Crisis-hit Iraq Makes Latest Bid to Elect President

Supporters of Iraq's Coordination Framework rally in the Green Zone Ahmad Al-rubaye AFP/File
Supporters of Iraq's Coordination Framework rally in the Green Zone Ahmad Al-rubaye AFP/File
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Crisis-hit Iraq Makes Latest Bid to Elect President

Supporters of Iraq's Coordination Framework rally in the Green Zone Ahmad Al-rubaye AFP/File
Supporters of Iraq's Coordination Framework rally in the Green Zone Ahmad Al-rubaye AFP/File

Lawmakers in crisis-hit Iraq meet Thursday for their fourth attempt this year to elect a state president and break a year-long gridlock marred by deadly violence that has deepened economic woes.

Oil-rich Iraq has yet to form a new government after general elections more than a year ago that were brought forward by a wave of mass protests against endemic corruption, rampant unemployment and decaying infrastructure, AFP said.

This week, the United Nations mission said that "the protracted crisis is breeding further instability" in the war-scarred country, warning of "divisive politics, generating bitter public disillusion".

Parliament is due to convene from 11:00 am (0800 GMT) in Baghdad's Green Zone, the capital's fortified government and diplomatic district that was recently the site of large protest camps set up by rival factions.

Lawmakers in the past three failed attempts to elect a new head of state, in February and March, did not even reach the required two-thirds threshold -- 220 out of 329 -- for a quorum.

Democratic institutions built since the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled dictator Saddam Hussein remain fragile, and neighboring Iran wields major influence.

For the past year, Iraq has not only been without a new government, but also without a state budget, locking up billions in oil revenues and obstructing much-needed reforms and infrastructure projects.

- 30 candidates, three front runners -
Iraq's rival Shiite Muslim political factions have been vying for influence and the right to select a new premier and form a government, with Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi left in charge in a caretaker capacity.

On one hand is the fiery cleric Moqtada Sadr, who wants parliament dissolved and new elections.

On the other sits the Coordination Framework, an alliance of pro-Iran Shiite factions -- including former paramilitaries -- that wants a new government before fresh elections are held.

The standoff has seen both sides set up protest camps, and at times has sparked deadly street clashes in Baghdad.

Tensions boiled over on August 29 when more than 30 Sadr supporters were killed in battles between Iran-backed factions and the army.

The largely honorific post of Iraqi president is traditionally reserved for a Kurd.

It generally goes to the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), while the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) keeps control over the affairs of autonomous Kurdistan in northern Iraq.

However, the KDP is also eyeing the presidency and could present its own candidate.

"It is still not clear that the Kurdish parties have come to an agreement on a president," said Hamzeh Hadad, a visiting fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank.

Among the 30 candidates, top contenders include the incumbent, President Barham Saleh of the PUK, aged 61, and current Kurdistan Interior Minister Rebar Ahmed of the KDP, aged 54.

Abdel Latif Rashid, aged 78, a former water resources minister and ex-PUK leader running as an independent, has been suggested as a potential consensus candidate.

But the race remains open.

"Any president, that is not the strongest candidate of either the two main Kurdish parties will struggle to make a mark in Baghdad," said analyst Lahib Higel from the International Crisis Group.

- Next step, new PM -
Once elected, the president will appoint a prime minister -– chosen by the largest coalition in parliament –- who will then begin arduous negotiations to choose their cabinet.

"What is expected is that whoever is chosen, will designate a prime minister right away to form a government," said Hadad.

Key runners for prime minister are the Coordination Framework's candidate, former minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, 52.

Hadad believes Sudani is the most likely to be premier, but noted that "anything can change in Iraqi politics till the last minute".

The pro-Iran Coordination Framework draws together the Fatah alliance and lawmakers from the party of Sadr's longtime foe, former prime minister Nuri al-Maliki.

When Sudani was proposed in July, it sparked mass protests outraged Sadr supporters, who breached the Green Zone and stormed parliament.



Trump Reiterates Hamas ‘All Hell’ Threats

President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a wide-ranging news conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Tuesday (AP)
President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a wide-ranging news conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Tuesday (AP)
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Trump Reiterates Hamas ‘All Hell’ Threats

President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a wide-ranging news conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Tuesday (AP)
President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a wide-ranging news conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Tuesday (AP)

The US president-elect has renewed his earlier threat that there will be “hell to pay” if the captives held by Hamas in Gaza are not released by the time he returns to the White House on January 20.
“If they're (hostages) not back by the time I get into office, all hell will break out in the Middle East,” Donald Trump told reporters. “And it will not be good for Hamas, and it will not be good, frankly, for anyone. All hell will break out. I don’t have to say any more, but that’s what it is.”
During a wide-ranging news conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida, Trump did not elaborate about what actions he might take if the hostages were not released by the time he enters office.
“They should have never taken them,” Trump told reporters. “There should have never been the attack of Oct 7. People forget that. But there was, and many people were killed.”
The president-elect then invited Steve Witkoff, whom he intends to appoint as his Middle East envoy, to speak to reporters.
“Well, I think we're making a lot of progress, and I don't want to say too much because I think they're doing a really good job back in Doha,” said Witkoff, who had just arrived from Doha, Qatar, where delegations from Israel and Hamas have been negotiating.
“I’m really hopeful that by the inaugural we’ll have some good things to announce on behalf of the president,” the envoy said.
He noted that Trump’s “stature” and “the red lines he’s put out there that’s driving this negotiation.”
Witkoff added that he was “leaving tomorrow” to go back to Doha. “So hopefully it'll all work out and we'll save some lives,” he said.
The envoy said Trump has given him much authority to speak for him decisively and firmly. “I think they (Hamas leaders) heard him loud and clear. [This] better get done by the inaugural,” he said.
At the negotiations, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says he will not end the war until Hamas is dismantled and all hostages are free. In return, Hamas says it would free its remaining hostages only if Israel agrees to end the war and withdraw all its troops from the Gaza Strip, making it harder to ink a deal before the inauguration on January 20.
A senior leader of Hamas, Osama Hamdan, said, “The experience of negotiating with Israel has proven that the only solution to achieve the rights of our people is to engage with the enemy and force it to retreat.”
At a press conference in Algeria on Tuesday, Hamdan said Israel was to blame for undermining all efforts to reach a deal.
“Our clear position in the negotiations is a ceasefire, the withdrawal of the occupation, the exchange of prisoners, and the reconstruction of Gaza without Israeli conditions,” he said.
Commenting on Trump's threat that there would be “hell to pay” unless all hostages were freed before the inauguration, Hamdan said: “I think the US president must make more disciplined and diplomatic statements.”
Hamdan’s comments came while Israel said it will not end the war until Hamas is eliminated and all the hostages are released.
Israeli Minister of Science and Technology, Gila Gamliel, said on Tuesday that Israel will not withdraw from the Gaza Strip before receiving all the hostages.
For months, Egypt and Qatar have been mediating indirect talks between Israel and Hamas to reach a ceasefire deal.
The outgoing US administration has called for a final push for a Gaza ceasefire before President Joe Biden leaves office.
Therefore, Trump’s inauguration on January 20 is now viewed in the region as an unofficial deadline for a truce deal.