Sam Menassa

Sam Menassa

Lebanon: Negotiations and the Crisis of Limited Sovereignty

It seems that the negotiations between Lebanon and Israel, whether they are held directly or indirectly, are more than just talks over the latter’s occupation of Lebanese territory and the border disputes of the two countries. They mirror Lebanon’s broader crisis: the state’s capacity to make…

Lebanon…A Perpetual War and Persistent Hesitation

The big question in Lebanon today is: When will Israel’s all-out war against Hezbollah resume, and what will it look like? A flood of Israeli statements, as well as the party’s own rhetoric and its effort to convince the press that it has recovered and is now prepared for war (figures associated…

Trump’s Plan and the Risks of ‘Mutual Dependence’

Last week was a watershed: the Gaza Peace Summit in Sharm el-Sheikh and the American president’s address to the Knesset will remain etched in the memory of both supporters and opponents alike. While it is too soon to tell whether President Trump’s effort will succeed, the objectives that have…

What Exactly Does Barrack Want to Offer Hezbollah?

Tom Barrack’s recent statements can no longer be dismissed as casual remarks or diplomatic slips. He is the US Envoy to Syria and Lebanon, and they should not be downplayed; indeed, explaining his rhetoric as political naivete is itself naive. Barrack speaks in his capacity as the official…

The Lebanese State and Hezbollah’s Grip

President Joseph Aoun’s unprecedentedly clear and candid speech, explicitly labeled Hezbollah’s arms unauthorized by the state, was a long-awaited turning point in the complex relationship between the Lebanese state and the party. Nonetheless, this clarity was not translated into unequivocal…

Lebanon Between the Predicament of Arms and Settlement with Syria

Hezbollah, through the statements of Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem and its paramilitary deputy Hussein Al-Hajj Hassan, preempted President Joseph Aoun’s recent speech, which reignited the spirit of his inaugural address and affirmed the state’s exclusive right to bear arms. The party also…

Meeting Change and Missed Opportunities

The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the rise of Ahmed al-Sharaa to the Syrian presidency is the foundational episode of the regional transformation that is currently underway. It may well be one of the most consequential outcomes of the Al-Aqsa Flood Operation and its aftermath or even the…

Gaza: Suspended Ceasefires and Distant Solutions

Ceasefires are a lifeline to those languishing under relentless bombardment, suffering displacement, and struggling to find food- with no escape from their vast prison. Yet, the fact that discussions and negotiations for a ceasefire continue suggests that there is, as of yet, no horizon for an end…

Trump's Gulf Tour and Regional Powder Kegs

It would be a mistake to overlook the unique opportunities presented by the region’s shifting strategic landscape following the resounding success of President Donald Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar. Until recently, this all seemed almost unimaginable, and seizing this opportunity…

A Decisive Alliance is Reshaping the Region

It is difficult to single out one aspect of US President Donald Trump’s pivotal visit to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar, as the most prominent or important. The visit was clearly not merely made for investment deals alone. Rather, it amounts to a turning point that consolidates…