What are the elements of a failed state? We can list a hundred reasons, but one is always enough: the economy!
Without a healthy economy, we cannot afford security, which is the second element. Without security, there is no education, without education, there is no progress, without progress, there is no growth, and without growth, there is accumulated failure and a permanent deficit in all fields.
The Islamic Republic of Iran has not met any of these elements since its establishment to this day. No one in the world knows why, in a country thousands of years old, there is an army and a "Revolutionary Guard." And why a president of the republic is elected as long as he is an ordinary bureaucrat who answers to the Supreme Leader?! And how can there be a moderate and another hardliner in one country?! And who has the final say in a “technology” that requires great science, experience, and knowledge of the world economy, and not its policies, armament, and hostility to the economies of all others?!
The major, long-term crisis facing Iran today is the pit poverty that it has thrown itself in. It is facing severe sanctions, acute isolation, and political battles and wars on the margins of the international system.
The current state of affairs is dragging it toward collapse. Enmities block its path to salvation and integration into the international arena. And after half a century, it has nothing to boast about other than influence in four countries that are also suffering from the same challenges and instability.
American fleets are moving as they did on the eve of the strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. It is a tried-and-true method that has been used since colonial times: display enough force to avoid using it. Trump uses vague language that leaves the door open to all possibilities. But amid this ambiguity, it is obvious that the balance of power is completely unequal.
Added to this show of force is the internal situation in Iran, which has become a clear danger to the regime. No one knows when the explosion there will be stronger than the repression.
