Iran’s Currency Drops to a Record Low amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Iranian People shop at the Tehran Bazaar in Tehran, Iran March 16, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
Iranian People shop at the Tehran Bazaar in Tehran, Iran March 16, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
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Iran’s Currency Drops to a Record Low amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Iranian People shop at the Tehran Bazaar in Tehran, Iran March 16, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
Iranian People shop at the Tehran Bazaar in Tehran, Iran March 16, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters

Iran's currency fell below the psychologically key level of 1,000,000 rial per US dollar on Tuesday, as market participants saw no end in sight to sanctions under US President Donald Trump's renewed "maximum pressure" campaign.

Trump said earlier this month that he had sent a letter to Iran's top authority, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, warning that Iran's nuclear program could either be dealt with through negotiations or militarily.

Khamenei rejected the US offer for talks as a "deception" and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said last week that negotiations with Washington were impossible unless its policy changed.

The apparent diplomatic deadlock has raised fears of potential conflict, although Iranian officials have sought to assuage such concerns.

"I am certain there won't be any war as we are fully prepared for such condition... so that no one will think about attacking Iran," Araqchi said on Monday, during a meeting with the Iranian Red Crescent.

Iran's currency dropped to a record low of 1,039,000 rial to the US dollar according to Bonbast.com, which gathers live data from Iranian exchanges.

This represents a more than halving of the currency's value since President Masoud Pezeshkian took office last year.

Facing an annual inflation rate of about 40%, Iranians seeking safe havens for their savings have been buying dollars, other hard currencies or gold, suggesting further headwinds for the rial.

The Iranian rial stood around 55,000 to the US dollar in 2018, when US sanctions were reimposed by the first Trump administration to force Tehran to the negotiating table by limiting its oil exports and access to foreign currency.

The US has issued four rounds of sanctions on Iran's oil sales since Trump's return to the White House.



Kremlin Says Various Conditions Must Be Met Before Black Sea Security Deal Can Be Activated 

Cars drive in front of Moscow's Kremlin along Tverskaya street in Moscow, Russia, 21 March 2025. (EPA) 
Cars drive in front of Moscow's Kremlin along Tverskaya street in Moscow, Russia, 21 March 2025. (EPA) 
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Kremlin Says Various Conditions Must Be Met Before Black Sea Security Deal Can Be Activated 

Cars drive in front of Moscow's Kremlin along Tverskaya street in Moscow, Russia, 21 March 2025. (EPA) 
Cars drive in front of Moscow's Kremlin along Tverskaya street in Moscow, Russia, 21 March 2025. (EPA) 

The Kremlin said on Wednesday that a number of conditions must be met before a Black Sea maritime security deal negotiated with the United States can be activated, pointing to an earlier agreement which it said saw Moscow's needs ignored.

The United States reached separate deals on Tuesday with Ukraine and Russia to cease fighting in the Black Sea and pause attacks against energy targets, with Washington agreeing to push to lift some sanctions against Moscow.

While Russian exports of food and fertilizer are not subject to Western sanctions, Moscow has said restrictions on payments, logistics and insurance have amounted to a barrier to shipments.

Russia wants the reconnection of its state agricultural bank Rosselkhozbank to the SWIFT international payments system. That and other steps could require agreement from European countries.

"As for the Black Sea grain initiative, it can be activated after a number of conditions are implemented," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.

"These are the same conditions that were included in the (original) Black Sea Initiative...all the conditions of which were fulfilled except for those concerning the Russian side. So, of course, this time round justice must prevail and we will continue our work with the Americans."

Moscow in 2023 withdrew from the original deal, brokered by the United Nations and Türkiye in 2022, complaining that obstacles to its own food and fertilizer exports had not been eased as promised under the terms of that agreement.