Saudi Banks Post Record-Breaking Profits in Q1 2025

People monitoring the performance of the Saudi stock market (Bloomberg) 
People monitoring the performance of the Saudi stock market (Bloomberg) 
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Saudi Banks Post Record-Breaking Profits in Q1 2025

People monitoring the performance of the Saudi stock market (Bloomberg) 
People monitoring the performance of the Saudi stock market (Bloomberg) 

Saudi banks achieved historic profits in the first quarter of 2025, recording their highest-ever quarterly earnings at $5.94 billion (SAR 22.26 billion). This marks a notable 19% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024, representing a gain of $965 million (SAR 3.62 billion).

All ten listed banks on the Saudi stock exchange reported growth in net profits during the first quarter, reflecting robust performance across the industry. The National Commercial Bank (NCB) led the way with SAR 6.02 billion in net profit, up 19.48% from the first quarter of last year. Al Rajhi Bank ranked second with SAR 5.9 billion in profit, posting the highest growth rate among its peers at 34%. Riyad Bank came in third, with SAR 2.48 billion in net income, reflecting a 19.94% increase.

Operating Income Drivers

Dr. Suleiman Al-Humaid Al-Khalidi, a financial markets analyst and member of the Saudi Economic Association, attributed this record-breaking performance to several key factors: the expansion of lending portfolios, higher net commission and operating income, and a decline in loan loss provisions.

He noted that the reduction in provisions -funds set aside to cover potential loan defaults- was a significant factor supporting profit growth. Additionally, banks benefited from returns on debt instruments and a notable expansion in mortgage financing, both of which contributed to the strong results.

Al-Khalidi expects Saudi banks to maintain this strong momentum in the coming quarters, projecting that total annual profits could reach SAR 85–90 billion by year-end. Such figures, he said, would set new historical benchmarks and reflect the strength, resilience, and diversification of the Saudi economy.

Interest Rates and Market Conditions

Mohamed Hamdy Omar, economic analyst and CEO of GWorld, echoed this positive outlook, crediting the sector’s performance to the continued robustness of Saudi banks. He cited persistently high global interest rates, contractionary monetary policies, and the Saudi riyal’s peg to the US dollar as key drivers that boosted lending margins.

He pointed out that growth in lending portfolios, especially in real estate and corporate loans, has been driven by Vision 2030 initiatives and major infrastructure projects, all of which significantly enhanced fee income and operational earnings.

Looking ahead, Omar predicted continued strong performance for the banking sector in the remainder of 2025, supported by steady interest rates and strong demand for financing. However, he cautioned that any global move toward lowering interest rates could pressure profit margins, underscoring the importance of income diversification and enhanced digital services.

He stressed the need for vigilance regarding geopolitical developments and oil prices, both of which influence liquidity and credit activity in the Saudi market. Omar concluded by highlighting the importance of investing in financial technology and digital transformation to boost competitiveness and attract new customer segments, while also encouraging banks to diversify their portfolios to hedge against future risks.

 

 

 



China Lines Up Second LNG Terminal For Sanctioned Russian Cargoes

Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
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China Lines Up Second LNG Terminal For Sanctioned Russian Cargoes

Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 
Chinese and Russian flags fly at an airport in Tianjin, China August 31, 2025. Sputnik/Vladimir Smirnov/Pool via REUTERS 

China is preparing a second import terminal to handle liquefied natural gas cargoes from Russia's sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 project, expanding a ‌route that so far relies on a single facility, three sources with knowledge of the matter said.

The newly built Longkou LNG terminal in eastern China's Shandong province, operated by state pipeline giant PipeChina, is being lined up to receive Arctic LNG 2 cargoes, the sources told Reuters.

The move would provide a lifeline to the $21 billion project, which is under heavy sanctions, and to Moscow, whose gas exports have been hit by Europe's decision to halt purchases and ⁠whose oil sector faces pressure from Ukrainian attacks.

A second import terminal would allow China to take larger volumes of sanctioned Russian LNG, while giving Arctic LNG 2 - designed to produce 19.8 million metric tons a year - another export outlet.

China, the only known buyer of sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 cargoes, has so far received shipments through PipeChina's Beihai terminal in Guangxi. That facility took the project's first delivery to an offtaker in August 2025 aboard the Arctic Mulan tanker.

Since then, Beihai has received 41 cargoes, or 2.6 million tons, of LNG from Arctic LNG 2 - many via two floating storage units in Russia - according to ship-tracking data and Kpler estimates. It ‌has also ⁠received three LNG cargoes from Russia's sanctioned Portovaya terminal.

China needs an additional terminal to absorb more sanctioned cargoes, one of the sources said. All declined to be named as they were not authorized to speak to media.

The world's largest LNG importer, China bought 7.57 million tons from Russia last year, according to Chinese customs data.

Longkou is seen as a logical choice because, like Beihai, it is operated by PipeChina ⁠and is closer to the Koryak floating storage unit in Russia's Far East, where Arctic LNG 2 cargoes are stored and reloaded, the sources said.

An industry executive said Longkou has completed its mechanical build phase and should be ready before October, in time for peak winter ⁠demand.

Under its completed first phase, the Longkou terminal in the coastal city of Yantai has an annual receiving capacity of 5 million tons, compared with 6 million tons at Beihai.

PipeChina's Dalian LNG terminal in northeastern China is also being discussed as ⁠a potential future receiving point, a fourth source said.

Novatek has recently stepped up hiring in China, a separate source said.

Reuters reported last year that Novatek has cut cargo prices by 30% to 40% since August 2025 to attract Chinese buyers despite sanctions.

 


BofA Expects Fed to Hike Interest Rates 75 Basis Points in 2026

The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
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BofA Expects Fed to Hike Interest Rates 75 Basis Points in 2026

The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)
The Federal Reserve building in Washington. (Reuters)

Bank of America (BofA) expects the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026, it said on Monday, citing resilient economic data and rising expectations of a hawkish Fed under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

BofA Global Research said in a note it expects the US central bank to raise rates in September, October, and December, compared with its prior forecast ⁠for no change this year, according to Reuters.

BofA's view is contrary to current 2026 outlooks of top Wall Street brokerages and comes after the Fed left its benchmark rate unchanged earlier this month, even as almost half of Fed policymakers indicated that they now expect rates to rise this year.

The policymakers' more hawkish outlook is accompanied by strength in the labor market and elevated inflation concerns.

“June Summary of Projections and ⁠Warsh's comments indicate that the Fed's reaction function is much more hawkish than we thought,” analysts at BofA said in a note.

In contrast to BofA's call, markets are pricing in 42 bps of hikes ⁠in 2026, according to London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) data.

After three rate hikes this year, BofA analysts expect the central bank to keep interest rates on hold in ⁠2027.

“Inflation is likely to remain sticky, keeping the real policy rate from becoming overly restrictive,” they said.

Brokerages including BNP Paribas ⁠and Macquarie are also among the minority that expect the central bank to start hiking rates this year.


Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
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Yanbu Commercial Port Boosts Operational Efficiency by Serving 11 Vessels Simultaneously

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)
The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Commercial Port achieved a new operational milestone by successfully serving 11 vessels simultaneously of various sizes and cargo capacities, reflecting the port's high level of operational readiness, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

The achievement underscores the efficiency of the port's operations and its ability to manage maritime and commercial traffic with a high degree of effectiveness.

It contributes to smoother import and export activities and supports the continuity of supply chains in accordance with the highest operational and logistical standards.

The accomplishment builds on the vital role of Yanbu Commercial Port in strengthening Saudi Arabia's maritime transport system and reinforcing its position as a key logistics hub on the Red Sea coast.

It also supports economic growth and enhances the competitiveness of the maritime and commercial sectors.