Nadim Koteich

Palestine’s Friends… and Its Enemies?

This question is asked with every wave of violence between Israelis and Palestinians. And here it is now, imposing itself on Palestinians and Arabs once again in light of the war that has been raging in Gaza since October 7, 2023, the most destructive in the history of this conflict. Humanitarian…

Is War Between Lebanon and Israel Inevitable?

The chasm separating Israel and Hezbollah’s assessments regarding the future of warfare in the region is widening in an alarming manner. Hezbollah has tied the cessation of hostilities in South Lebanon to a ceasefire in Gaza, reflecting the "unity of arenas" approach that the axis of Iran and…

Netanyahu’s Thinking

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's strategic plan for post-war Gaza did not break with expectations. Put briefly, the plan is essentially to impose Israeli military control over Gaza indefinitely and hand governance to the families and clans of the Strip, as well as figures with no ties to…

Why Did Putin Praise Biden?

Breaking with the rhetoric we are accustomed to hearing from him, Russian President Vladimir Putin surprisingly said that he prefers US President Joe Biden over former President Donald Trump. He said that his American counterpart is more predictable than Trump, and that Biden follows an old-school…

American Retaliation That Serves Iran

If the Americans had been following Iran’s advice on how to respond to the attacks of "Hezbollah in Iraq" on the US "Tower 22" base that killed three soldiers in Jordan, its response would not have suited the Iranians any better. While targeting Iranian proxies in Syria and Iraq in the way the US…

And Why Would Iran Change Its Behavior?

Unless Washington radically changes its strategy for dealing with Iran, after the attack on an American base in Jordan, there is no reason to expect another Qasem Soleimani to be eliminated, and by extension, that the US will rebuild deterrence vis-a-vis the Mullah regime. If there's one thing Iran…

Lebanon: The Liberation Era of 2000 Has Come to an End

These days, the residents of South Lebanon see Hezbollah as a shattered shield. After the shadow of the liberation narrative that had been imposed on everyone and embellished by Hezbollah loomed large for over two decades, 2000, the year Israel withdrew from the country, now seems like a long, long…

The Strike On The Houthis… Too Little, Too Late

The joint US-British strikes on the Houthis in Yemen broke the rhythm of the Iranian-backed militia’s escalation. It seems that these strikes, the first of their kind since 2016, are in themselves “too little, too late.” Yemen experts agree that the US could not have turned a blind eye to the…

Gaza… The Mindset of the 'Mural and the Wall'

In London’s Imperial War Museum, there stands a mural of the late Iraqi President, Saddam Hussein towering over a model of the Dome of the Rock and holding a rifle in one hand. It is among his most recognizable images - one that played a significant role in crafting his image in the Iraqi and Arab…

Hamas Could End... Then What?

The most dangerous question of the Gaza war is whether or not Hamas will be destroyed. The reason for the dominance of questions around the fate of the movement is self-evident. It is a party to the war; indeed, it instigated this round. Nonetheless, its fate is not the most consequential question…