‘Death Boats’ from Lebanon … Journey to the ‘European Dream’ or Bottom of the Sea

Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
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‘Death Boats’ from Lebanon … Journey to the ‘European Dream’ or Bottom of the Sea

Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)
Lebanese people await survivors or victims of a boat sinking off the Arida crossing with Syria. (AFP)

Lebanon had transformed in the past two years into a platform for the departure of migrants to Europe. Over 85 journeys left the country in 2022 alone.

A Lebanese security source said the smuggling operations existed before the crisis that has been engulfing the country since 2019, but they have risen dramatically since.

Thousands of migrants from Lebanon and Syria and Palestinians have been literally throwing themselves in the sea in a gamble to reach Europe where they dream of leading a better life.

Travelers from 38 boats managed to reach European shores in 2021, while 46 have failed. Tragedy has also struck, taking hundreds of migrants to the bottom of the sea.

The Lebanese army has dedicated a unit to crack down on human traffickers. They collect the testimonies of smugglers and escapees to help them draw the complete picture of how the illicit operations take place along the Lebanese shore.

A Lebanese security source drew a bleak picture of despair to Asharq Al-Awsat. He spoke of how people were willing to risk their lives and that of their children to take the dangerous journey at sea. He also spoke of the greed of smugglers who recklessly risk the lives of people for a handful of dollars, which the migrants often collect by selling everything they own to pay for the perilous journey.

Italy is the destination of all these journeys.

Why Italy?

The source said: “Yes, the journey to Italy is longer, more difficult and more dangerous, compared to Cyprus, which can be seen by the naked eye from Lebanon.”

Lebanon and Cyprus have signed an agreement to prevent the smuggling of people from Lebanon, so that country has been ruled out by traffickers.

Greece, which is also close to Lebanon, has also been ruled out because its authorities have been brutally cracking down on migrant boats.

Italy, however, helps migrants and provides them with essentials, such as food and medical treatment, as soon as they arrive on its shores. Moreover, it does not detain the migrants, but rather allows them to roam the country and enter other parts of Europe until judicial rulings are issued.

The journey to Italy takes around eight to ten days, depending on the weather. It could take even longer if the boat is forced to maneuver around Cypriot or Greek patrols. At times, the boat may be forced to remain moored at sea for days.

Once the boat reaches regional waters, the captain would turn on the GPS and satellite telephones to call for rescue from the Italian coastguard. Once the message is received, the captain then begins to sink the vessel to destroy any evidence that gives away where the trip departed from.

Everyone onboard the boat then jumps into the sea to await the coastguard that takes them to dedicated gathering spots.

The migrants then refuse to present any identification papers, forcing Italian authorities to give them two options: Submit an asylum request in Italy or face a deadline to leave the country.

The second option is often chosen by the majority of the migrants, who have relatives or friends in other European countries, where they would choose to settle down with their help.

Smuggling scenario
The area stretching from Tripoli’s shores to the al-Abde at the border with Syria is chosen arena of the smugglers.

The smuggling operation begins with a “contractor” of sorts who gathers the travelers and agrees with them on the details of the trip and the payment that is made in installments. The first is an advance payment and the last is given to the smuggler in Lebanon through relatives or people trusted by the migrants and smuggler after the travelers reach Europe.

A passenger is charged between 4,000 and 5,000 dollars, but special prices are offered to families and groups. Discounts are offered to children, which only leads to more of them being placed in the boats.

The desperate migrants often sell their homes, gold, or properties to pay for the dangerous journey. If it is a failure, then they are left with nothing.

Passengers revealed that they have had to stay in the town of Bebnin on the eve of their journey. Their stay there is a boon for the residents. The town has become the destination of passengers from Lebanon and Syria as well.

This has led to cooperation between smugglers from Syria and those operating the migrant boats.

Rawan al-Mane, the relative of victim Mustafa Misto, said her cousin was convinced of embarking on the journey by a friend, who turned out to be close to major smuggler, Bilal Nadim Deeb.

Mustafa took out loans to pay 5,000 dollars per migrant and 5,000 dollars for his three children.

In the meantime, the smuggler would have completed the purchase of a fishing boat that will be used for the journey. The cost ranges between 35,000 and 50,000 dollars. The boat that recently sank off Syria’s Tartus cost 36,000 dollars.

The smuggler then transfers the ownership to one of the travelers, who would be granted a discount on the journey. The owner of the vessel is often pursued by judicial authorities once the trip is discovered, therefore allowing the smuggler to “remain out of the picture.”

The boat then leaves the fishing port legally. The necessary documents and identity of the sailor are verified by the security forces. Finding nothing suspicious, such as large amounts of fuel, life jackets and food, the vessel is allowed to leave.

The necessities for the journey are loaded later. They are first stored at houses that are located along the shore and their owners, of course, ask for a fee for keeping them.

The migrants are gathered in small boats dotted off the shore to avoid raising suspicions. They often do not carry any luggage, just a few bags or backpacks, meaning they could pass as regular boat passengers.

Once the migrant boat arrives, the surprises eventually begin to arise. The number of passengers often exceeds the capacity of the boat.

A boat usually has the capacity to hold 20 people, while an agreement would have been reached to load it with 50. But once the migrants are collected, the number would have crossed that figure by miles. The ill-fated boat that sank off Tartus carried over 125 people.

The boat “crew” consists of the captain, his assistant, mechanic and medic. Relatives and friends of the “crew” could take advantage of their connections and also join the journey. Rounding out the numbers are the migrants themselves.

The greater the load in the boat, the greater the danger. The weather only increases the risks and when a storm strikes, so does tragedy. Other factors that jeopardize the journey include the poor experience of the captain and his assistants and the greed of the smugglers.

The Lebanese army has been trying to crack down on smuggling throughout the year despite limited means. The security source said 46 operations were thwarted in 2022, while 38 made the journey. Two boat sinkings were reported. One vessel was rescued after suffering a malfunction at sea.

Lebanese authorities have largely managed to uncover the smuggling networks and are working on breaking them up as much as possible.

Bebnin used to be a fishing town, but the spike in smuggling has shifted the focus of the residents. Entire families are now involved in smuggling and trafficking.

The brother of detained smuggler, Bilal Deeb, also took up smuggling and headed one trafficking network. He embarked on a journey at sea with his family and is now living in Europe.



A Son of Iran’s Late Supreme Leader Is a Possible Candidate to Replace His Father as War Rages

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds, or Jerusalem Day rally in Tehran, Iran, on May 31, 2019. (AP)
Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds, or Jerusalem Day rally in Tehran, Iran, on May 31, 2019. (AP)
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A Son of Iran’s Late Supreme Leader Is a Possible Candidate to Replace His Father as War Rages

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds, or Jerusalem Day rally in Tehran, Iran, on May 31, 2019. (AP)
Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds, or Jerusalem Day rally in Tehran, Iran, on May 31, 2019. (AP)

Mojtaba Khamenei, a son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has long been considered a contender to the post of the country's next paramount ruler — even before an Israeli strike killed his father at the start of the war last week and despite the fact he's has never been elected or appointed to a government position.

A secretive figure within the Islamic Republic, Mojtaba Khamenei has not been seen publicly since Saturday, when the Israeli airstrike targeting the supreme leader's offices killed his 86-year-old father. Also killed were the younger Khamenei's wife, Zahra Haddad Adel, who came from a family long associated with the country's theocracy.

Khamenei is believed to still be alive and has likely has gone into hiding as American and Israeli airstrikes continue to pound Iran, though state-run Iranian media have not reported on his whereabouts.

Profile of Khamenei's son rises after airstrike

Mojtaba Khamenei's name continues to circulate as a possible candidate to replace his father, something that had been criticized in the past as potentially creating a theocratic version of Iran's former hereditary monarchy.

But now with his father and wife considered by hard-liners as martyrs in the war against America and Israel, Khamenei's stock likely has risen with the aging clerics of the 88-seat Assembly of Experts who will select the country's next supreme leader.

Whoever becomes the leader will gain control of an Iranian military now at war and a stockpile of highly enriched uranium that could be used to build a nuclear weapon — should he choose to decree it.

Khamenei had occupied a similar role to that of Ahmad Khomeini, a son of Iran's first Supreme Leader Khomeini — "a combination of aide-de-camp, confidant, gatekeeper and power broker,” according to United Against Nuclear Iran, a US-based pressure group.

Born into dissent

Born in 1969 in the city of Mashhad, some 10 years before the 1979 revolution that would sweep Iran, Khamenei grew up as his father agitated against Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi of Iran.

An official biography on Ali Khamenei's life recounts one moment when the shah's secret police, the SAVAK, broke into their home and beat the cleric. Woken up after, Mojtaba and the rest of Khamenei's children were told their father was going on vacation.

“But I told them, ‘There is no need to lie.’ I told them the truth,” the elder Khamenei was quoted as saying.

After the fall of the shah, Khamenei's family moved to Tehran, Iran's capital. Khamenei would go on to fight in the Iran-Iraq war with the Habib ibn Mazahir Battalion, a division of Iran's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard that would see several of its members ascend to powerful intelligence positions within the force, likely with the backing of the Khamenei family.

His father became supreme leader in 1989 and soon Mojtaba Khamenei and his family had access to the billions of dollars and business assets spread across Iran's many bonyads, or foundations funded from state industries and other wealth once held by the shah.

Power rises with his father's

His own power rose alongside his father's, working within his offices in downtown Tehran. US diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks in the late 2000s began referring to the younger Khamenei as “the power behind the robes.” One recounted an allegation that Khamenei actually tapped his own father's phone, served as his “principal gatekeeper” and had been forming his own power base within the country.

Khamenei “is widely viewed within the regime as a capable and forceful leader and manager who may someday succeed to at least a share of national leadership; his father may also see him in that light,” a 2008 cable read, also noting his lack of theological qualifications and age.

“Mojtaba is, however, due to his skills, wealth, and unmatched alliances, reportedly seen by a number of regime insiders as a plausible candidate for shared leadership of Iran upon his father’s demise, whether that demise is soon or years in the future,” it said.

Khamenei has worked closely with Iran's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, both with commanders of its expeditionary Quds Force and its all-volunteer Basij that violently suppressed nationwide protests in January, the US Treasury has said.

The United States sanctioned him in 2019 during the first term of USPresident Donald Trump over working to “advance his father’s destabilizing regional ambitions and oppressive domestic objectives.”

That includes allegations that Khamenei from behind the scenes supported the election of hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2005 and his disputed re-election in 2009 that sparked the Green Movement protests.

Mahdi Karroubi, who was a presidential candidate in 2005 and 2009, denounced Khamenei as “a master's son” and alleged he interfered in both votes. His father reportedly at the time said Khamenei was “a master himself, not a master’s son."

Powers of supreme leader at stake

There has been only one other transfer of power in the office of supreme leader of Iran, the paramount decision-maker since the country’s 1979 revolution. Khomeini died at age 86 after being the figurehead of the revolution and leading Iran through its eight-year war with Iraq.

Now the new leader will come on board after the 12-day war with Israel and as a US-Israeli war with Iran is seeking to eliminate Iran's nuclear threat and military power, hoping also the Iranian people will rise up against the Iranian theocracy.

The supreme leader is at the heart of Iran’s complex power-sharing theocracy and has final say over all matters of state. He also serves as the commander-in-chief of the country’s military and the Guard, a paramilitary force that the United States designated a terrorist organization in 2019, and which his father empowered during his rule.

The Guard, which has led the self-described “Axis of Resistance,” a series of militant groups and allies across the Middle East meant to counter the US and Israel, also has extensive wealth and holdings in Iran. It also controls the country's ballistic missile arsenal.


Iran's 'Axis of Resistance' under Threat after US-Israeli War

Members of Iraq's pro-Iran paramilitary group Kataib Hezbollah march with the group's banners in a funeral for slain fighters killed in a US-Israeli airstrike on their headquarters in al-Qaim near the border with Syria, during a ceremony in Baghdad on March 2, 2026. (AFP)
Members of Iraq's pro-Iran paramilitary group Kataib Hezbollah march with the group's banners in a funeral for slain fighters killed in a US-Israeli airstrike on their headquarters in al-Qaim near the border with Syria, during a ceremony in Baghdad on March 2, 2026. (AFP)
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Iran's 'Axis of Resistance' under Threat after US-Israeli War

Members of Iraq's pro-Iran paramilitary group Kataib Hezbollah march with the group's banners in a funeral for slain fighters killed in a US-Israeli airstrike on their headquarters in al-Qaim near the border with Syria, during a ceremony in Baghdad on March 2, 2026. (AFP)
Members of Iraq's pro-Iran paramilitary group Kataib Hezbollah march with the group's banners in a funeral for slain fighters killed in a US-Israeli airstrike on their headquarters in al-Qaim near the border with Syria, during a ceremony in Baghdad on March 2, 2026. (AFP)

Iran once boasted that it controlled four Arab capitals: Baghdad, Damascus, Beirut and Sanaa in an alliance dubbed the "Axis of Resistance".

But the network -- long used as a regional force against Israel -- has been weakened since the Gaza war and now risks collapse, upending the regional balance, analysts said.

"The axis of resistance is over," said Atlantic Council researcher Nicholas Blanford.

Two days after Hamas launched its October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his country's response would "change the Middle East".

Backed by Israel's powerful ally, the United States, the Israeli leader did not just intend to defeat the Iran-backed Palestinian group, but the entire axis.

The weakening of Lebanon's Hezbollah after its 2024 war with Israel and the fall of Syrian ruler Bashar al-Assad paved the way for Israel to aim directly at Iran.

Since Saturday, the country has been the target of a major US-Israeli offensive, which even killed Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei.

Most of the axis's members like Hezbollah, Yemen's Houthis or Iraqi Shiite groups are "trying to understand how to survive", Renad Mansour, senior research fellow at the Chatham House international affairs think-tank, told AFP.

- 'Defensive approach' -

Since deciding to enter the war by launching rockets at Israel on Monday, Hezbollah brought a major Israeli retaliation, which saw bombings across Lebanon and an Israeli ground incursion to create a buffer zone.

"Naim Qassem doesn't want to get involved in this fight," Blanford, who wrote a book on Hezbollah, said, referring to the group's chief.

However, the analyst said Tehran may have forced Qassem to intervene.

Iraq, a longtime battlefield between Washington and Tehran, saw Iran-backed groups claim dozens of drone attacks on US bases, though many were downed.

To Mansour, these groups lack "the necessary military capabilities to inflict significant damage" while the most prominent ones are now "intertwined in the Iraqi state".

The Houthis in Yemen have so far stayed away from the conflict.

"The Houthis are in a calculated holding pattern, or perhaps a defensive approach," said Ahmed Nagi, senior analyst at the International Crisis Group.

However, Nagi believes that while the axis "is facing an existential threat, that does not necessarily mean it will disintegrate".

"The network operates on more than a military level; its political, social and religious ties remain deeply rooted among its groups and are unlikely to unravel because of battlefield setbacks alone."

The regional upheavals will depend on the outcome of this war, particularly the collapse or survival of the Iranian regime.


Netanyahu’s Political Future at Stake with Iran War, Say Experts

03 March 2020, Israel, Tel Aviv: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivers an address. (dpa)
03 March 2020, Israel, Tel Aviv: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivers an address. (dpa)
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Netanyahu’s Political Future at Stake with Iran War, Say Experts

03 March 2020, Israel, Tel Aviv: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivers an address. (dpa)
03 March 2020, Israel, Tel Aviv: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivers an address. (dpa)

With elections approaching in Israel, the war with Iran has handed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu an opportunity to restore an image deeply scarred by Hamas's October 7, 2023 attack, experts say.

But any political dividend would depend on how the conflict unfolds and how long it lasts, they said according to AFP.

A day after Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a wave of US-Israeli strikes, Netanyahu said that his close ties with Washington had enabled Israel to "do what I have long aspired to do for 40 years: to strike the terrorist regime decisively".

The Gaza war, sparked by Hamas's unprecedented attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, eroded Netanyahu's popularity.

Critics have accused him of seeking to evade responsibility for the authorities' failure to prevent the deadliest day in Israel's history.

At 76, the leader of the right-wing Likud party is Israel's longest-serving prime minister, with more than 18 cumulative years in office across multiple stints.

Known for his political resilience, Netanyahu has been without a parliamentary majority since the summer, amid a crisis with his ultra-Orthodox religious allies.

He is also standing trial in a long-running corruption case and has sought a presidential pardon, with US President Donald Trump repeatedly pressuring President Isaac Herzog to grant one.

- 'Total victory' -

Elections must be held by October 27 at the latest.

Netanyahu will call early elections, says Emmanuel Navon, a political analyst at Tel Aviv University.

"It's obvious. He won't wait until October given the commemoration of the October 7 anniversary," Navon said.

"If Netanyahu was at rock bottom after the Hamas attack, he has since gradually turned the tide," he added, citing heavy blows dealt by the Israeli military to Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran since the start of the Gaza war.

A Likud party led by Netanyahu would emerge ahead in elections held today, opinion polls suggest.

That would likely see him tasked with forming the next government, though he would still lack a majority with his current allies.

A victory over Iran could change that calculus, experts say.

"This offensive undeniably reinforces the image Netanyahu seeks to cultivate, the one associated with his 'total victory' slogan," independent geopolitical analyst Michael Horowitz told AFP.

"Netanyahu wants to show that this is not a campaign slogan but a reality. It is his national agenda and his electoral strategy," he added.

- 'Iran remains Iran' -

Raviv Druker, a prominent journalist on Channel 13 television, argued that Netanyahu "will try to convince people that the victory is total even if that is an illusion," noting that "Hamas still runs Gaza, and Iran remains Iran even after Saturday's strike".

On the popular news website Walla, journalist Ouriel Deskal went further, suggesting Netanyahu may have chosen the timing of the hostilities to automatically delay -- under a state of emergency -- the March 30 deadline for passing a budget for which he has struggled to secure a majority.

Without a budget, the government would fall on April 1 and elections would be called.

In that scenario, Netanyahu would enter the campaign from a position of weakness.

By contrast "if this war against Iran is a success for Israel, it will be a political victory for Netanyahu," Navon said.

But should the war drag on, the picture could shift dramatically, Horowitz warned.

"Public tolerance for a long war with heavy casualties, combined with a high cost of living, remains extremely low," he said.

During the war last June, Iranian missiles killed 30 people in Israel. Since Saturday, 10 people have been killed in Iran's retaliatory strikes.

"Israel's victories are primarily attributed to the army and to civilian resilience, which enabled the country to wage the longest war in its history," Horowitz noted.

"The army's popularity is rising, not necessarily Netanyahu's."