spokesperson Avichay Adraee called on residents to move at least 1,000 meters away.

Southern Lebanese sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that an expanded “red zone” had emerged alongside the “yellow line,” stretching to the outskirts of Nabatieh across an area more than 35 kilometers wide and extending about 25 kilometers into Lebanese territory.

The zone includes dozens of villages now exposed to shelling or evacuation warnings, triggering large waves of displacement.

The road from the south toward Sidon and Beirut witnessed a new wave of displacement, especially from Nabatieh and its surroundings, after Adraee’s latest threat.

Strikes accompany warnings

The warnings were accompanied by direct strikes, with raids targeting several of the towns included in them. A drone also struck a motorcycle in the town of al-Shahabiyeh, killing two people and wounding one, while warplanes raided the Al Hamza neighborhood between Nabatieh al-Fawqa and Kfar Rumman.

Israeli forces carried out a dawn explosion in the town of Khiam, as raids continued on several areas, including Toulin and al-Jmayjmeh. Shelling also hit Safad al-Batikh, Zebqine, Jabal al-Batm, Qabrikha and Khirbet Selm.

In Bint Jbeil, explosions hit homes and infrastructure in the Khallet al-Mashta area, while a raid destroyed a heritage house in Nabatieh al-Fawqa that was more than 100 years old. A strike on Batouliyeh also destroyed the water station, halting water pumping to residents.

High human toll

Figures showed that 42 people were killed in 24 hours, raising the number of casualties since March 2 to 2,576 dead and 7,962 wounded.

In a detailed toll, the Health Emergency Operations Center said nine people were killed, including two children and five women, and 23 were wounded, including eight children and seven women.

Seven people were also killed in a raid that targeted the town of Zebdine, as strikes continued on villages in Nabatieh.

Civil defense teams resumed search operations in the town of Jouaya for missing people after retrieving five bodies, while a house in al-Hinniyeh collapsed on its residents amid difficulties for rescue teams trying to reach the site.

Israeli warplanes also broke the sound barrier over the Bekaa region, causing a loud boom in the afternoon.

Drone escalation on both sides

Hezbollah, meanwhile, said it targeted four Merkava tanks in Bint Jbeil and Qantara with attack drones, saying they scored direct hits. It also said it targeted artillery south of the town of Yarine.

The group said it downed an Israeli Hermes 450 drone with a surface-to-air missile over Nabatieh airspace, which the Israeli army acknowledged.

The Israeli army said 12 soldiers were wounded after a military vehicle was targeted by an attack drone in Shomera. It said it had carried out operations against Hezbollah members and dismantled rocket-launching sites.

No real ceasefire

On the ground, Israeli army Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir said during a tour near Taybeh that Israeli forces would remain positioned at the “yellow line” and would not withdraw before ensuring the security of northern settlements.

He stressed that “there is no ceasefire on the fighting front.”

Israel’s public broadcaster reported a discussion between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in which Trump called for more caution in operations inside Lebanon, warning that targeting buildings harms Israel’s image internationally.

It pointed to efforts to prevent the collapse of the ceasefire over the next two weeks, while Israel requested a time frame for negotiations until mid-May, considering that Hezbollah is the problem, and ending Iran’s influence could open the door to Lebanon’s stability.


Zamir Says Army Completed Iran, Lebanon Missions, Eyes Gaza

Two Israeli soldiers walk through rubble in southern Lebanon (AP)
Two Israeli soldiers walk through rubble in southern Lebanon (AP)
TT

Zamir Says Army Completed Iran, Lebanon Missions, Eyes Gaza

Two Israeli soldiers walk through rubble in southern Lebanon (AP)
Two Israeli soldiers walk through rubble in southern Lebanon (AP)

As Israel faces intensifying domestic criticism over the war, with opponents saying the government has failed to achieve its goals in Lebanon, Iran, and Gaza, scrutiny has also turned to the military, accused of not telling the truth.

In that context, Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir said in closed-door meetings on Wednesday in southern Lebanon, remarks later leaked by the army, that “everything defined for us by the political echelon regarding the current campaign in Iran and Lebanon has been achieved and even beyond that.”

“In doing so, we have created the operational conditions for the processes now being led by the political echelon,” said Zamir.

But a newly launched drone by Hezbollah targeting Israeli artillery in the town of Shomera, wounding 12 soldiers, including two seriously, shifted Zamir’s calculations.

Shomera, a Jewish town built on the ruins of Tarbikha, captured at the end of 1948, is considered Lebanese by Beirut, which granted citizenship to its displaced residents.

Israel destroyed most of its homes and two mosques and turned it into a Jewish locality. In the current war, it has been evacuated, with Israeli forces establishing positions there.

Retaliatory strikes

Following Hezbollah’s attack, the Israeli Air Force launched retaliatory strikes, calling it a serious attack that cannot be ignored.

It hit several sites and ordered residents of 16 villages in southern Lebanon to evacuate ahead of their destruction, including Bchit, Habboush, Harouf, Kfar Jouz, Nabatieh al-Fawqa, Aba, Aadchit, Shaqif, Arab Salim, Toul, Houmine al-Fawqa, Majadel, Arzoun, Dounine, Hmeiri, and Maaroub.

This came as sources close to the government said it is seeking to impose a two- to three-week deadline for negotiations with Lebanon, ending by mid-May, warning it could revert to what it described as the “original plan” for the war if no progress is made.

According to Channel 12, the approach was raised in a Wednesday evening call between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump, following what was described as an urgent Israeli request to set a time frame for US-mediated direct talks between Tel Aviv and Beirut.

The sources said the current “limited response” policy is eroding deterrence and harming civilians and operational readiness.

Gaza not over

The Channel 12 report said the Israeli army is operating under political directives to restrain operations in Lebanon, avoiding deep strikes, with any action north of the Litani River requiring special approval.

It said the current posture, limiting the army to response rather than initiative, benefits Hezbollah and gives it room to regroup, exposing Israeli forces to added risks.

Amid the criticism, Zamir toured areas held by Israeli forces in Lebanon on Wednesday, saying the army is carrying out political directives and awaiting further decisions.

“In Lebanon, the mission assigned to us by the political echelon is to position ourselves along the line to prevent direct fire on the communities. We have achieved this; this is the line we are on. We may be required to remain on it,” said Zamir.

The report questioned the cost Israel is paying at this stage, citing what it described as consideration for US interests in the confrontation with Iran.

Zamir also said the next battle could be in Gaza, stressing the war there is not over. If Hamas obstructs disarmament efforts, he said, the army would resume the war with full force.


France to Host International Meet on Palestinian-Israeli Conflict in June

15 April 2026, Berlin: French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, gives a statement at the International Sudan Conference at the Federal Foreign Office in Berlin. (dpa)
15 April 2026, Berlin: French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, gives a statement at the International Sudan Conference at the Federal Foreign Office in Berlin. (dpa)
TT

France to Host International Meet on Palestinian-Israeli Conflict in June

15 April 2026, Berlin: French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, gives a statement at the International Sudan Conference at the Federal Foreign Office in Berlin. (dpa)
15 April 2026, Berlin: French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, gives a statement at the International Sudan Conference at the Federal Foreign Office in Berlin. (dpa)

France will host an international meeting in June dedicated to the long-touted two-state solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the French foreign minister announced on Thursday.

"On September 22 last year, France took the momentous decision to recognize the State of Palestine and will host an international conference in Paris on June 12 so that Israeli and Palestinian civil societies can make their voices heard," Jean-Noel Barrot said in a video message played to a gathering of peace activists in the Israeli city of Tel Aviv.

The "People's Peace Summit" in Tel Aviv was organized by the "It's Time" coalition, a grouping of more than 80 peacebuilding organizations working to end the Palestinian-Israeli conflict through a political agreement guaranteeing both peoples' right to self-determination and secure lives.

Several hundred people attended the meeting in Tel Aviv, AFP journalists reported.

"While the Middle East remains deeply scarred by the terrorist attacks of October 7 (2023) in Israel, by more than two and a half years of devastating war in Gaza and by a humanitarian crisis that, sadly, shows no sign of abating, your presence here is an act of resistance against fatalism and resignation," Barrot said.

Palestinian movement Hamas's October 7, 2023 attack on Israel sparked the war in Gaza, where a ceasefire in effect since October has largely halted fighting.

Barrot's remarks come as the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, one of the most right-wing in Israel's history, vehemently opposes the emergence of a sovereign and fully independent Palestinian state in the occupied West Bank and Gaza, and is working on the ground to undermine the possibility of a two-state solution.

Meanwhile, the Palestinian Authority led by President Mahmoud Abbas appears extremely weakened and deeply unpopular.