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Saudi Ministers Highlight Resilience, Adaptability of the Kingdom’s Economy at Budget Forum

Finance Minister Mohamed Al-Jadaan speaks in the first dialogue session of the 2025 Budget Forum. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Finance Minister Mohamed Al-Jadaan speaks in the first dialogue session of the 2025 Budget Forum. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Ministers Highlight Resilience, Adaptability of the Kingdom’s Economy at Budget Forum

Finance Minister Mohamed Al-Jadaan speaks in the first dialogue session of the 2025 Budget Forum. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Finance Minister Mohamed Al-Jadaan speaks in the first dialogue session of the 2025 Budget Forum. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi ministers reaffirmed the continued success of Vision 2030 and the economy’s ability to overcome challenges while achieving diversification.

Speaking at the 2025 Budget Forum, organized by the Ministry of Finance, they underscored the importance of fiscal policies in driving sustainable economic growth and emphasized the integration of various sectors to enhance Saudi Arabia’s global standing.

The forum followed the Cabinet’s approval of the 2025 budget, which projects revenues of SAR 1.184 trillion ($315.7 billion), expenditures of SAR 1.285 trillion ($342.6 billion), and a deficit of SAR 101 billion ($26.9 billion).

Sustainable Spending and Economic Diversification

Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan highlighted that sustainable spending has enabled Saudi Arabia to provide high-quality services. He emphasized that fiscal policies focus on sectors with a direct impact on economic development and diversification.

Al-Jadaan noted that ensuring fiscal sustainability is crucial to reducing reliance on oil revenues.

“Structural reforms under Vision 2030 have transformed the economy,” he said, adding that non-oil revenues have reached SAR 472 billion due to the significant progress in diversification efforts.

He further explained: “Previously, Saudi Arabia’s growth depended heavily on oil revenues. Today, through diversified economic resources and sustainable fiscal policies, our economy is more resilient.”

He also stressed the role of government borrowing in balancing revenues and expenditures, benefiting both public and private sectors.

Progress Toward Economic Diversification

Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim highlighted that one of Vision 2030’s key objectives is to unlock the potential of citizens while reducing reliance on oil. He noted that in its eighth year, the vision continues to advance steadily and with strong momentum, addressing previous challenges such as dependence on government spending and oil revenues.

“Non-oil activities have grown by 6% over the last three years,” Al-Ibrahim said, “now contributing 52% of real GDP.” He added that non-oil sector growth is projected to reach 3.9% by year-end and 4.8% in 2024.

Al-Ibrahim stressed the importance of sustainable, high-quality growth driven by private sector dynamism and productivity. He also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s increasing global competitiveness in sectors like healthcare, citing breakthroughs such as robotic heart surgeries.

Additionally, he noted the Kingdom’s demographic advantage, stating: “We have a young population, and now is the time to invest in their capabilities, as envisioned under Vision 2030.”

Employment and Reducing Unemployment

Minister of Human Resources and Social Development Ahmed Al-Rajhi announced a new unemployment target of 5% for Saudis by 2030. This follows the Kingdom’s early achievement of its previous unemployment target of 7%, reached seven years ahead of schedule.

Industrial Growth and Export Expansion

For his part, Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Al-Khorayef reported significant progress in the industrial sector, with 1,100 new industrial licenses expected in 2024 and 900 factories entering production.

Non-oil exports grew by 15% in 2024, rising from SAR 458 billion ($121.9 billion) to SAR 528 billion ($140.5 billion). Al-Khorayef highlighted that the Saudi Industrial Development Fund financed projects worth SAR 12 billion ($3.2 billion) this year, contributing to total investments exceeding SAR 60 billion ($16 billion).

“The industrial sector is now a central part of government agendas,” he said, adding that export growth was driven by new product development.

Digital Transformation and a Cashless Economy

Minister of Communications and Information Technology Abdullah Al-Swaha outlined Saudi Arabia’s strategy to become a technology exporter, which is a key part of its digital economy goals. He highlighted that over 70% of transactions in the Kingdom are now cashless, supported by the emergence of more than 200 fintech companies.

Al-Swaha emphasized that the next phase will focus on exporting technology and establishing Saudi Arabia as a global leader in the tech sector.

Transportation Growth

Minister of Transport and Logistics Services Saleh Al-Jasser reported that the sector created 122,000 jobs in Q3 2024, with women comprising 29% of the workforce.

He also noted that the transport sector aims to achieve 60% local content in its spending by 2030. The current figure stands at 50%, up from 39% in the baseline year.

Education, Tourism, and Sports

Minister of Education Yousef Al-Benyan highlighted the establishment of the National Center for Curriculum Development as a major achievement in 2023. He also noted that education spending in the 2025 budget exceeds SAR 200 billion.

Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khatib reported that the tourism sector now contributes 5% to GDP, up from previous years, with a goal of reaching 10% by 2030. He added that Saudi Arabia surpassed its Vision 2030 target of 100 million visitors, reaching 109 million tourists in 2023.

In the sports sector, Prince Abdulaziz bin Turki Al-Faisal, Minister of Sports, revealed that 25 local and international companies have shown interest in investing in privatized sports clubs, with projected revenues of SAR 500 million ($133 million).

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Business

Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
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Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Commercial Port achieved a new operational milestone by successfully serving 11 vessels simultaneously of various sizes and cargo capacities, reflecting the port's high level of operational readiness, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

The achievement underscores the efficiency of the port's operations and its ability to manage maritime and commercial traffic with a high degree of effectiveness.

It contributes to smoother import and export activities and supports the continuity of supply chains in accordance with the highest operational and logistical standards.

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system and reinforcing its position as a key logistics hub on the Red Sea coast.

It also supports economic growth and enhances the competitiveness of the maritime and commercial sectors.

Business

IMF Ready to Help Africa Weather Middle East Shock, Says Zeidane

Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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IMF Ready to Help Africa Weather Middle East Shock, Says Zeidane

Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)
Workers sort avocados for export to Chinese markets, at the Sunripe fresh fruits exporters factory in Limuru district of Kiambu County near Nairobi, Kenya June 4, 2026. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund's new Africa chief, Zeine Zeidane, said that conflict in the Middle East has created difficulties for sub-Saharan Africa but reaffirmed the fund's commitment to aiding nations under economic strain.

Zeidane, who assumed his role as Director of the IMF's African Department on May 1, oversees operations and engagement with 45 countries across the region.

"My immediate priority is really to help countries in ‌the region to weather ‌this shock," Zeidane said at ‌a ⁠media briefing.

The IMF ⁠has already reached staff-level agreements to provide augmented financing in response to the conflict's effects for Burkina Faso, The Gambia and São Tomé and Príncipe.

For Ethiopia, which has a large IMF program in place, Zeidane said the fund accelerated about $200 million ⁠in financing.

Zeidane warned that disruptions linked to ‌the Middle East conflict could ‌take months to resolve, noting that a ceasefire was already ‌in place but that Gulf nations had ‌indicated it typically takes six to seven months for production and exports to resume fully.

He added that the Middle East's role as a significant exporter of fertilizers would have ‌far-reaching implications for Africa's food security and production costs.

Despite immediate challenges, Zeidane expressed ⁠optimism over ⁠sub-Saharan Africa's long-term prospects, noting that prior to the current crisis, the region was among the fastest-growing globally and had made strides in fiscal consolidation.

"The future, the next growth engine for the world, will be Africa," he said. "We need to support Africa to unlock its potential."

Zeidane, who began his IMF career in 2012, previously served as Mauritania's prime minister, central bank governor and economic adviser to the president. He succeeded Abebe Aemro Selassie, who retired from the IMF in May.

Business

The High Cost of Hormuz: $37 Billion Shock Exposes Iraq’s Economic Vulnerability

A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)
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The High Cost of Hormuz: $37 Billion Shock Exposes Iraq’s Economic Vulnerability

A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)
A drone view shows oil trucks arriving from Iraq on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, Syria, May 14, 2026. (Reuters)

The recent regional war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Iraq’s economy into one of its most serious crises in decades. The massive financial losses are more than just another consequence of regional conflict; they have exposed Iraq’s near-total dependence on a single maritime export route.

As Baghdad struggles to finance public-sector salaries through domestic borrowing and the use of foreign-exchange reserves, the crisis has renewed scrutiny of years of poor planning, corruption, and political obstruction of strategic projects, such as the Basra-Aqaba oil pipeline, initiatives that could have provided alternative export routes and a safety net for the country’s most important source of income.

Financial and energy analysts estimate Iraq’s losses at more than $37 billion, a severe blow to an economy that relies overwhelmingly on oil revenues.

The disruption has forced authorities to draw on domestic debt and accumulated reserves to cover monthly salary and pension obligations estimated at roughly $6.5 billion.

Slow recovery

Although the conflict appears to be winding down and the Oil Ministry has expressed optimism about resuming production, energy experts caution that Iraqi oil fields may require months to return to their prewar output levels.

Before the crisis, Iraq produced more than 4.2 million barrels per day, including approximately 3.5 million barrels exported to international markets.

Observers said the consequences extend beyond the immediate financial shock caused by the freezing of oil revenues. The conflict revealed a “dangerous strategic vulnerability”: Iraq’s overwhelming reliance on southern Gulf export terminals and the Strait of Hormuz as the sole outlet for its most valuable resource.

The crisis has also revived debate over decades of mismanagement and inadequate planning in one of the country’s most vital economic sectors.

Oil trucks arrive from Iraq, on their way to the Baniyas oil terminal, in Qamishli, Syria, May 11, 2026. (Reuters)

A single export gateway

Over previous decades, Iraq possessed several overland export routes, including the Kirkuk–Ceyhan pipeline to Türkiye, the Iraq-Saudi pipeline, and the historic Kirkuk-Haifa and Kirkuk-Baniyas lines. Most have been out of service for years because of wars, political instability, and security challenges.

Successive governments sought to revive export diversification. Among the most significant proposals was the Basra-Aqaba pipeline, championed during the administration of former Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi. The project would transport crude oil from southern Iraq to Jordan’s Red Sea port of Aqaba.

Energy specialists regard it as a strategic asset that could have reduced Iraq’s dependence on Gulf shipping routes. Political disputes and regional pressures, however, prevented its implementation.

Limited alternatives

As the crisis intensified and oil revenues dwindled, Iraq attempted to expand exports through Türkiye, Syria, and Jordan. Energy experts said those efforts achieved only marginal results.

Contrary to reports that Iraq was exporting oil through 700 tanker trucks through Syria, former Oil Ministry spokesman Asim Jihad said exports through Syrian territory amount to no more than 200 tankers per day.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that Iraq is exporting fuel oil rather than crude oil through Syria to avoid bottlenecks at producing fields.

Such shipments, he added, are operationally complex and generate only limited revenue compared with normal export volumes.

On the northern route, Jihad noted that Iraq exports between 150,000 and 200,000 barrels per day through the Kurdistan Region’s pipeline to the port of Ceyhan in Türkiye.

Meanwhile, the older federal pipeline linking Kirkuk to Ceyhan remains out of service because of extensive damage that has yet to be repaired.

A drone view shows the Rumaila oil field in Basra, Iraq, June 8, 2026. (Reuters)

Jihad expressed little optimism that Iraq can establish major alternative export corridors outside the Gulf in the near future, citing time constraints, high costs, and political complications.

He also voiced uncertainty about negotiations with Ankara over future export agreements through Ceyhan, particularly as existing arrangements are set to expire at the end of July.

“The only option left for Iraq is to hope that no new conflict erupts in the Gulf that would once again close the Strait of Hormuz and deprive the country of its primary source of income,” he added.

Cost of the blockade

The Eco Iraq Observatory estimated that Iraq has lost roughly 350 million barrels of oil exports since the Strait of Hormuz was closed on February 28, representing missed sales worth approximately $37.7 billion at average market prices during the period.

According to the organization, Iraq had been exporting between 103 million and 107 million barrels of crude oil per month before the closure. Export losses reached 84.4 million barrels in March, 93.1 million in April, 92.8 million in May, and 79.6 million in June.

Eco Iraq argued that the “New Levant” initiative — a regional economic integration project involving Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt — has become a strategic necessity.

The plan envisions deeper economic cooperation, infrastructure links, and alternative export routes, including the shipment of Iraqi oil through Jordan to Egyptian ports, reducing dependence on geopolitically vulnerable maritime corridors.