Oil Slides Below $100 after Trump Announces 2-week Ceasefire

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Oil Slides Below $100 after Trump Announces 2-week Ceasefire

FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and a 3D printed oil pipeline are seen in this illustration taken March 23, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Oil fell below $100 per barrel on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump said he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran that was subject to the immediate and safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures fell $16.32, or 14.9%, to $92.95 a barrel at 0630 GMT, while WTI slid $18.16, or 16.1%, to $94.79 a barrel, Reuters reported.

Trump's turnaround came shortly before his deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz, where 20% of the world's oil transits, or face widespread attacks on ⁠its civilian infrastructure.

"This will ⁠be a double sided CEASEFIRE!" he wrote on social media, after posting earlier on Tuesday that "a whole civilization will die tonight" if his demands were not met.

Iran said it would halt its attacks if attacks against it stopped and that safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz would be possible for two weeks in coordination with Iranian armed forces, according to a ⁠statement by Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi on Wednesday.

"Further price direction will hinge on whether talks translate into a durable agreement and a sustained normalization of flows through the strait, with volatility likely to persist during negotiations later this week," ING commodity strategists said on Wednesday.

Multiple Gulf states have identified missile launches and drone attacks or issued warnings to civilians to take shelter.

"Even with a peace deal, Iran may be emboldened to threaten the Strait of Hormuz more frequently in the future, and the market will price in heightened risk to the Strait of Hormuz going forward," MST Marquee analyst ⁠Saul Kavonic ⁠said.

The US-Israeli war with Iran saw the steepest monthly oil price rise in history in March of more than 50%.

"There is still scope for a significant geopolitical premium being entrenched for the foreseeable future based on the details of the comprehensive agreement," said Commonwealth Bank analyst Vivek Dhar in a note.

Trump said the US had received a 10-point proposal from Iran which he called a workable basis to negotiate and said the parties were very far along on reaching a definitive agreement for long-term peace. "It's a good start and could pave the way to a more permanent reopening - but lots of ifs still to work out," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said.



Hapag-Lloyd: Resuming Normal Shipping to Take 6-8 Weeks if Mideast Stabilizes

This aerial picture shows stacks of shipping containers at Tanjung Priok Port, Jakarta, March 31, 2026. (Photo by BAY ISMOYO / AFP)
This aerial picture shows stacks of shipping containers at Tanjung Priok Port, Jakarta, March 31, 2026. (Photo by BAY ISMOYO / AFP)
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Hapag-Lloyd: Resuming Normal Shipping to Take 6-8 Weeks if Mideast Stabilizes

This aerial picture shows stacks of shipping containers at Tanjung Priok Port, Jakarta, March 31, 2026. (Photo by BAY ISMOYO / AFP)
This aerial picture shows stacks of shipping containers at Tanjung Priok Port, Jakarta, March 31, 2026. (Photo by BAY ISMOYO / AFP)

Hapag-Lloyd voiced cautious optimism on Wednesday on the prospect of resuming shipping through the Strait of Hormuz after a two-week ceasefire agreed between the US and Iran, but said that resuming normal traffic throughout its network would take at least 6-8 weeks.

Speaking in a call to customers, CEO Rolf Habben Jansen echoed guarded remarks ⁠by peer container ⁠shipping group Maersk, saying that more security assurances were needed.

“Even if a ceasefire has now been agreed overnight, I would say that it's fair to ⁠say that the conflict in the Middle East is still severely disrupting shipping, but also supply chains," the Hapag CEO said, adding that the situation was "fluid".

According to Reuters, he estimated additional costs from the Middle East crisis at $50 million to $60 million a week and warned that the German company ⁠would ⁠have to pass on some of that to its customers. That was up from $40-$50 million stated previously.

He added that about 1,000 ships were still stuck in the region, six of which from his company with a combined capacity of about 25,000 standard containers.


Turkish Shares Rise After Iran Ceasefire Deal, Lira Set for Rare Daily Gain

10 July 2020, Türkiye, Istanbul: People stand behind a Turkish national flag in front of Hagia Sophia in Istanbul. (dpa)
10 July 2020, Türkiye, Istanbul: People stand behind a Turkish national flag in front of Hagia Sophia in Istanbul. (dpa)
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Turkish Shares Rise After Iran Ceasefire Deal, Lira Set for Rare Daily Gain

10 July 2020, Türkiye, Istanbul: People stand behind a Turkish national flag in front of Hagia Sophia in Istanbul. (dpa)
10 July 2020, Türkiye, Istanbul: People stand behind a Turkish national flag in front of Hagia Sophia in Istanbul. (dpa)

Banking and ‌airline stocks led a more than 4% rise in Turkish shares and the lira was on track for a rare daily gain on Wednesday, as the two-week Middle East ceasefire sparked a relief rally across global markets.

At 0823 GMT, Türkiye's blue-chip BIST 100 index was up 4.3%, while the banking index rose 8.8%. Shares in airline ‌carriers Turkish ‌Airlines and Pegasus climbed more than ‌6% ⁠each.

The United States ⁠and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said in a post on X that he had invited Iranian and US delegations to meet in Islamabad on Friday.

The ⁠lira traded at 44.5400 against ‌the dollar, strengthening from ‌Tuesday's close of 44.6065.

The currency had lost about ‌1.5% in value since the US-Israeli strikes ‌on Iran began at the end of February. With a year-to-date loss of 3.6% and inflation reaching to 10% in the first three ‌months of the year, the lira has gained in real terms.

Before the ⁠two-week ⁠ceasefire agreement, economists had been expecting the central bank to reflect a cumulative 300 basis points of tightening delivered via liquidity measures in the main policy rate, which stands at 37%.

Markets are now watching whether the two-week ceasefire evolves into a more permanent arrangement, which could reshape expectations for policy tightening at the central bank's next monetary policy committee meeting on April 22.


Gulf Markets Jump on US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement

A man follows the stock market at the Dubai Financial Market in Dubai (EPA)
A man follows the stock market at the Dubai Financial Market in Dubai (EPA)
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Gulf Markets Jump on US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement

A man follows the stock market at the Dubai Financial Market in Dubai (EPA)
A man follows the stock market at the Dubai Financial Market in Dubai (EPA)

Stock markets in the Gulf region jumped on Wednesday in line with global equities after US President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday.

Trump said the last-minute deal was subject to Iran's agreement to pause its blockade of oil and gas supplies through the Strait of Hormuz, which before the war typically handled about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Tehran would cease counter-attacks and provide safe passage through the waterway if attacks against it stopped.

Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif ⁠said he had ⁠invited Iranian and US delegations to meet in Islamabad on Friday.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index opened 1.4% higher, lifted by gains in banking and energy stocks.

Oil giant Saudi Aramco gained 2.1%, while largest lender Al Rajhi Bank added 2.4%.

Dubai's main market spiked as much as 8.5%, its highest intraday gain in more than 11 years, with the heavyweight real estate and financial sectors outperforming.

At 0730 GMT the Dubai index was trading 6.4% higher, led by a 9.8% jump in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties and an 11.3% rise in top lender Emirates NBD ⁠Bank.

Abu Dhabi's benchmark index climbed as much as 4.9% in early trade, its biggest jump in six years, boosted by gains in the financial, real estate, logistics and energy sectors.

At 0730 GMT the Abu Dhabi index was up 3.2% with the largest lender, First Abu Dhabi Bank, rising 8.3% and real estate giant Aldar Properties jumping 8.8%.

Energy firm Adnoc Gas gained 3.8%, while Abu Dhabi Ports Company advanced 9.8%.

In Qatar, the index jumped 3.4%, as all its constituents advanced, led by energy shares.

Petrochemical maker Industries Qatar jumped 6.2% and Qatar Gas Transport surged 8%, the top gainer.

The Gulf's biggest lender, Qatar National Bank, climbed 3.7%.