Samir Atallah
Lebanese author and journalist, who worked for the Annahar newspaper, the Al Osbo' il Arabi and Lebanon’s Al-Sayad’s magazines and Kuwait’s Al-Anba newspaper.
TT

Neither War Nor Peace

Both sides have been using the exact same language since entering the logic of war. The balance of power is completely unequal, but it's not the traditional balance here: America threatens a war in Iran, and Iran threatens wars outside its territories. America pushes with the force of missiles the world hasn't seen since World War II, and Iran pushes with kamikaze forces, warning of regional conflict.

At the peak of this warlike confrontation, both sides exhaust the language of threat while whispering offers of negotiation.

Whoever accepts the logic of negotiation accepts the logic of compromise. Thus, each side will have been given a moral victory, and half of the prize of peace, in addition to Trump's shares of the world of minerals.

Often, major crises end in major compromises. This is how the Cuban Missile Crisis ended in 1963, moments before the world exploded. This is how the great powers retreated from the logic of win or die to the logic of neither win nor lose. Since Trump has spoken about ongoing negotiations, the end of the war has been announced, and the distribution of prizes has begun. And there is nothing strange or surprising in politics. Hasn't Donald Trump, in his first term, offered his deepest affections to Kim Jong Un. And perhaps the occasion for that is now: a package of ballistic missiles launched in jubilation before the grandson of Kim Il-sung.

The missiles themselves have become an old habit. Using them as a threat is cheaper, more impactful, and the moral return is high. So why the mental war as long as its silent version serves the purpose, provokes all the required feelings and fears, ignites gold prices, inflames silver prices, then extinguishes them, then doubles mineral prices, then shakes the market, so the whole world becomes a speculation market. Some got rich, and some got poor.

A world living in the panic of gambling, the terror of loss, and the ecstasy of illusions. And it doesn't learn. Because the lesson is for the wise, and lessons are for the mad.