Fuad Matar
TT

When Will Calm Return to the Region?

There is cautious optimism that the region may be entering a period of relative calm after Pakistan’s diplomatic effort has sought to outline a settlement. The hope is that talks will continue and end the much-dreaded exchange of missiles. One might even invoke the familiar saying: those who hope for the best may yet find it. Supported in part by its military establishment, Pakistan’s efforts have helped dilute some of the complexities arising from overlapping demands and competing visions for durable de-escalation.

It has broad support: from the Arab states (particularly in the Gulf) to Iran, which is in urgent need of a resolution and reassurance, to the United States. It has also been approved by China and Russia. Pakistan is seen as a credible mediator genuinely seeking to extinguish a conflict fueled by missile exchanges from all directions. Restraint and a preventing further escalation would allow for the return of a sense of security, peace, and stability.

The region, from Iran to the foothills and rivers of South Lebanon, through to the Gulf- whose states have faced unjustified attacks- the region has undergone a harrowing few days under relentless missile fire of all kinds. Airports and power stations have been struck without justification. Lives have been lost- young men and women on the verge of graduation, dreaming of the future were cut down. Their homes were destroyed by missiles and drone strikes, blood stained with their books, notebooks, and graduation projects.

Families have been shattered, with grandparents, parents, and children among the victims. Nor does the tragedy end there: journalists and humanitarian workers from the Red Crescent and the Red Cross have also been targeted without a second thought.

Amid this destruction, the international community looks on without decisive intervention, as though this missile warfare were a new phenomenon being tested. The belligerents are refining their deployment of these weapons to maximize damage on lives and property, reflecting their disturbing capacity for destruction and devastation.

Debates continue over the situation in Lebanon, which has long been vulnerable to foreign manipulation. The Taif Agreement, which sought to preserve its delicate political formula, was only partially implemented, as it was often overshadowed by competing interpretations, some of them made in bad faith.

It is not unfair to say that a combination of domestic political fragmentation and external, non-Arab regional ambitions has turned Lebanon into what it is today: a theater for missile exchanges, deepening instability, and compounding crises.

Lebanon presents a troubling example of where prolonged missile exchange can lead. It is now awaiting effective international intervention capable of bringing an end to this cycle of escalation. History reminds us that those who become accustomed to the logic of destruction are ultimately destroyed by it. Truth prevails, and falsehood, whether driven by nuclear weapons or missiles, fades.