Striking Circles!

Anyone contemplating the scene in the region - and let us imagine, dear reader, the following image: Israel continues to strike Gaza and Hamas, and targets the Iranian militias in Syria and Lebanon, while Iranian militias continue to attack the Americans in Iraq and Syria through the Houthis.
This image is made up of circles, which I call “striking circles.” Israel strikes and the Iranian militias respond by hitting American bases in Iraq and Syria, and across the Red Sea. That tells us that Tehran's goal is to send a message to Washington, not Tel Aviv.
Iran’s goal here is to send a message to Israel. It does not want a direct clash, or even a war between Israel and Hezbollah. Tehran wants to compel Washington to force Israel to stop targeting the leadership of the Quds Force and its militias.
Iran knows that Netanyahu seeks to expand the war to extend his term and that President Biden does not want an open-ended war with Iran, or its militias, especially with the election approaching.
Thus, Iran wants to score propaganda points against the backdrop of the Gaza war while avoiding a direct war or a war between Israel and Hezbollah. It also wants to embarrass the US administration, and thus score propaganda points home, and in its regional sphere of influence, especially in Lebanon and Syria.
It is a simple process. At the same time, it is complex, especially with the New York Times reporting there is growing criticism of the Biden administration’s approach to Iran and that the administration fears that the militia attacks will force Biden to expand his strikes.
The administration fears, according to the newspaper, that the ongoing escalation will lead to a direct strike against Iran if the missiles lead to the death of American soldiers. The militias have launched around 140 missiles against American forces in Iraq and Syria.
Anyone familiar with the current administration and its policies on Iran can understand that it is unlikely to direct a real strike against Tehran. If it does, it could announce it beforehand, and even its location to avoid casualties.
Alright, does this mean that we are unlikely to see an expansion of conflict in the region? I believe that the danger is real, and most of those following the wave of Israeli assassinations of the Quds Force and Hezbollah commanders, whether in Syria or Lebanon, have the impression that the goal of those assassinations is not to avoid war.
What Israel is doing, besides provoking and embarrassing the party and IRGC leaders, is escalating. That indicates that Israel is preparing for a war against the party more than it is seeking to avoid it, as Israel targets the hierarchical structure of the leaders of the Quds Force and Hezbollah in Syria and Lebanon.
Indeed, Israel wants to keep conducting assassinations against the IRGC and the party. It is more keen on pursuing them than the leaders of Hamas. This is not because of an inability to penetrate Hamas; it is a question of priorities.
Any attempt to take the leaders of Hamas in Gaza could lead to the deaths of hostages. Thus, it is now clear that Israel is laying the groundwork for an attack on Lebanon and Syria. That indicates that the risk of a war breaking out in Lebanon is real and that it could give rise to more dangerous confrontations.