Oil Prices Dip after Iran Says Dozens of Vessels are Crossing Hormuz

(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
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Oil Prices Dip after Iran Says Dozens of Vessels are Crossing Hormuz

(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
(FILES) The price per litre of unleaded petrol and diesel is pictured in front a Shell petrol station in Wrotham Heath, south east England on May 7, 2026. British energy giant Shell announced on May 7, 2026 a 19-percent increase in net profits for the first quarter as the Middle East war sent oil and gas prices soaring in volatile trading. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)

Oil prices dipped on Thursday after Iran's state media said about 30 vessels had crossed the Strait of Hormuz in recent hours while the semi-official Fars news agency cited a source saying Iran had begun allowing transit for some Chinese vessels.

Meanwhile, the White House, speaking of US President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, said both leaders agreed the Strait of Hormuz must be open for the free flow of energy. Xi said the "rejuvenation of China" and "Make America Great Again" can go hand in hand.

Easing from an earlier high of $107.13 a barrel, Brent crude oil futures were down 60 cents, or 0.6%, to $105.03 a barrel at 1422 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 52 cents, or 0.5%, to $100.50.

Both contracts fell on Wednesday as investors worried about possible US interest rate hikes as higher fuel prices spur inflationary pressures. Brent crude futures lost more than $2 a barrel, while WTI futures dropped more than $1.

Xi expressed interest in purchasing more US oil to reduce China's dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, according to the White House. China, never a big buyer of US crude, has not imported any since May 2025 due to a 20% import tariff imposed during the trade war.

The Strait of Hormuz, a key energy gateway, has been largely shut since the Iran war broke out at the end of February.

Iran appears to have tightened its control over the strait, cutting deals with Iraq and Pakistan to ship oil and liquefied natural gas from the region.

Before the Fars report, a Chinese supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude sailed through the strait on Wednesday after being stranded in the Gulf for more than two months.

A Panama-flagged crude oil tanker managed by Japanese refining group Eneos has also passed through the strait, ship-tracking data from LSEG showed on Thursday, the second instance of a Japan-linked oil ship making it through.

Global oil supply will fall short of total demand this year as inventories are drained at an unprecedented pace, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday.

In the United States, crude inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8 on rising exports, the EIA said, although distillates stockpiles rose, in opposition to expectations of a draw.



Gulf Tourist Arrivals Top 75 Million in 2025

GCC tourism ministers meet in Bahrain (GCC)
GCC tourism ministers meet in Bahrain (GCC)
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Gulf Tourist Arrivals Top 75 Million in 2025

GCC tourism ministers meet in Bahrain (GCC)
GCC tourism ministers meet in Bahrain (GCC)

More than 75 million tourists visited Gulf Cooperation Council countries in 2025 as the region’s tourism sector continued to expand, recording an annual growth of 4.8%.

Around 20 million tourists also traveled between GCC states during the year, up 3.6% from 2024, highlighting the growing appeal of destinations within the Gulf.

That momentum continued into 2026. Saudi Arabia welcomed about 3.2 million tourists from other GCC countries in the first half of the year, reflecting increased regional travel and rising demand for Gulf destinations.

The kingdom received about 30 million international tourists in 2025, accounting for nearly 40% of all visitors to GCC countries.

Gulf tourism gathers momentum

Tourism spending across the GCC exceeded $131 billion in 2025, up from about $120 billion a year earlier, GCC Secretary General Jasem Mohamed Albudaiwi said.

The sector’s direct and indirect contribution to GCC economies reached around $254 billion, equivalent to 11.4% of gross domestic product.

Albudaiwi was speaking at the 10th meeting of GCC ministers responsible for tourism in Manama. The meeting was chaired by Bahrain’s Tourism Minister Fatima bint Jaafar Al Sairafi.

He said the figures reflected the progress GCC countries had made in developing tourism and underscored the sector’s growing role in supporting economic growth and diversification.

Saudi Arabia took part in the meeting through Tourism Minister Ahmed Al Khateeb as part of Bahrain’s presidency of the GCC’s 46th session.

Albudaiwi said the figures “do not merely represent indicators of growth” but reflect significant economic and development gains.

The next phase, he said, would require GCC countries to build on those results and strengthen the sector’s ability to protect and sustain its gains amid changing conditions, in line with the GCC Tourism Strategy 2023-2030.

Deeper integration between Gulf destinations

Albudaiwi said the next phase would focus on three main areas: strengthening the tourism sector’s resilience and preparedness, accelerating joint GCC initiatives and projects, and deepening tourism integration among member states.

The measures are intended to encourage travel within the GCC and capitalize on the diversity of tourism offerings across the Gulf.

Ministers discussed a joint GCC action plan to accelerate the tourism sector’s recovery, as well as joint promotional efforts and the development of Gulf tourism packages and programs.

They also considered ways to strengthen the GCC’s tourism presence in targeted international markets.

The meeting reviewed plans for a joint media strategy and a GCC tourism data and indicators dashboard. The initiatives are intended to improve data availability, strengthen performance measurement and help identify opportunities for growth.

Joint tourism initiatives

Ministers considered several initiatives to expand tourism cooperation and integration, including joint marketing campaigns and the exchange of expertise and knowledge on tourism data and statistics.

The meeting also discussed a unified tourist-guide license, common hotel-classification guidelines and the selection of the GCC Tourism Capital for 2027.

International cooperation and joint tourism activities and events were also on the agenda. The measures aim to support the development of an integrated Gulf tourism product and strengthen the region’s ability to attract visitors from international markets.

The meeting followed discussions at an extraordinary gathering of GCC tourism ministers in April, aimed at maintaining coordination among member states and improving the sector’s readiness to respond to changing conditions.

Saudi Arabia’s participation underscored its commitment to supporting joint GCC tourism efforts, coordinating priorities and advancing cooperation among member states to strengthen integration between Gulf destinations.


Saudi Arabia Shields Supply Chains with National War-Risk Insurance Pool

A ship docked at a Saudi port (SPA)
A ship docked at a Saudi port (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Shields Supply Chains with National War-Risk Insurance Pool

A ship docked at a Saudi port (SPA)
A ship docked at a Saudi port (SPA)

Trade can grind to a halt before ports close or shipping lanes are blocked. Disruption can begin elsewhere, when cargo or vessels become too costly or difficult to insure, or when markets are unable to provide adequate coverage for war-related risks.

Against a backdrop of rising geopolitical risks in the region and their spillover into maritime traffic, insurance and reinsurance markets, Saudi Arabia is moving to establish a national framework to help keep trade flowing even in a highly volatile maritime environment.

In response, the Cabinet approved the establishment of the “Saudi War Risks Insurance Pool for Cargo and Vessels,” a step aimed at building domestic insurance capacity to address risks that could drive up transportation and trade costs or constrain global insurers’ ability to provide coverage.

The initiative is also intended to help ensure the continuity of goods flows and support businesses involved in transportation and logistics.

The move is particularly significant for Saudi Arabia as it expands its role as a trade and logistics hub. The competitiveness of ports and distribution centers depends not only on cargo-handling speed and transport costs, but also on companies’ ability to price and manage risks when geopolitical conditions change abruptly.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed al-Jadaan said after the Cabinet approved the mechanism that the Saudi marine insurance pool was a specialized national mechanism designed to support the continuity of trade and supply chains through a public-private partnership.

He said the pool would directly enhance the technical preparedness of the domestic insurance market and expand its capacity to provide the necessary coverage under rules and frameworks set by the Insurance Authority.

He added that the initiative would strengthen the resilience of the national economy and help safeguard its stability amid regional and international crises and challenges.

Industry specialists who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat said the pool’s economic value would be most evident during crises, when insurance premiums surge or insurers and reinsurers tighten their acceptance of risks associated with particular regions.

They said a stable insurance safety net could give transport companies, importers and exporters greater room to plan and continue operating.

A stable insurance environment

Logistics specialist Nashmi al-Harbi said rising shipping risks in the Red Sea and the Gulf had prompted some insurers to tighten their conditions for covering vessels linked to the region.

That makes the establishment of the Saudi pool particularly timely for domestic transport and logistics companies, he said, as it would help reduce one of the main sources of uncertainty affecting international shipping contracts.

Al-Harbi told Asharq Al-Awsat that international companies doing business with Saudi Arabia, or whose cargo passes through its ports, would also benefit from greater clarity and stability in the insurance environment.

He said the pool’s scope would not be limited to vessels based in the kingdom but would extend to activities and companies with Saudi interests, subject to approved eligibility and coverage requirements.

Al-Harbi said providing stable war-risk coverage would make Saudi Arabia more attractive as a regional hub for storage, distribution and re-exporting.

Logistics companies do not consider only port, transport and cargo-handling costs when selecting destinations, he said. They also take into account the costs of risks to goods and vessels throughout their journeys.

The cost of risk

Supply chain and logistics expert Khalid al-Ghamdi said the importance of the Saudi war-risk insurance pool went beyond providing coverage for vessels and cargo.

It also addressed a deeper challenge facing businesses: the difficulty of predicting risk costs when geopolitical conditions change suddenly.

Al-Ghamdi said a national war-risk safety net would give Saudi logistics companies greater stability when planning voyages, signing contracts and setting prices.

Companies managing thousands of containers need to know more than the cost of fuel, transport and cargo handling, he said. They also need greater certainty about insurance costs so that insurance risks do not suddenly become a heavy financial burden or an obstacle to keeping voyages in operation.

The decision sends a message to international logistics companies that Saudi Arabia is continuing to build a business environment capable of operating even when shipping is disrupted, he said.

That could become an additional factor in decisions by global companies when choosing ports and distribution and re-export centers.

Al-Ghamdi added that the selection of a logistics hub was based not only on location and transport costs, but also on its ability to absorb shocks and manage risks associated with trade flows.

Strengthening that capacity could improve supply-chain resilience, bolster international companies’ confidence and create opportunities for more effective risk-management partnerships, he said.

Insurance pool arrangements

The initiative establishes a national insurance mechanism bringing together the public and private sectors under the supervision of the Insurance Authority.

It is intended to strengthen the domestic insurance market’s ability to handle war risks associated with maritime transport and mitigate the effects of volatility and rising reinsurance costs in global markets.

The initiative also aims to enhance Saudi Arabia’s competitiveness as a logistics hub at a time when more flexible tools are needed to manage the risks facing trade and transport.

As part of its implementation, the Saudi Reinsurance Company, known as Saudi Re, said that the Insurance Authority had selected it to lead and structure the pool’s arrangements, with participation from insurers operating in the domestic market.

Saudi Re will manage the pool’s technical operations and reinsurance arrangements. Beneficiaries will be able to obtain coverage through participating insurers under approved terms and conditions.

Initiative’s objectives

The Insurance Authority has identified four main objectives for the pool: enhancing the insurance market’s preparedness and capacity to absorb marine insurance risks; supporting the continuity of trade and supply chains; limiting the effects of sharp volatility and higher reinsurance costs in global markets; and strengthening Saudi Arabia’s competitiveness as a major logistics hub.

The pool will cover cargo transported by land, sea and air, as well as marine hull insurance against covered damage and risks.

It will also cover charterers’ liability and provide protection and indemnity coverage, offering broader protection to parties involved in transport and trade.

Eligible beneficiaries include exporters and importers; vessel owners and operators; shipping, freight and maritime transport companies; businesses involved in cargo movements, logistics and supply chains; and Saudi insurers participating in the pool.

International models

Saudi Arabia is not alone in adopting such a mechanism. Other countries have established national pools to address rising war risks and difficulties in obtaining coverage from traditional insurance markets.

India offers a recent example. This year, it launched a marine insurance pool with a total capacity of $1.5 billion, including a $1.4 billion sovereign guarantee, to cover war risks affecting vessels and cargo linked to Indian interests.

India’s experience demonstrated the scale of demand for such coverage. The scheme issued more than 1,600 policies within weeks of beginning operations, while war-risk insurance premiums fell by about 35% to 40% from the peaks recorded during the escalation of regional tensions.

The trend reflects a shift in how countries manage maritime war risks—from relying entirely on global insurance and reinsurance markets to developing domestic capacity that can help keep trade moving when coverage becomes more expensive or private insurers’ appetite for risk declines.


Turkish Central Bank Keeps Key Interest Rate at 37%

The Turkish Central Bank headquarters in Ankara (Reuters)
The Turkish Central Bank headquarters in Ankara (Reuters)
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Turkish Central Bank Keeps Key Interest Rate at 37%

The Turkish Central Bank headquarters in Ankara (Reuters)
The Turkish Central Bank headquarters in Ankara (Reuters)

Türkiye's central bank left its key interest rate at 37% on Thursday, as expected, keeping it unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting as it continues to monitor the inflation impact of the Iran war.

The central bank said recent indicators suggested that the underlying trend of inflation was decelerating, though elevated energy prices posed an upward risk to the inflation outlook.

"The impact of geopolitical developments on the inflation outlook through the cost channel, economic ⁠activity and expectations is ⁠closely monitored," Reuters quoted the bank as saying in a statement.

The lira held steady at 48.4950 against the dollar after the announcement, while the main Istanbul share index was slightly lower.

In a Reuters poll, 16 of 17 economists had forecast the policy rate would remain at 37%, while ⁠one had expected a 100-basis-point cut.

The central bank also did not adjust its overnight lending and borrowing rates from 40% and 35.5%, respectively. The bank uses the rate corridor to adjust the cost of funding to the market, when necessary, without changing the benchmark rate.

Last month, the central bank resumed one-week repo auctions, which had been suspended since March in order to control the inflationary impact of the Iran war. Overnight interest rates, which had ⁠remained ⁠at around 40% since the suspension, fell by 300 basis points.

The war-related surge in energy prices has rattled import-reliant economies such as Türkiye, where inflation was 31.51% last month.

In the latest inflation report, the central bank raised its inflation forecast for the end of 2026 to 28%, from 26%. The government sees inflation at 28.4% at the end of this year.

Economists continued to expect monetary easing over the remainder of the year, but are closely monitoring new tensions in the region and their impact on inflation.