Escalation in Northern Israel Could Develop into Third Lebanon War

A photo of military drills released by the Israeli army spokesman.
A photo of military drills released by the Israeli army spokesman.
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Escalation in Northern Israel Could Develop into Third Lebanon War

A photo of military drills released by the Israeli army spokesman.
A photo of military drills released by the Israeli army spokesman.

With the severe escalation in the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in recent days, Israeli authorities are once again talking about the inevitability of a third Lebanon war and are preparing the public for such a possibility.

On Monday, the Israeli army announced a new exercise to “examine the effectiveness of coordination between military commands in the event of a widescale war with Lebanon,” with the participation of Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, the head of the Military Intelligence Division, Aharon Haliva, Air Force Commander Tomer Bar, and the commander of the northern region, Uri Gordin.

The army spokesman also announced that the 146th Division and the 205th Reserve Armored Brigade had carried out drills over the past few weeks simulating combat scenarios on the northern front and the rapid deployment of forces in the field.

Military sources said Israel is awaiting a major development that would leave behind a large number of Israeli casualties to use as a pretext to launch a long comprehensive war on Lebanon.

Yedioth Ahronoth’s military correspondent, Yoav Zeitoun, revealed that the Israeli army expects the scope of the war with Lebanon to expand to include the Houthis in Yemen and Iranian militias in Iraq and Syria.

He noted that the recent exercises took into account the possibility that Iran would enter the battle directly this time. Air drills were carried out over Greece during which the army trained to supply 130 combat aircraft with fuel. The exercises saw the participation of “friendly” armies, the correspondent said without giving further details.

On Sunday, the Alma Research Center, which specializes in monitoring Israel’s northern front, issued a report saying May witnessed a peak in combat escalation. The report said Hezbollah launched 325 attacks on northern Israel during this period, with an average of 10 attacks per day, compared to 238 in April.



SOHR: Document Reveals Assad Family Smuggled Millions to Moscow

The historic Hotel Ukraina in central Moscow (Wikipedia)
The historic Hotel Ukraina in central Moscow (Wikipedia)
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SOHR: Document Reveals Assad Family Smuggled Millions to Moscow

The historic Hotel Ukraina in central Moscow (Wikipedia)
The historic Hotel Ukraina in central Moscow (Wikipedia)

A confidential document obtained by the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) has revealed massive money smuggling operations carried out via Syrian Airlines to Moscow.
The operations are described as among the most corrupt financial transfers orchestrated by the now-defunct Syrian regime.
According to the document, the majority of the funds stem from profits made through the production and trade of Captagon, a highly lucrative illicit drug.
The head of SOHR, Rami Abdel Rahman, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the most recent transfer took place just four days before Syrian President Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow in December of last year.
Rami Abdel Rahman also affirmed that the leaked document underscores the “deep involvement of the former Syrian regime in illegal activities.”
He added that further investigations could uncover a vast network of secret financial operations used to transfer large sums of money from Syria to Russia and other countries under official cover and without oversight.
“The regime, led by the ousted Assad and his brother, spearheaded drug-related investments, particularly through the production, promotion, and export of Captagon,” Abdel Rahman told Asharq Al-Awsat.
He explained that one key route involved a small port near the Afamia chalets on Syria's coast, which previously belonged to Rifaat al-Assad, the brother of late former President Hafez al-Assad.
From there, shipments were sent via smugglers to Italian ports, where collaborating traders distributed the drugs globally.
A Syrian source based in Russia, closely monitoring the regime’s activities and investments there, said the content of the leaked document is not new but that its official confirmation adds weight to prior claims.
“Western media had previously reported on the regime’s money-smuggling operations, which led to some loyalists being added to international sanctions lists, particularly regime-linked businessmen like Mudalal Khouri,” the source, who requested anonymity, told Asharq Al-Awsat.
Sanctions were also imposed on individuals accused of money laundering for the regime.
The source confirmed that the operations were conducted using Syrian Airlines flights to Moscow.
“There were dozens of such flights, each loaded with hard currency—mostly US dollars and €500 euro notes,” the source said.
The money was reportedly delivered directly from the airport to the Syrian regime's embassy in Moscow, where it was distributed to loyalist businessmen.
These funds were then invested in Russian and Belarusian banks, real estate, and commercial properties. Some of the money was also used to establish companies in both countries.
The operations were allegedly overseen by Mohammed Makhlouf, the maternal uncle of Assad.